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BUD vs DEO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Diageo (DEO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 17%, outpacing DEO's 7% gain amid recent market activity.
- BUD's larger market capitalization of $146 billion provides greater scale compared to DEO's $44 billion.
- Recent U.S. manufacturing investments and non-alcoholic beer growth support BUD's momentum, while DEO benefits from tariff relief on Scotch whisky.
- DEO trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.4 versus BUD's 22.3, appealing to value-oriented investors.
- Both stocks face consumer spending pressures but show resilience through premiumization strategies in recent weeks.
- Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward BUD for superior trend consistency.
Introduction
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and Diageo (DEO) represent titans in the alcoholic beverages sector, with BUD dominating beer production and DEO leading in spirits. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking exposure to consumer staples amid shifting tastes toward premium and non-alcoholic options. Traders monitoring relative performance in recent market activity will find insights into momentum, valuation, and sector risks valuable for portfolio positioning and stock comparison decisions.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), headquartered in Belgium, is the world's largest brewer, offering brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across global markets. It also expands into flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, and non-beer categories via platforms like BEES for B2B digital commerce. In recent weeks, BUD shares have shown resilience, trading around $75.56 with a year-to-date gain of 17%, surpassing broader benchmarks. Key influences include increased U.S. manufacturing investments totaling $600 million, partnerships for events like the FIFA World Cup 2026, and growth in non-alcoholic beers amid premiumization trends. Upcoming Q1 earnings previews suggest positive sentiment, driven by revenue growth and cost efficiencies, bolstering relative performance in the beverages space.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), based in London, specializes in premium spirits including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness, with a presence in beer, wine, and ready-to-drink products across North America, Europe, and emerging markets. Shares recently hovered near $79.70, posting a year-to-date return of 7%, reflecting a recovery pattern. Recent market activity has been lifted by U.S. tariff removals on Scotch whisky following diplomatic developments, sparking stock climbs and optimism for exporters. However, earlier softness in organic sales and volume declines influenced cautious sentiment, offset by new U.S. facility openings and premium brand expansions like Stitzel Reserve bourbon. Valuation reassessments highlight potential attractiveness after prior share price weakness.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD and DEO both navigate the beverages sector but differ in focus: BUD's beer dominance offers volume scale, while DEO's spirits portfolio emphasizes higher margins. Growth drivers include BUD's non-alcoholic innovations and manufacturing expansions versus DEO's premium brands amid volume challenges. Recent momentum favors BUD with superior YTD gains, though DEO shows rebound potential from tariff relief. Risk factors encompass consumer spending slowdowns and regulatory shifts, with BUD exposed to U.S. beer trends and DEO to global spirits demand. Market sentiment tilts toward BUD's stability, but DEO's lower P/E suggests value trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors BUD over DEO, citing stronger trend consistency, higher YTD returns, and positive catalysts like manufacturing investments and earnings outlook. While DEO offers tariff-driven upside and attractive valuation, BUD's relative positioning and stability provide a probabilistic edge in the near term for trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BUD is a Hold and DEO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +1.29% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was -3.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.09%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.98% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-2.17% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
| BUD | DEO | BUD / DEO | |
| Capitalization | 158B | 45.1B | 350% |
| EBITDA | 15.8B | 6.39B | 247% |
| Gain YTD | 28.234 | -4.353 | -649% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.42 | 18.87 | 119% |
| Revenue | 61B | 19.8B | 308% |
| Total Cash | 5.28B | 905M | 584% |
| Total Debt | 73B | 23.5B | 311% |
BUD | DEO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (54). This means that DEO’s stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (100). This means that BUD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's SMR Rating (76) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (98). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (62). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (42). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | DEO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 12 days ago 41% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 33% |
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +0.22% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +1.38% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.87% | ||
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