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PBR vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PBR has delivered stronger YTD returns of approximately 72%, outperforming SU's 45% amid robust pre-salt production growth.
- Both stocks exhibit solid one-year gains around 90%, benefiting from elevated oil prices, though PBR trades at a lower P/E ratio of 6.7 versus SU's 16.6.
- SU offers lower volatility with a beta of 0.59 compared to PBR's -0.06, appealing to stability-focused investors.
- Recent catalysts include PBR's record Q1 output and asset acquisitions, while SU focuses on oil sands efficiency.
- Market caps stand at $131B for PBR and $76B for SU, reflecting scale differences in offshore versus integrated Canadian operations.
Introduction
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) represent compelling options in the energy sector, both capitalizing on sustained oil demand and geopolitical supply dynamics. PBR, Brazil's state-influenced oil major, emphasizes high-growth offshore pre-salt fields, while SU, a Canadian integrated player, leverages oil sands production and refining. This stock comparison highlights their relative performance, business models, and market positioning in recent market activity. Traders seeking momentum in volatile oil markets or investors prioritizing dividend stability and lower risk will find value in evaluating these peers' contrasts amid broader energy sector trends like elevated crude prices.
PBR Overview and Recent Performance
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR), Brazil's leading integrated energy company, operates across exploration, production, refining, and low-carbon initiatives, with a core focus on high-margin pre-salt offshore fields. In recent weeks, PBR shares have shown resilience near 52-week highs around $20.33, driven by YTD gains exceeding 72% that outpace the IBOVESPA index. Key developments include record Q1 oil and gas production, new pre-salt discoveries in the Campos Basin, and strategic asset reacquisitions like full control of Tartaruga Verde and Espadarte for $450 million. Analyst upgrades and upward earnings revisions have bolstered sentiment, supported by elevated Brent crude prices above $90 per barrel. However, government influence introduces policy risks, tempering gains despite a forward P/E of 4.6 and attractive dividend yield near 7%.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), a Canadian integrated energy firm, specializes in oil sands mining, upgrading, and refining, with upstream operations in the Athabasca region and downstream assets. Recent market activity has seen SU shares trade around $64, reflecting YTD returns of about 45% that surpass the S&P/TSX Composite. Influences include operational efficiencies, record production levels, and resilience despite Q1 earnings slightly missing estimates amid fluctuating WTI crude. The company maintains a low beta of 0.59, signaling stability, with a market cap of $76 billion and forward dividend yield of 2.75%. Broader catalysts encompass strong cash flow generation and shareholder returns, though exposure to oil sands' higher breakeven costs and Canadian regulatory shifts warrants monitoring.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PBR and SU both thrive in upstream oil production but diverge in models: PBR's offshore pre-salt emphasis drives higher growth (projected output rises) at lower breakevens, contrasting SU's oil sands focus with integrated refining for hedging volatility. Recent momentum favors PBR (72% YTD vs. 45%), yet SU exhibits superior stability (beta 0.59 vs. -0.06). Risk profiles differ—PBR faces Brazilian political interference and FX swings, while SU contends with environmental regulations and higher-cost sands. Sector exposure aligns on crude sensitivity, but PBR's cheaper valuation (P/E 6.7 vs. 16.6) trades growth for sentiment risks, positioning SU as the steadier dividend play.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward PBR due to its superior trend consistency, explosive relative performance (72% YTD outpacing benchmarks), and catalysts like record production amid firm oil prices. While SU offers stability and integrated buffers, PBR's lower valuation and growth trajectory provide higher probabilistic upside in the prevailing energy environment, though with elevated volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PBR is a Hold and SU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PBR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- PBR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PBR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PBR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
PBR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.55% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -5.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.77% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| PBR | SU | PBR / SU | |
| Capitalization | 112B | 70.3B | 159% |
| EBITDA | 250B | 16.2B | 1,543% |
| Gain YTD | 52.193 | 34.468 | 151% |
| P/E Ratio | 5.40 | 15.87 | 34% |
| Revenue | 489B | 54.5B | 897% |
| Total Cash | 47.6B | 3.27B | 1,455% |
| Total Debt | 372B | 14.8B | 2,514% |
PBR | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 39 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBR's Valuation (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (31). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (18). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's SMR Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (61). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (45). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for PBR (87). This means that SU’s stock grew significantly faster than PBR’s over the last 12 months.
| PBR | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 8 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 13 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 50% |
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PBR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | -5.66% | ||
| BP - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.56% | ||
| SU - PBR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -5.31% | ||
| CRGY - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -4.84% | ||
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