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DIS vs NFLX
DIS vs NFLX Stock Comparison: Streaming Stability vs Acquisition Risks
Key Takeaways
- DIS trades around $105, down 7% YTD, showing relative stability after Q1 earnings beat with $25.98B revenue and $7B buyback plan.
- NFLX at $77, down 18% YTD, pressured by $82.7B Warner Bros. Discovery bid facing activist and regulatory scrutiny.
- DIS forward P/E of 17x offers value versus NFLX's 27x+, with diversified parks and streaming profitability gains.
- Both face sector headwinds like linear TV declines and AI threats, but DIS shows stronger analyst targets at $130+.
- Recent DIS catalysts include theme park records and leadership transition; NFLX boasts high margins but higher volatility.
Introduction
Disney (DIS) and Netflix (NFLX) represent pivotal players in the entertainment sector, blending traditional media with streaming dominance. This DIS vs NFLX stock comparison examines their relative performance amid shifting market dynamics, including streaming profitability, acquisition pursuits, and macroeconomic pressures. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term value in media stocks will find insights into business models, recent catalysts, and positioning. With both stocks underperforming broader indices in recent weeks, understanding contrasts in stability, growth drivers, and risks aids informed decisions on relative performance and market positioning.
DIS Overview and Recent Performance
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) operates a diversified portfolio spanning theme parks, streaming (Disney+), linear networks, and content production. In recent market activity, DIS shares have stabilized around $105, reflecting a 7% YTD decline but a 3% daily gain amid broader volatility. Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings beat expectations with $25.98 billion revenue (up 5.2% YoY) and adjusted EPS above forecasts, driven by record theme park performance exceeding $10 billion quarterly. Sentiment benefits from streaming profitability strides, a $7 billion fiscal 2026 buyback, and leadership transition to Josh D’Amaro, though IP legal battles and linear TV erosion temper gains. Forward P/E at 17x underscores undervaluation relative to peers, with analysts targeting $130+.
NFLX Overview and Recent Performance
Netflix (NFLX), the pure-play streaming leader, focuses on original content, subscriber growth, and ad-tier expansion. Shares trade near $77, down 18% YTD and 42% from mid-2025 peaks, with recent 6.5% weekly drops. Q4 results showed resilience: $12.05 billion revenue (up 17.6% YoY), 29.5% operating margins, and EPS of $0.56 beating estimates. However, a contentious $82.7 billion Warner Bros. Discovery bid draws investor pushback over debt and regulation, alongside AI concerns. Guidance signals 12-14% 2026 revenue growth deceleration. At forward P/E above 27x, NFLX carries premium valuation with analyst targets near $119, implying upside but elevated volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DIS and NFLX diverge sharply in business models: DIS's diversification across parks (stable cash cow), streaming, and networks contrasts NFLX's streaming-only focus, yielding higher margins (29.5%) but acquisition dependency. Growth drivers differ—DIS leverages IP hits like Zootopia 2 for parks/box office; NFLX bets on content and global subs, tempered by saturation. Recent momentum favors DIS's post-earnings stability (-7% YTD) over NFLX's steeper drop (-18% YTD). Risk factors include DIS's debt ($46B) and legal IP fights versus NFLX's deal hurdles and growth slowdown. Sector exposure overlaps in entertainment but DIS gains from experiences; sentiment tilts to DIS value at lower P/E amid NFLX's premium pricing trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors DIS for its trend consistency post-earnings, lower valuation (17x forward P/E), $7B buyback signaling confidence, and diversified stability amid NFLX's acquisition uncertainties. Observable factors like relative YTD outperformance (-7% vs -18%), streaming profitability, and catalysts position DIS probabilistically stronger in the near term, though NFLX's margins offer rebound potential if deals resolve favorably.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DIS is a Hold and NFLX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DIS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNFLX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DIS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NFLX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DIS’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NFLX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DIS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NFLX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DIS (@Movies/Entertainment) experienced а +0.33% price change this week, while NFLX (@Movies/Entertainment) price change was -2.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Movies/Entertainment industry was +4.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
DIS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
NFLX is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Movies/Entertainment (+4.08% weekly)Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.
| DIS | NFLX | DIS / NFLX | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 344B | 51% |
| EBITDA | 19.5B | 34.1B | 57% |
| Gain YTD | -10.618 | -12.895 | 82% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.27 | 26.35 | 62% |
| Revenue | 97.3B | 46.9B | 207% |
| Total Cash | 5.68B | 12.3B | 46% |
| Total Debt | 47.4B | 14.4B | 329% |
DIS | NFLX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DIS's Valuation (36) in the Media Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NFLX (87) in the Cable Or Satellite TV industry. This means that DIS’s stock grew somewhat faster than NFLX’s over the last 12 months.
NFLX's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Cable Or Satellite TV industry is in the same range as DIS (100) in the Media Conglomerates industry. This means that NFLX’s stock grew similarly to DIS’s over the last 12 months.
NFLX's SMR Rating (20) in the Cable Or Satellite TV industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DIS (70) in the Media Conglomerates industry. This means that NFLX’s stock grew somewhat faster than DIS’s over the last 12 months.
DIS's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Media Conglomerates industry is in the same range as NFLX (64) in the Cable Or Satellite TV industry. This means that DIS’s stock grew similarly to NFLX’s over the last 12 months.
DIS's P/E Growth Rating (85) in the Media Conglomerates industry is in the same range as NFLX (95) in the Cable Or Satellite TV industry. This means that DIS’s stock grew similarly to NFLX’s over the last 12 months.
| DIS | NFLX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 58% | 8 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 68% |
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DIS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DIS has been loosely correlated with NWSA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DIS jumps, then NWSA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DIS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIS | 100% | +1.65% | ||
| NWSA - DIS | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| NWS - DIS | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| MCS - DIS | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| ROKU - DIS | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| VIA - DIS | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
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NFLX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that NFLX and LUCK have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that NFLX and LUCK's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NFLX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFLX | 100% | +1.66% | ||
| LUCK - NFLX | 29% Poorly correlated | -3.31% | ||
| SPHR - NFLX | 26% Poorly correlated | +0.74% | ||
| MCS - NFLX | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.83% | ||
| TKO - NFLX | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.68% | ||
| WMG - NFLX | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.07% | ||
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