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DOUG vs MMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Douglas Elliman (DOUG) vs. Marcus & Millichap (MMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DOUG is a luxury residential real estate brokerage, while MMI is a commercial real estate investment sales and financing firm, giving them different cyclical drivers despite a shared brokerage business model.
- Both companies hold strong, debt-free balance sheets, but MMI is far larger by market value and has returned cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, whereas DOUG is focused on reinvesting in an AI-led transformation.
- MMI swung to net income in its most recent quarter on double-digit revenue growth, while DOUG is still narrowing losses and turning toward profitability.
- Relative performance has diverged, with DOUG showing sharp post-earnings momentum in a lower-priced, more volatile share, and MMI grinding steadily higher on improving commercial real estate fundamentals.
- For deeper context on each name, explore DOUG Major News, DOUG Today's Price Move, MMI Major News, and MMI Today's Price Move.
- To see how quantitative systems are positioning across the market, visit Tickeron's curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to the U.S. real estate services sector often compare firms that share a brokerage heritage yet serve very different corners of the market. Douglas Elliman (DOUG) operates at the luxury end of residential home sales, while Marcus & Millichap (MMI) dominates commercial real estate investment sales and financing. This stock comparison is most relevant to traders and investors evaluating how interest-rate conditions, transaction volumes, and capital-allocation strategies shape two commission-driven businesses. Because both names are sensitive to deal activity yet differ in scale, growth drivers, and profitability trajectory, a side-by-side review of their relative performance and market positioning can clarify where each may hold an edge.
DOUG Overview and Recent Performance
Douglas Elliman is a leading luxury residential real estate brokerage with operations concentrated in high-value markets such as New York, Florida, California, and Texas, alongside a growing international footprint. Its business is centered on commissions from existing-home sales and development marketing, with an industry-leading average price per transaction of roughly $1.9 million.
In recent market activity, DOUG shares have advanced sharply, gaining on the order of 9% over a recent one-month stretch and outpacing the broader market after its latest quarterly report. The company narrowed its quarterly net loss substantially, to about $2.7 million from more than $22 million a year earlier, aided by higher comparable revenue, lower overhead, and the absence of prior-year non-cash charges tied to retired convertible debt. Management has pointed to improving cash receipts from existing-home sales in recent months, particularly in Florida, the Hamptons, and Texas.
Sentiment has also been shaped by a company-wide technology and AI transformation built with Google Cloud, including a newly formed intelligence business called Elius, and by a development marketing pipeline of roughly $26.1 billion. The firm maintains more than $100 million in cash with no long-term debt, though it remains unprofitable on a trailing basis and trades as a relatively low-priced, higher-volatility name with a 52-week range well above current levels.
MMI Overview and Recent Performance
Marcus & Millichap is a national commercial real estate services firm specializing in investment sales, financing, research, and advisory services. It operates a network of investment sales and financing professionals serving a fragmented private-client market that accounts for the majority of U.S. commercial property transactions.
Recent results have shown a clear recovery in deal activity. MMI delivered double-digit revenue growth in its most recent quarters, with brokerage commissions and financing fees both rising as bid-ask spreads narrowed and lending conditions improved. The company turned a modest net profit in its latest reported quarter and saw adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) improve meaningfully year over year. Financing volume grew particularly strongly, and larger transactions above $20 million accelerated as institutional investors returned to the market.
The balance sheet remains a standout, with roughly $345 million in cash and marketable securities and no debt. Unlike its residential counterpart, MMI pays a semiannual dividend and has actively repurchased shares, recently expanding its buyback authorization. Headwinds include interest-rate volatility, which can extend transaction timelines, and a still-early recovery in commercial real estate relative to prior peaks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection from Tickeron's library of hundreds of AI-powered trading bots, which collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers. Because not every bot is suited to every market regime, only those best aligned with current conditions earn a place in this rotating, curated list. The featured robots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance histories, statistics, and the specific sets of tickers they trade, so investors can compare approaches rather than rely on a single model. For those interested in how algorithmic systems are currently positioning across names like DOUG and MMI, exploring the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is their market focus. DOUG is a residential brokerage tied to the luxury housing cycle and high-net-worth buyer sentiment, while MMI is exposed to commercial real estate transaction velocity, credit availability, and institutional capital flows. This means their growth drivers respond to different parts of the interest-rate environment and to different buyers and sellers.
