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DEO vs STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo (DEO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- STZ has outperformed DEO year-to-date with a 12.24% gain compared to DEO's 7.04%, reflecting stronger momentum in the beer segment.
- DEO recently surged on news of U.S. tariff removals on Scotch whisky, providing a short-term sentiment boost amid broader yearly declines.
- STZ benefits from analyst upgrades and beer volume growth offsetting wine and spirits weakness, with a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 12.74 versus DEO's 11.83.
- DEO offers a higher dividend yield at 4.16% compared to STZ's 2.70%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks trade at discounts to historical highs, with DEO down 26% over one year and STZ up 15% in the same period.
- Market caps differ significantly: DEO at $44.5 billion versus STZ at $26.3 billion.
Introduction
Diageo (DEO) and Constellation Brands (STZ) represent key players in the alcoholic beverages sector, with DEO dominating premium spirits and beer globally, while STZ excels in U.S. beer imports like Modelo and Corona alongside wine and spirits. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, financial metrics, and sector dynamics, aiding traders seeking relative value in consumer staples and investors eyeing resilience amid shifting consumer trends. In recent market activity, tariff relief and earnings reactions have influenced sentiment, highlighting trade-offs in growth, stability, and valuation for portfolio positioning.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a UK-based multinational, leads in premium spirits such as Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness beer, with operations spanning over 180 countries. Trading around $79.70, the stock sits near the lower end of its 52-week range of $72.45–$116.69. Recent weeks have seen positive momentum, with shares up approximately 6% in the past month, driven by U.S. President Trump's removal of tariffs on Scotch whisky following a royal visit—easing export pressures. This countered broader pressures from softened demand in premium spirits and Latin America. Year-to-date gains stand at 7.04%, though one-year returns lag at -26.25%. Key metrics include a trailing P/E of 18.41, ROE (return on equity) of 19.72%, and elevated debt-to-equity at 177%.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands (STZ), a U.S.-centric firm, thrives on high-growth beer brands like Modelo Especial and Corona, complemented by wine and spirits portfolios. The stock trades near $152.82, within a 52-week range of $126.45–$196.91. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience post-Q4 earnings, which beat estimates despite wine and spirits sales declines offset by beer strength; analysts responded with upgrades, including TD Cowen's Buy rating. Year-to-date performance reaches 12.24%, with one-year gains at 15.35%. Financials feature a trailing P/E of 15.90, superior ROE of 22.64%, and debt-to-equity of 133%. Product innovations like Modelo Chelada Suprema target younger demographics amid stabilizing sector demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO's global spirits dominance contrasts STZ's beer-heavy U.S. focus, exposing DEO to broader currency and regional risks while STZ leverages premiumization in Mexican imports. Growth drivers diverge: STZ's beer volumes provide consistent uplift amid wine divestitures, versus DEO's premium spirits facing volume softness. Recent momentum favors STZ's longer-term gains, though DEO's tariff relief signals potential rebound. Risk profiles show DEO's higher debt load and dividend appeal, balanced by STZ's superior ROE and analyst optimism. Sector-wise, both navigate health trends and inflation, but STZ's lower P/E and YTD edge highlight better market positioning in resilient beer demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward STZ over DEO, citing superior year-to-date and one-year returns, beer segment stability, and recent analyst upgrades amid earnings beats. DEO's tariff catalyst and attractive forward valuation offer counterpoints, but STZ's relative trend consistency and lower relative drawdown position it favorably in the near term for momentum traders.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DEO is a Hold and STZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSTZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STZ’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +0.96% price change this week, while STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was -4.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -2.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.16%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -1.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-2.44% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-1.84% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| DEO | STZ | DEO / STZ | |
| Capitalization | 45.3B | 24.5B | 185% |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 3.16B | 202% |
| Gain YTD | -5.032 | 4.679 | -108% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.74 | 14.83 | 126% |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 9.14B | 217% |
| Total Cash | 905M | 102M | 887% |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 11.2B | 210% |
DEO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (37). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (100). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's SMR Rating (43) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (98). This means that STZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (63). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79). This means that DEO’s stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 41% | 8 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 38% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VLLU | 24.64 | N/A | N/A |
| Harbor AlphaEdge Large Cap Value ETF | |||
| LONZ | 49.56 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| PIMCO Sr Ln Actv ETF | |||
| IBDV | 21.80 | -0.02 | -0.09% |
| iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Corp ETF | |||
| NMS | 12.44 | -0.03 | -0.24% |
| Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund | |||
| WQTM | 34.91 | -0.60 | -1.69% |
| WisdomTree Quantum Computing Fund | |||
DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | -1.10% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.62% | ||
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