Dividend-focused investors frequently weigh two of the market's largest and most liquid income ETFs: the iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO) and the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM). Although both funds appear in the same "dividend" conversation, they are built on different index methodologies and answer different questions. DGRO asks which companies can grow their payouts over time, while VYM asks which companies are paying more now. In the current market environment—marked by shifting interest-rate expectations and ongoing sector rotation—this ETF comparison helps investors understand where each fund's sector exposure and relative positioning are likely to diverge.
DGRO is a passively managed fund from BlackRock's iShares that tracks the Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index. The index selects U.S. companies with a consistent history of growing dividends, screening for dividend growth, earnings payout ratio, and yield before weighting holdings by total dividend dollars. This methodology tilts the portfolio toward financially durable, large-cap companies with sustainable payout trajectories.
The fund holds roughly 400 securities and charges a 0.08% expense ratio. Its largest positions include XOM, MSFT, AAPL, ABBV, JPM, JNJ, AVGO, PG, PM, and HD, with no single name exceeding roughly 3% of assets. Sector allocation is anchored by financial services (near 20%), healthcare (near 18%), technology (roughly 16–19%), and consumer staples (near 13%), with smaller weightings in industrials and utilities. The result is a diversified, quality-oriented dividend growth basket with a lower current yield but a stronger growth orientation.
VYM is a passively managed fund from Vanguard that tracks the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index. Its methodology is straightforward: it ranks U.S. dividend-paying stocks by forecasted 12-month yield, includes the highest-yielding half of the eligible market, excludes real estate investment trusts (REITs—companies that own and operate income-producing properties), and weights holdings by market capitalization. This approach favors larger, higher-yielding companies rather than prioritizing dividend growth history.
The fund holds more than 600 securities and carries a 0.04% expense ratio—among the lowest in the high-dividend category. Top holdings include AVGO (a notably larger position near 7% of assets), JPM, XOM, JNJ, ABBV, CSCO, BAC, CVX, MRK, and CAT. Sector allocation leans heavily on financials (near 21%), technology (near 17%), healthcare (near 14%), industrials (near 12%), and energy (near 10%). VYM generally offers a modestly higher current yield but less emphasis on payout growth consistency.
Both funds operate within the broader large-cap dividend universe, and their performance is closely tied to several macro and thematic forces. Interest-rate expectations remain a central driver: when bond yields stay elevated, high-dividend equities face stiffer competition from fixed income, which can pressure valuation multiples across the category. At the same time, persistent demand for income has kept capital flowing toward dividend strategies, reinforcing the structural appeal of both ETFs.
Sector dynamics also matter. Financials—the largest weighting in both funds—are sensitive to credit conditions and net interest margins, while energy exposure responds to commodity prices and global supply trends. Healthcare and consumer staples provide defensive ballast during risk-off periods. Regulatory and policy shifts around dividends and buybacks, along with currency movements affecting multinational revenue, round out the macro environment. These forces create meaningful divergence between a growth-oriented basket like DGRO and a current-yield-oriented basket like VYM.
Over recent months and market cycles, the two funds have generally moved in the same broad direction but with distinct tilts. VYM's heavier financials and energy weighting, combined with its large position in AVGO, has made it somewhat more sensitive to cyclical and technology momentum, while DGRO's stronger healthcare and consumer staples allocation has lent it a more defensive character during periods of market stress. DGRO's emphasis on dividend growers also means its holdings tend to exhibit steadier earnings and payout fundamentals.
From a relative positioning standpoint, VYM's current-yield bias tends to support a higher income stream today, whereas DGRO's growth orientation favors compounding dividend increases over time. Cost-conscious investors may note VYM's 0.04% fee advantage, while investors prioritizing payout durability may favor DGRO's quality screen. Neither fund is inherently superior; their relative attractiveness shifts with the rate environment, sector rotation, and each investor's income-versus-growth preference.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to streamline your research process.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a marginal edge to DGRO for long-term, growth-oriented investors. Its focus on consistent dividend growers, broader top-tier diversification, and defensive sector mix suggests more resilient payout durability across market cycles. However, for investors prioritizing current income and maximum cost efficiency, VYM holds a clear advantage through its lower expense ratio, higher present yield, and heavier weighting in yield-rich sectors. The AI's preference is therefore conditional on objective: DGRO appears better positioned for compounding income growth with lower volatility, while VYM appears better suited to maximizing immediate cash flow at minimal cost. This assessment is probabilistic in nature and reflects observable characteristics rather than a personalized recommendation.
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The 10-day moving average for DGRO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DGRO as a result. In 73 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DGRO just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where DGRO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
DGRO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DGRO advanced for three days, in 295 of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 307 of 394 cases where DGRO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DGRO moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 63 cases where DGRO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DGRO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
DGRO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
VYM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VYM just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where VYM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
VYM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VYM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +1.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VYM advanced for three days, in 279 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
VYM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 253 of 331 cases where VYM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VYM moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 84%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VYM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
| DGRO | VYM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 85% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 76% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DGRO has been closely correlated with BEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DGRO jumps, then BEN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DGRO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DGRO | 100% | +0.54% | ||
| BEN - DGRO | 80% Closely correlated | +0.03% | ||
| TROW - DGRO | 79% Closely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| TXN - DGRO | 78% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| KEY - DGRO | 78% Closely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| VSH - DGRO | 77% Closely correlated | +8.77% | ||
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