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DE vs TWI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Deere & Company (DE) vs. Titan International (TWI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DE reported strong Q3 2026 results with revenue of $12.61 billion and an earnings beat, supporting recent price gains near all-time highs.
- TWI posted Q2 2026 revenue of $484.77 million and an earnings beat but has seen more limited price momentum amid broader sector pressures.
- DE operates as a diversified leader in agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment with global scale, while TWI focuses on specialized wheels, tires, and undercarriages for off-highway vehicles.
- Year-to-date performance through mid-September 2026 shows DE advancing approximately 47 percent compared with more modest or negative moves for TWI.
- Both companies face exposure to cyclical demand in agriculture and construction, though DE benefits from greater diversification and analyst upgrades following its latest earnings.
- Market sentiment has favored DE in recent weeks due to earnings momentum and price target increases, while TWI trades at a lower valuation with mixed analyst views.
Introduction
This comparison examines DE and TWI, two companies in the farm and heavy construction machinery sector. The analysis highlights differences in business models, recent financial results, price behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities. Participants in the agricultural and construction equipment supply chain, as well as those monitoring cyclical industrials, may find the review relevant for assessing how scale, product focus, and earnings trends influence performance in the current environment.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company manufactures agricultural, construction, forestry, and turf equipment with a global presence. In recent weeks, the stock has benefited from a Q3 2026 earnings beat, including revenue of $12.61 billion and EPS above expectations, alongside a dividend declaration. These results contributed to price gains and analyst price target increases, positioning the shares near recent highs around $684 as of mid-September 2026. Sentiment has improved on operational resilience in construction and small agriculture segments, offsetting softer large agriculture demand in certain regions. Broader market activity has reflected confidence in margin management and earnings power.
TWI Overview and Recent Performance
Titan International, Inc. produces wheels, tires, wheel assemblies, and undercarriage components primarily for off-highway vehicles in agriculture, construction, and other sectors. Recent performance reflects Q2 2026 results showing revenue of $484.77 million and an EPS beat, though the shares have experienced more constrained momentum. As of mid-September 2026, the stock traded near $7.00 within a 52-week range of $6.37 to $11.70, with year-to-date declines noted amid sector headwinds. Sentiment has been influenced by ongoing cyclical pressures in end markets and guidance for the subsequent quarter, resulting in relatively stable but subdued price action compared with larger peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Deere & Company operates at significantly larger scale with diversified revenue streams across equipment categories and geographies, while Titan International maintains a narrower focus on components such as wheels and tires. Growth drivers for DE include strength in construction equipment and pricing power, whereas TWI contends with more direct exposure to agricultural and construction cycles. Recent momentum has favored DE following its earnings beat and analyst support, contrasting with TWI’s more modest price response. Risk factors for both include commodity price volatility and demand fluctuations, though DE’s size may offer greater stability. Sector exposure remains similar, yet market sentiment has tilted toward the larger operator amid clearer catalysts in recent weeks. Trade-offs center on DE’s premium valuation versus TWI’s lower multiples and potential for recovery if end markets stabilize.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, price stability near highs, and analyst upgrades, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to DE over TWI. The larger company’s demonstrated margin resilience and diversification appear to support more consistent trend characteristics in the prevailing environment, while TWI shows greater sensitivity to sector-specific pressures. This assessment reflects relative positioning rather than absolute outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DE is a Hold and TWI is a Hold.
DE sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
DE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 25, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DE as a result. In 51 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
DE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +4.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in 201 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
DE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 114 of 209 cases where DE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (6.645) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.582). P/E Ratio (38.332) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.600) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. DE's P/S Ratio (3.868) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.128).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
TWI sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TWI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 15, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWI moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 82%.
TWI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TWI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for TWI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 59 cases where TWI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWI as a result. In 67 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +3.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWI advanced for three days, in 214 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.901) is normal, around the industry mean (2.582). P/E Ratio (18.907) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.950) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.243) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TWI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
DE | TWI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 70 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TWI's Valuation (66) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (68). This means that TWI’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for TWI (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than TWI’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TWI (94). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than TWI’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TWI (70). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to TWI’s over the last 12 months.
TWI's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (11). This means that TWI’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| DE | TWI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 7 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 13 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 7 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TWI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TWI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TWI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TWI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -4.80% price change this week, while TWI (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -0.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -6.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
TWI is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-6.04% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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