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CVE vs IMO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cenovus Energy (CVE) vs. Imperial Oil (IMO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVE has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 55%, outpacing IMO's 43% gains amid favorable oil market dynamics.
- Both stocks exhibit robust one-year performance, with CVE up over 120% and IMO around 80%, driven by energy sector momentum.
- CVE trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 17 compared to IMO's 27, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- Recent weeks show stable price action for both, with CVE holding around $26-27 USD and IMO near $124 USD, reflecting resilience in volatile oil prices.
- IMO benefits from its integrated operations and larger market cap of ~$62 billion versus CVE's $50 billion.
Introduction
Energy investors often compare CVE and IMO, two leading Canadian integrated oil companies focused on oil sands production and refining. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business models, and positioning within the oils-energy sector. Traders seeking exposure to commodity-driven plays or long-term holders evaluating relative strength will find value in understanding how these peers stack up amid fluctuating crude prices and sector tailwinds. With both delivering outsized gains over the past year, the analysis highlights key contrasts in momentum, valuation, and risk profiles.
CVE Overview and Recent Performance
Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) is an integrated oil company with significant operations in oil sands, conventional assets, and offshore production, primarily in Western Canada. In recent market activity, CVE shares have traded stably around $26-27 USD, reflecting resilience despite oil price volatility. Year-to-date gains exceed 55%, with one-year returns surpassing 120%, outperforming the broader industry. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades to earnings per share (EPS) estimates and strong multi-period share price performance, driven by operational efficiencies and favorable crude dynamics. Recent weeks have seen modest fluctuations, influenced by broader energy sector trends and production updates.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), an ExxonMobil affiliate, operates as an integrated energy firm with upstream exploration, refining, and marketing across Canada. Shares have hovered near $124 USD in recent trading, with year-to-date advances of about 43% and one-year gains around 80%. Performance in recent weeks shows slight pullbacks amid high crude levels, but overall momentum remains positive, supported by record runs earlier in the quarter and quarterly earnings that beat estimates despite profit dips from sliding prices. Key influences include strong cash flows from integrated operations and strategic workforce adjustments, enhancing investor confidence in sustained refining margins.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CVE and IMO operate integrated models in the oils-energy sector, blending upstream production with downstream refining, but IMO emphasizes refining strength via its ExxonMobil ties, while CVE leans more on oil sands scale. Growth drivers include rising crude prices benefiting production, though CVE shows superior recent momentum with higher YTD and one-year returns. Valuation contrasts highlight CVE's lower P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio (~17 vs. ~27) and higher dividend yield (~2.2% vs. ~1.8%), appealing to value-oriented investors. Risk factors are similar—commodity exposure and regulatory shifts in Canadian energy—but IMO's larger market cap provides relative stability. Market sentiment favors both amid sector outperformance, yet CVE edges on relative performance metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CVE based on stronger trend consistency, superior year-to-date and one-year returns, and more attractive valuation metrics like a lower P/E ratio. While IMO offers integrated stability and solid catalysts from refining, CVE's relative momentum and positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current energy environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVE is a Hold and IMO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileIMO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IMO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IMO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVE (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +0.18% price change this week, while IMO (@Integrated Oil) price change was -0.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
IMO is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVE | IMO | CVE / IMO | |
| Capitalization | 52.7B | 58.8B | 90% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 6.4B | 180% |
| Gain YTD | 67.080 | 40.528 | 166% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.71 | 28.67 | 55% |
| Revenue | 51.9B | 45.4B | 114% |
| Total Cash | 2.58B | 1.03B | 250% |
| Total Debt | 13.8B | 4.14B | 333% |
CVE | IMO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVE's Valuation (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as IMO (48) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (35) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's SMR Rating (58) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as IMO (64) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as IMO (47) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (32) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
| CVE | IMO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 67% | 17 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 76% |
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