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CVE vs PBR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cenovus Energy (CVE) vs. Petrobras (PBR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cenovus Energy (CVE) trades at a trailing P/E of about 15.4 with a 2.3% dividend yield, reflecting stable North American operations in oil sands and refining.
- Petrobras (PBR) offers a lower P/E around 6.7 but higher geopolitical risks due to its Brazilian state-owned structure.
- Both stocks have surged YTD, with PBR up ~72% and CVE ~68%, driven by elevated oil prices and production gains.
- CVE shows lower volatility (beta 0.53) compared to PBR (beta near 0), appealing to risk-averse investors.
- Recent analyst upgrades favor CVE with targets implying upside, while PBR faces mixed sentiment amid policy uncertainties.
- Energy sector momentum from oil above $110/barrel supports both, but CVE's integrated model provides relative stability.
Introduction
This comparison examines CVE and PBR, two integrated oil majors benefiting from recent oil price surges and production records. CVE, a Canadian firm focused on oil sands, contrasts with PBR, Brazil's state-influenced giant with deepwater expertise. Traders eyeing energy momentum and investors seeking value in a volatile commodity market will find insights into relative performance, valuations, and sector drivers. With both stocks near 52-week highs amid geopolitical tensions boosting crude, this analysis highlights trade-offs in risk, yield, and growth potential.
CVE Overview and Recent Performance
Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) is a Calgary-based integrated energy company specializing in oil sands production in northern Alberta, conventional crude, natural gas, and refining operations across Canada and the U.S. Its assets include offshore production in Newfoundland and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, CVE shares have shown strong momentum, trading around $28.40 with a 52-week range of $12.88–$30.85 and YTD gains near 68%. Q1 results featured record production and cash flow, EPS of $0.83 beating estimates, and a dividend hike, driving price targets upward from firms like Scotiabank and RBC. Analyst sentiment remains bullish, with an average target of $31.90 implying upside. Oil price strength above $110/barrel and operational efficiencies have bolstered performance, though shares pulled back slightly amid sector rotation.
PBR Overview and Recent Performance
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) is a Rio de Janeiro-headquartered integrated oil and gas firm, majority state-owned, with focus on offshore exploration, production, refining, and low-carbon energies in Brazil and internationally. Recent weeks saw PBR around $20.33, with a 52-week range of $11.04–$22.24 and YTD returns of ~72%, outpacing benchmarks. Record output amid oil rallies above $110/barrel, Q4 EPS beats, and export highs fueled gains, with shares up 18.5% in the prior 30 days. However, volatility persists from Brazilian policy shifts and geopolitical factors. Analysts rate it Moderate Buy with a $18.35–$21.28 average target, reflecting production strength balanced against risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVE and PBR operate integrated models but differ in geography and risks. CVE leverages stable Canadian oil sands and U.S. refining for lower beta (0.53), while PBR drives growth via Brazilian deepwater but faces state intervention risks. Valuation-wise, PBR's P/E ~6.7 and market cap $131B dwarf CVE's 15.4 P/E and $53B cap, signaling deeper value yet higher volatility. Dividend yields favor CVE at 2.3% vs. PBR's ~1.6%. Recent momentum shows PBR edging YTD, but CVE offers steadier catalysts like Q1 beats. Sentiment tilts toward CVE for North American exposure amid global tensions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CVE for its trend consistency, lower beta, recent earnings beats, and analyst upgrades positioning it for sustained oil-driven gains. PBR trails slightly due to elevated policy risks offsetting production strength, though both benefit from energy momentum. Probabilistic edge to CVE in stable conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVE is a Hold and PBR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PBR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PBR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVE (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -5.31% price change this week, while PBR (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+0.08% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVE | PBR | CVE / PBR | |
| Capitalization | 47.8B | 104B | 46% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 250B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | 51.714 | 49.297 | 105% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.49 | 5.40 | 268% |
| Revenue | 51.9B | 489B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 2.58B | 47.6B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 13.8B | 372B | 4% |
CVE | PBR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 38 Fair valued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBR's Valuation (19) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (38) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's SMR Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (58) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as PBR (50) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to PBR’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PBR (89) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew somewhat faster than PBR’s over the last 12 months.
| CVE | PBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 6 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 40% |
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CVE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVE has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVE jumps, then SU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE | 100% | +2.03% | ||
| SU - CVE | 82% Closely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| CRGY - CVE | 78% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| IMO - CVE | 72% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| EQNR - CVE | 69% Closely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| XOM - CVE | 68% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
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PBR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | +1.55% | ||
| BP - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.74% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| SU - PBR | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| CRGY - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.77% | ||
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