DFUS
Price
$82.17Alerts
Change
+$2.08 (+2.60%)
Updated
Nov 9, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
20.86B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPY
Price
$752.69Alerts
Change
+$17.40 (+2.37%)
Updated
Nov 9 closing price
Net Assets
775.44B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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DFUS vs SPY

DFUS vs SPY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Dimensional U.S. Equity Market ETF (DFUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

Key Takeaways

  • DFUS provides exposure to a broader universe of approximately 2,200 U.S. equities via the Russell 3000 Index with Dimensional's systematic market-cap-weighted approach, while SPY strictly tracks the S&P 500 Index with roughly 500 holdings.
  • Both ETFs maintain identical expense ratios of 0.09%, offering cost-efficient passive and systematic equity exposure.
  • Top holdings overlap significantly in mega-cap technology names such as NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT, resulting in comparable sector allocations dominated by information technology at approximately 36-38%.
  • DFUS offers greater diversification across market capitalizations, including modest mid- and small-cap exposure, whereas SPY concentrates exclusively on large-cap constituents.
  • Liquidity profiles differ markedly, with SPY benefiting from substantially higher average daily trading volume compared to DFUS.
  • Both funds employ low-turnover strategies suited for long-term core equity allocations in U.S. markets.

Introduction

Investors seeking core U.S. equity exposure often evaluate DFUS and SPY as complementary or alternative vehicles within broad domestic market strategies. These ETFs do not compete directly in every dimension but represent distinct approaches to capturing U.S. equity returns: one through a systematic, broad-market methodology and the other through precise replication of the flagship large-cap benchmark. In the current environment of sustained technology sector influence and evolving macroeconomic conditions, understanding their structural differences aids portfolio construction decisions.

Dimensional U.S. Equity Market ETF (DFUS) Overview

DFUS seeks long-term capital appreciation while minimizing federal income taxes on returns. The ETF tracks the Russell 3000 Index through a market-capitalization-weighted approach with systematic tilts toward profitability and other factors. It holds approximately 2,200 U.S. companies across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization segments. Top holdings include NVDA (around 7%), AAPL (around 6.8%), MSFT (around 5.5%), AMZN, and Alphabet class shares. Sector allocations feature information technology near 37%, followed by financials and industrials. The expense ratio stands at 0.09%. As a passively oriented systematic fund from Dimensional Fund Advisors, DFUS emphasizes broad diversification with modest active implementation elements and low turnover.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Overview

SPY aims to deliver investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index before expenses. The fund holds approximately 500 large-cap U.S. companies with weights closely mirroring the index. Top holdings mirror market-cap dominance with NVDA (around 8%), AAPL (around 7.5%), MSFT (around 6%), AMZN, and Alphabet shares. Information technology comprises roughly 38% of assets, with financials and health care following. The expense ratio is 0.09%. SPY operates as a fully passive index-tracking ETF sponsored by State Street Global Advisors, renowned for exceptional liquidity and precise benchmark replication.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. equity market continues to reflect concentration in technology and growth-oriented sectors amid ongoing innovation in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and digital infrastructure. Macroeconomic drivers including interest rate expectations, corporate earnings cycles, and capital allocation trends influence both ETFs. Regulatory developments around technology platforms and potential shifts in fiscal policy add layers of consideration. Broader market cycles have favored large-cap technology exposure in recent periods, though diversification across market capitalizations remains relevant for risk management.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have delivered returns closely aligned with large-cap U.S. equity benchmarks, driven by strength in top technology holdings. DFUS's broader inclusion of mid- and small-cap names has introduced modest differences in volatility and sector rotation sensitivity compared to SPY's large-cap focus. Relative positioning highlights DFUS's potential for enhanced diversification benefits during periods of small-cap outperformance, while SPY offers tighter tracking to the most widely followed large-cap index. Liquidity advantages favor SPY for institutional trading activity.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore opportunities with the AI Screener.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, and diversification profile, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to DFUS for investors prioritizing broader U.S. market exposure beyond the S&P 500. SPY remains highly competitive due to unmatched liquidity and precise index replication. Selection ultimately depends on specific portfolio objectives regarding market-cap breadth and trading needs.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
DFUS vs. SPY commentary
Nov 10, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DFUS is a Hold and SPY is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for DFUS with price predictions
Nov 09, 2026

DFUS in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

DFUS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 37 cases where DFUS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DFUS advanced for three days, in 272 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DFUS as a result. In 60 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DFUS turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.

DFUS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DFUS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DFUS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for DFUS entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPY with price predictions
Nov 09, 2026

SPY in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 38 cases where SPY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 291 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 61 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
DFUSSPY
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
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DFUS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DFUS has been loosely correlated with AVGO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DFUS jumps, then AVGO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DFUS
1D Price
Change %
DFUS100%
+2.57%
AVGO - DFUS
61%
Loosely correlated
+8.78%
MSFT - DFUS
61%
Loosely correlated
+2.75%
AAPL - DFUS
60%
Loosely correlated
+2.43%
AMZN - DFUS
59%
Loosely correlated
+2.94%
META - DFUS
58%
Loosely correlated
+5.12%
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