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DOW vs WLK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dow Inc. (DOW) vs. Westlake Corporation (WLK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DOW and WLK have posted robust year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 59% and 55%, respectively, outperforming broader market averages amid chemical sector volatility.
- DOW boasts a larger market capitalization ($26 billion vs. $15 billion for WLK) and a higher dividend yield (3.8% vs. 1.9%).
- Recent weeks have seen heightened volatility, with DOW declining about 5% over the past month while WLK remained relatively flat to positive.
- Analyst price targets suggest modest upside for both, with WLK seeing recent raises to $145 despite some downgrades.
- Both companies face earnings pressures with negative earnings per share (EPS), but benefit from petrochemical supply dynamics.
Introduction
Dow Inc. (DOW) and Westlake Corporation (WLK) are prominent players in the basic chemicals sector, producing essential materials like plastics and olefins used in packaging, construction, and infrastructure. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders navigating commodity price swings, supply chain disruptions, and sector cyclicality. With both stocks delivering strong YTD performance amid broader market rallies, understanding their relative momentum, risk profiles, and catalysts can inform portfolio positioning in a volatile environment focused on materials and industrials.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. is a leading materials science company specializing in packaging, infrastructure, and consumer applications through silicones, polyurethanes, and performance materials. In recent market activity, DOW shares have exhibited volatility, rebounding sharply in some sessions amid anticipation for quarterly earnings while facing pressures from projected losses and declining revenues. A leadership transition, with CEO Jim Fitterling moving to executive chair and Karen S. Carter assuming the CEO role, introduced short-term uncertainty, contributing to a notable single-day decline. Sentiment has been influenced positively by price adjustments in plastics due to Middle East supply concerns and analyst expectations of earnings beats, supporting YTD gains near 59% despite a monthly dip.
WLK Overview and Recent Performance
Westlake Corporation manufactures and markets petrochemicals, polymers, and fabricated building products, with key segments in olefins, vinyls, and housing-related materials. Over recent weeks, WLK shares have shown resilience, touching new 52-week highs earlier in the period before some pullback, buoyed by post-earnings momentum up over 10%. Factors include a $67 million settlement in a PVC antitrust lawsuit, which resolved overhang, alongside price target increases from firms like RBC Capital and Citi to $145. Despite downgrades from Deutsche Bank and BofA Securities, enhanced liquidity via a new $1.5 billion credit facility has bolstered positioning, driving YTD returns around 55% in a choppy chemical landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DOW operates a more diversified business model across global end-markets, contrasting WLK’s concentration in North American olefins and vinyls tied to housing and construction cycles. Growth drivers for both hinge on petrochemical demand, but WLK benefits from ethane cost advantages while DOW leverages broader innovation in sustainable materials. Recent momentum favors WLK with flatter monthly performance versus DOW’s dip, though DOW’s lower beta (0.5 vs. 0.75) signals greater stability. Risk factors include higher debt-to-equity for DOW (112% vs. 69%) and cyclical exposure, with market sentiment mixed—WLK drawing PT upgrades amid legal resolutions, DOW navigating leadership shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward WLK with higher probability in the near term, driven by stronger recent relative momentum, analyst price target expansions, and resolved legal catalysts positioning it favorably against sector headwinds. DOW offers stability and scale, but WLK’s trend consistency edges it ahead probabilistically based on observable factors like YTD alignment and lower leverage.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOW is a Hold and WLK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWLK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WLK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WLK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WLK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -0.35% price change this week, while WLK (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +4.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was +1.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.30%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +3.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
WLK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (+1.69% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (+3.29% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| DOW | WLK | DOW / WLK | |
| Capitalization | 24.4B | 11.3B | 216% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | -386M | -306% |
| Gain YTD | 47.986 | 21.011 | 228% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.92 | 27.79 | 273% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 11B | 357% |
| Total Cash | 3.85B | 2.48B | 156% |
| Total Debt | 19.6B | 6.42B | 305% |
DOW | WLK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DOW's Valuation (24) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as WLK (27) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to WLK’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as WLK (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to WLK’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's SMR Rating (96) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as WLK (96) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to WLK’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as WLK (58) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to WLK’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is significantly better than the same rating for WLK (96) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew significantly faster than WLK’s over the last 12 months.
| DOW | WLK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 9 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
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DOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOW has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DOW jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.