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BUD vs DEO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Diageo (DEO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) delivered stronger recent quarterly results with organic revenue growth of 5.6% and underlying earnings per share (EPS) rising 23.4%, while Diageo (DEO) faced lowered guidance and a dividend adjustment amid softer volumes.
- BUD stock reached new 52-week highs following its earnings release, reflecting positive market reaction, whereas DEO shares have shown more subdued year-to-date performance around 2-3% gains amid sector headwinds.
- Both companies operate in the alcoholic beverages sector, with BUD focused primarily on beer and DEO on spirits and wine, exposing them to differing consumer trends and geographic risks.
- Analyst sentiment appears more constructive toward BUD in recent market activity, with price target increases, while DEO contends with ongoing reset efforts in key markets such as the United States and China.
- Valuation metrics indicate BUD trades at lower multiples relative to some historical averages compared with DEO, highlighting potential contrasts in market positioning.
- Free cash flow improvements at Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) provide a buffer, contrasting with Diageo (DEO)’s focus on margin stabilization in the near term.
Introduction
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and Diageo (DEO) represent two leading global players in the alcoholic beverages industry, offering investors exposure to beer and spirits segments respectively. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational developments, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders and investors focused on consumer staples, sector rotation, or international beverage exposure may find this analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities and performance differentials between the two tickers.
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) is the world’s largest brewer, with a portfolio including global brands such as Budweiser, Stella Artois, and Corona. In recent market activity, the stock has benefited from solid second-quarter results that included 5.6% organic revenue growth, 0.9% total volume growth, and normalized earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) expansion of 5.8%. Underlying EPS rose 23.4% to $1.21, surpassing consensus estimates and supporting a move to new 52-week highs near $86.48 as of July 31, 2026. Positive factors influencing sentiment include disciplined revenue management, premiumization efforts, and free cash flow gains of $2.5 billion year-over-year. A shareholder block sale announcement introduced some near-term supply considerations, yet analyst price targets have been raised, reflecting constructive views on operational momentum.
Diageo (DEO) Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo (DEO) is a leading spirits and wine company with iconic brands including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $88.06 as of July 31, 2026, amid a period of reset following earlier guidance adjustments and a dividend reduction. Performance has reflected challenges in key markets such as the United States and China, with organic net sales and adjusted EPS declining modestly in the first half. Upcoming earnings scheduled for early August may provide further clarity on margin stabilization efforts. Broader sentiment has been tempered by affordability pressures and competitive dynamics in the spirits category, resulting in more modest year-to-date returns compared with broader sector benchmarks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and Diageo (DEO) differ in business models, with BUD centered on beer volumes and geographic diversification across emerging markets, while DEO emphasizes higher-margin spirits and faces greater exposure to premium discretionary spending. Recent momentum favors BUD following earnings beats and volume stability, whereas DEO has navigated softer demand and a strategic reset. Risk factors include currency fluctuations and regulatory pressures for both, though BUD’s free cash flow trajectory offers relative resilience. Sector exposure places both in consumer staples, yet sentiment shifts have highlighted BUD’s pricing power versus DEO’s ongoing margin focus. Trade-offs center on BUD’s volume-driven growth potential against DEO’s brand strength in spirits, with valuation contrasts evident in trailing multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, volume trends, and relative price stability, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) over Diageo (DEO) in the near term. This positioning reflects stronger trend alignment following positive quarterly results and analyst support, though outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BUD is a Hold and DEO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а -2.88% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was -1.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +0.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.28%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was +1.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+0.84% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (+1.92% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
| BUD | DEO | BUD / DEO | |
| Capitalization | 155B | 52.1B | 298% |
| EBITDA | 23.8B | 6.39B | 373% |
| Gain YTD | 23.480 | 9.885 | 238% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.01 | 30.37 | 56% |
| Revenue | 62.6B | 19.8B | 316% |
| Total Cash | 7.91B | 905M | 874% |
| Total Debt | 72.3B | 23.5B | 308% |
BUD | DEO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 68 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (22) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (30). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (62) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (100). This means that BUD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's SMR Rating (68) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (90). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (57). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (54). This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | DEO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 52% | 5 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 40% |
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with ABEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then ABEV could also see price increases.
DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been loosely correlated with BUD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then BUD could also see price increases.