Scale and financial maturity also differ. MMI carries a market capitalization well above $1 billion, generates positive net income, and returns capital through dividends and buybacks. DOUG is a smaller company that remains loss-making on a trailing basis but is investing aggressively in an AI-led cost and product transformation. On risk factors, DOUG trades with notably higher volatility and a wider historical price range, whereas MMI has shown steadier, accumulation-style performance. In short, the trade-off is between a higher-beta turnaround story and a larger, more diversified recovery play with shareholder-friendly capital policies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, financial stability, and catalyst quality, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MMI as the more favorable setup in the current environment. The combination of a return to net profitability, accelerating revenue growth across both brokerage and financing segments, a debt-free balance sheet with substantial cash, and active capital returns suggests a steadier and more durable trend profile. DOUG offers greater potential upside given its smaller base, sharp momentum, and transformative AI initiatives, but its higher volatility and continued net losses introduce more uncertainty. As a result, an AI model weighting stability and trend reliability would probably favor MMI, while acknowledging that DOUG presents a higher-risk, higher-reward alternative for momentum-oriented traders.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOUG is a Buy and MMI is a StrongBuy.
DOUG's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for DOUG moved out of oversold territory on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 30 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 61 cases where DOUG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DOUG as a result. In 60 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DOUG just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where DOUG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
DOUG moved above its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DOUG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +10.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DOUG advanced for three days, in 177 of 239 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DOUG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
DOUG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DOUG entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.849) is normal, around the industry mean (2.188). P/E Ratio (5.379) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.152). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.683). Dividend Yield (0.122) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.145) is also within normal values, averaging (5.807).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DOUG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DOUG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
MMI's RSI Indicator entering oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for MMI moved into overbought territory on November 10, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +4.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MMI advanced for three days, in 187 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
MMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MMI as a result. In 64 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MMI turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
MMI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for MMI entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MMI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.815) is normal, around the industry mean (2.188). P/E Ratio (75.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.152). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.480) is also within normal values, averaging (0.683). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.479) is also within normal values, averaging (5.807).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MMI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
MMI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| DOUG | MMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 10 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOUG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MMI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DOUG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MMI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOUG’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MMI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOUG’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DOUG (@Real Estate Development) experienced а +9.49% price change this week, while MMI (@Real Estate Development) price change was -13.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Development industry was -6.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
MMI is expected to report earnings on Feb 12, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Development (-6.75% weekly)Activities range from the renovation and re-lease of existing buildings to the purchase of raw land and the sale of developed land or parcels to others. Demand for land development business is driven by GDP growth, employment rates, interest rates, and access to/cost of capital. For individual companies in this industry, proper cost estimation and successful bidding play critical roles in their profitability. Large companies could potentially have greater access to capital, while smaller companies can specialize in a specific geographic area or market niche. CBRE Group, VICI Properties Inc and Brookfield Property Partners L.P. are some of the large companies in this industry.
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DOUG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOUG has been loosely correlated with MMI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DOUG jumps, then MMI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DOUG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOUG | 100% | +8.13% | ||
| MMI - DOUG | 41% Loosely correlated | -6.74% | ||
| AGNT - DOUG | 41% Loosely correlated | -9.95% | ||
| COMP - DOUG | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.41% | ||
| CWK - DOUG | 40% Loosely correlated | -4.54% | ||
| REAX - DOUG | 38% Loosely correlated | -6.17% | ||
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