Investors and traders evaluating opportunities in the global energy sector often compare major integrated oil companies to assess relative value, momentum, and risk exposure. PBR and SU represent two prominent names in this space, each with distinct operational footprints and market dynamics. This comparison appeals to those seeking insights into how geographic, asset, and valuation differences may influence performance amid fluctuating commodity prices and sector sentiment. The analysis focuses on recent market activity to highlight observable contrasts without projecting future outcomes.
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) is a Brazilian state-controlled integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and natural gas. In recent weeks, PBR shares have shown notable strength, rising approximately 18.7% over the past month as investors positioned ahead of the company’s Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for August 6. Operational growth and production metrics have supported sentiment, though some earnings estimates have seen modest downward revisions. The stock continues to trade at a compressed valuation with a trailing price-to-earnings ratio near 6 and offers a forward dividend yield around 9%, reflecting its capital return profile. Broader market activity in energy has contributed to price behavior, with the company maintaining focus on production efficiency and cash generation.
Suncor Energy Inc. is a Canadian integrated energy company primarily involved in oil sands production, refining, and marketing, with operations centered in Alberta. Through recent market activity, SU has demonstrated solid performance, with year-to-date returns exceeding 52% and one-year returns near 70% as of late July 2026. The company benefits from higher realized oil prices and record refined product sales, alongside ongoing operational enhancements. SU is scheduled to report Q2 2026 results on August 4. Its valuation reflects a trailing price-to-earnings ratio near 18, paired with a dividend yield of approximately 2.55%. Sector tailwinds and execution on production targets have shaped recent sentiment around the name.
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PBR and SU both operate as integrated energy producers but differ in geographic exposure and asset focus. PBR maintains primary operations in Brazil with significant offshore production, while SU concentrates on Canadian oil sands extraction and downstream refining. Recent momentum favors PBR on a one-month basis, whereas SU has delivered stronger multi-month and annual returns. Valuation presents a clear contrast, with PBR at a lower price-to-earnings multiple and substantially higher dividend yield. Risk factors include regulatory and political considerations for PBR in Brazil versus operational and environmental factors for SU in Canada. Market sentiment in recent weeks has reflected broader energy price stability, with both names positioned to respond to commodity fluctuations and earnings disclosures.
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to PBR over SU. This assessment draws from stronger short-term price momentum, compressed valuation metrics, and upcoming earnings visibility. However, the outlook remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in energy prices, earnings outcomes, and broader market conditions.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PBR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PBR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
PBR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -0.45% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +9.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +4.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.04%.
PBR is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| PBR | SU | PBR / SU | |
| Capitalization | 111B | 76.8B | 145% |
| EBITDA | 250B | 16.2B | 1,543% |
| Gain YTD | 56.933 | 48.377 | 118% |
| P/E Ratio | 4.52 | 12.25 | 37% |
| Revenue | 489B | 54.5B | 897% |
| Total Cash | 47.6B | 3.27B | 1,455% |
| Total Debt | 372B | 14.8B | 2,514% |
PBR | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 39 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (33) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PBR (68). This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than PBR’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as PBR (15). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to PBR’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's SMR Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (60). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as PBR (47). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to PBR’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as PBR (72). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to PBR’s over the last 12 months.
| PBR | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 10 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 72% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| BP - PBR | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| CVE - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.34% | ||
| SU - PBR | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.60% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.54% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.