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BP vs PBR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP plc (BP) vs. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP plc (BP) and Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) are both major integrated energy companies heavily influenced by global crude oil prices and sector sentiment.
- Through late July 2026, PBR delivered stronger year-to-date returns exceeding 60%, compared to BP’s approximately 29%.
- Both stocks showed similar technical analysis scores of 6 bullish and 4 bearish signals in recent market activity.
- PBR benefits from higher dividend yields and exposure to Brazilian production growth, while BP offers broader international diversification and a transition strategy toward lower-carbon energy.
- Market positioning reflects trade-offs between PBR’s emerging-market volatility and BP’s more established but slower-growth profile in developed markets.
- Relative performance favors PBR in recent weeks amid favorable oil market dynamics, though both remain sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
Introduction
BP plc (BP) and Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) represent two prominent players in the global energy sector, making them relevant for investors and traders seeking exposure to oil and gas markets. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current environment. It is particularly useful for those evaluating sector allocation, dividend strategies, or momentum-based approaches within energy equities. The analysis highlights contrasts in performance, risk profiles, and catalysts that can inform portfolio decisions without favoring either security.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP plc (BP) is a major integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing, with growing involvement in renewables and low-carbon solutions. In recent market activity, the stock has shown measured gains amid stable but not exceptional oil price trends. Performance has been supported by consistent dividend payouts and operational efficiency measures, while sentiment reflects cautious optimism around its strategic shift toward cleaner energy. Broader influences include global supply dynamics and investor focus on capital discipline, contributing to relatively steady trading patterns over recent weeks.
PBR Overview and Recent Performance
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR), commonly known as Petrobras, is Brazil’s leading oil and gas producer with significant upstream operations and refining capacity. The stock has posted robust gains in recent market activity, driven by strong production volumes and favorable commodity conditions. Recent performance reflects outperformance relative to broader sector peers, bolstered by attractive dividend distributions and domestic policy support. Sentiment has been positive amid these operational strengths, though tempered by typical emerging-market considerations such as currency fluctuations and regulatory developments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP plc (BP) operates as a globally diversified major with a balanced portfolio across upstream, downstream, and emerging low-carbon segments, providing relative stability but potentially slower growth in high-oil-price environments. In contrast, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) focuses primarily on Brazilian offshore production, offering higher operational leverage to crude prices and often elevated dividend yields, yet with greater exposure to local economic and political risks. Recent momentum has favored PBR due to stronger year-to-date returns, while BP has maintained more consistent but moderate gains. Risk factors include BP’s transition costs versus PBR’s higher volatility tied to emerging-market dynamics. Sector exposure is similar in oil and gas, but market sentiment has tilted toward PBR amid production strength, creating a trade-off between PBR’s return potential and BP’s broader geographic diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger year-to-date returns, comparable technical scores, and favorable production catalysts, Tickeron’s AI systems would likely assign a modest probabilistic edge to Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) in the current environment. Trend consistency and relative positioning appear more supportive for PBR, though both equities remain subject to shared sector influences that could alter short-term dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Buy and PBR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePBR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PBR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- PBR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -4.87% price change this week, while PBR (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -3.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-3.07% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | PBR | BP / PBR | |
| Capitalization | 109B | 116B | 94% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 250B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | 21.572 | 61.146 | 35% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.69 | 5.77 | 341% |
| Revenue | 195B | 489B | 40% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 47.6B | 75% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 372B | 20% |
BP | PBR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 23 Undervalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (23) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PBR (58). This means that BP’s stock grew somewhat faster than PBR’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (24). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's SMR Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BP (84). This means that PBR’s stock grew somewhat faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (44). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's P/E Growth Rating (91) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (100). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | PBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 59% | 7 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 73% |
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
PBR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | -1.92% | ||
| BP - PBR | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.90% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| SU - PBR | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.53% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.66% | ||
| CVE - PBR | 59% Loosely correlated | -3.48% | ||
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