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CVE vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cenovus Energy (CVE) vs. Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cenovus Energy (CVE) has shown stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 73%, outperforming Suncor Energy (SU)'s 53%.
- Both stocks maintain low volatility, with betas (a measure of market sensitivity) of 0.51 for CVE and 0.59 for SU, making them attractive in uncertain energy markets.
- SU holds a larger market capitalization of $80 billion compared to CVE's $55 billion, reflecting greater operational scale.
- CVE trades at a slightly lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.6 versus SU's 19.0, suggesting relative value in recent market activity.
- Both companies are poised for first-quarter earnings releases in early May, potentially driving sentiment shifts based on oil sands production updates.
- Over the past year, CVE has delivered returns exceeding 148%, significantly ahead of SU's 93%.
Introduction
Cenovus Energy (CVE) and Suncor Energy (SU) are prominent Canadian integrated oil and gas companies with significant exposure to oil sands production. This comparison is particularly relevant for energy sector investors and traders navigating volatile commodity prices and geopolitical influences on global oil demand. Both stocks have benefited from elevated crude prices in recent months, but differences in scale, operational focus, and momentum offer distinct trade-offs. Traders seeking relative performance insights, while long-term investors evaluate dividend yields and growth potential, will find value in analyzing their head-to-head positioning amid broader market recovery in the energy space.
CVE Overview and Recent Performance
Cenovus Energy (CVE) is an integrated oil company primarily focused on oil sands assets in Western Canada, complemented by conventional oil and natural gas operations. In recent market activity, CVE shares have surged, reaching new 52-week highs near $29 USD, driven by robust oil prices and operational efficiencies. Year-to-date gains exceed 70%, outpacing broader energy benchmarks, with influences including strong upstream production and favorable refining margins. Sentiment has shifted positively on announcements like the upcoming first-quarter earnings and capital guidance, underscoring consistent cash flow generation despite sector headwinds. Low beta reflects resilience, appealing to investors prioritizing stability in volatile oil markets.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy (SU) operates as a fully integrated energy firm with substantial oil sands mining and in-situ production, alongside refining and marketing downstream assets. Recent weeks have seen SU shares trade around $67 USD, approaching 52-week highs amid sustained crude strength and refinery optimizations. YTD returns stand at about 53%, supported by higher upstream volumes and shareholder returns via dividends yielding over 2.5%. Key developments, such as first-quarter results anticipation and prior-year production growth, have bolstered market positioning. Its larger scale contributes to steady performance, though slightly trailing peers in momentum during recent oil rallies.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CVE and SU share similar business models as integrated oil sands leaders, but SU emphasizes downstream refining for diversification, while CVE leans upstream with agile drilling programs. Growth drivers include rising production targets amid high oil prices, though SU's scale supports larger capex at $5.7 billion planned. Recent momentum favors CVE, with superior YTD and one-year returns, contrasting SU's steadier but lagging gains. Risk factors are comparable, with low betas mitigating oil price swings; however, SU offers a higher dividend yield. Sector exposure centers on Canadian heavy oil, vulnerable to pipeline constraints but buoyed by global demand. Market sentiment tilts toward CVE for growth, versus SU for income stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CVE over SU, based on superior trend consistency, higher relative YTD momentum exceeding 70%, and stronger one-year outperformance amid recent energy rallies. Observable catalysts like production efficiencies and proximity to 52-week highs position CVE probabilistically ahead, though SU's scale and dividends provide balance in risk-adjusted scenarios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVE is a Hold and SU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CVE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
CVE (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +0.18% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVE | SU | CVE / SU | |
| Capitalization | 52.7B | 72.7B | 72% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 16.2B | 71% |
| Gain YTD | 67.080 | 38.864 | 173% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.71 | 16.33 | 96% |
| Revenue | 51.9B | 54.5B | 95% |
| Total Cash | 2.58B | 3.27B | 79% |
| Total Debt | 13.8B | 14.8B | 93% |
CVE | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (31) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (35) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's SMR Rating (58) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as SU (61) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as SU (46) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (32) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
| CVE | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 7 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 50% |
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.