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DOW vs EMN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dow Inc. (DOW) vs. Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DOW has delivered strong year-to-date gains exceeding 59%, significantly outperforming EMN's 17% rise amid recent market volatility.
- EMN trades at a more attractive trailing P/E ratio of about 18 compared to DOW's elevated forward multiple over 150, reflecting profitability differences.
- Both stocks offer solid dividends, with EMN yielding around 4.5% versus DOW's 3.8%.
- DOW, the larger player with a $26B market cap, is pursuing a $2B EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) uplift through restructuring, while EMN focuses on cost reductions.
- Recent chemical sector pressures have led to pullbacks, but analyst targets suggest upside potential for both: $39 for DOW and $79 for EMN.
Introduction
Investors seeking exposure to the chemicals and materials sector often compare DOW and EMN, two established players navigating commodity cycles, supply chain dynamics, and industrial demand. This stock comparison highlights their relative performance, business drivers, and market positioning in the current environment. Traders focused on momentum and restructuring plays may eye DOW, while those prioritizing stability and dividends might prefer EMN. With both facing headwinds from global economic shifts, understanding their contrasts aids informed relative performance decisions.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is a leading materials science company producing plastics, chemicals, and agricultural products for packaging, infrastructure, and consumer goods. In recent market activity, DOW shares have shown robust recovery, posting year-to-date gains over 59% from 52-week lows near $20. This momentum stems from anticipated petrochemical supply constraints and a major "Transform to Outperform" initiative targeting at least $2 billion in operational EBITDA uplift through cost cuts, asset optimization, and workforce reductions of about 4,500 roles. However, sentiment has softened in recent weeks with a sharp pullback amid broader market concerns and ahead of first-quarter earnings, where analysts expect a loss and revenue decline. Lower beta of 0.50 indicates relative stability, supporting its appeal in volatile conditions.
EMN Overview and Recent Performance
Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) specializes in specialty chemicals, fibers, and plastics used in coatings, adhesives, and consumer products. Shares have advanced about 17% year-to-date, trading within a 52-week range of $56 to $84, but lagged one-year peers with minimal net gains. Recent performance reflects steady operations despite sector pressures, bolstered by fourth-quarter results meeting EPS expectations at $0.75 while revenue slightly missed. Influences include cost-saving measures, ethylene-to-propylene conversion projects for $50-100 million earnings boost, and selective price target hikes amid geopolitical supply risks. Higher beta of 1.17 signals greater market sensitivity, contributing to mixed sentiment in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DOW ($26B market cap) dwarfs EMN ($8B) in scale, blending commodity chemicals with specialties versus EMN’s focused specialty portfolio, offering trade-offs in diversification versus niche growth drivers. Recent momentum favors DOW’s explosive YTD surge, while EMN provides steadier positioning with positive EPS. Risk profiles differ: DOW’s low beta suits defensive plays amid restructuring risks, contrasting EMN’s higher volatility but superior dividend yield. Sector exposure overlaps in chemicals, yet DOW benefits more from infrastructure catalysts. Market sentiment leans positive for both, with comparable upside to targets, highlighting value in relative performance monitoring.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor DOW in the current environment, driven by superior trend consistency, year-to-date momentum exceeding 59%, and transformative catalysts like the $2B EBITDA plan positioning it for recovery amid supply dynamics. While EMN offers stability and dividends, DOW’s relative strength suggests higher probability of outperformance, barring earnings disappointments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOW is a Hold and EMN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileEMN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- EMN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EMN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EMN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -3.28% price change this week, while EMN (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -4.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -4.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
EMN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-4.14% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.01% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| DOW | EMN | DOW / EMN | |
| Capitalization | 24.7B | 8.16B | 303% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 1.19B | 99% |
| Gain YTD | 49.691 | 13.112 | 379% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.92 | 20.62 | 368% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 8.64B | 455% |
| Total Cash | 3.85B | 665M | 579% |
| Total Debt | 19.6B | 5.22B | 375% |
DOW | EMN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 11 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EMN's Valuation (11) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as DOW (25) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that EMN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
EMN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that EMN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
EMN's SMR Rating (82) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as DOW (96) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that EMN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as EMN (50) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to EMN’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as EMN (10) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to EMN’s over the last 12 months.
| DOW | EMN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 59% | 15 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | N/A |
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DOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOW has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DOW jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.