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DTM vs KMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? DT Midstream (DTM) vs. Kinder Morgan (KMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DTM is a smaller, faster-growing natural gas midstream operator with a premium valuation (price-to-earnings ratio, or P/E, roughly 30x), while KMI is a diversified, larger-scale energy infrastructure giant trading near 22x earnings.
- KMI offers a higher dividend yield (about 3.5%) versus DTM (about 2.8%), reflecting different growth-versus-income profiles.
- Both companies are leaning on natural gas demand tied to LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports and power generation, but KMI's $10 billion backlog dwarfs DTM's roughly $3.4 billion organic backlog.
- KMI delivered record full-year 2025 results and a credit rating upgrade, while DTM posted strong Q1 2026 results and sanctioned new pipeline expansions.
- Recent relative performance favors KMI, which has trended near 52-week highs, whereas DTM has traded below its 20-day moving average in recent weeks.
Introduction
Investors weighing the North American energy infrastructure sector frequently encounter two distinct profiles: DT Midstream, Inc. and Kinder Morgan, Inc. This stock comparison examines how a growth-oriented, natural gas-focused midstream operator (DTM) stacks up against one of the continent's largest and most diversified energy infrastructure companies (KMI). The comparison is relevant to income-focused investors evaluating dividend durability, growth investors assessing expansion backlogs, and traders monitoring relative performance and market positioning. Both names share exposure to rising natural gas demand, yet their scale, valuation, and risk profiles differ meaningfully, making this a useful case study in balancing growth against stability.
DTM Overview and Recent Performance
DT Midstream, Inc. (DTM) is a Detroit-based owner and operator of natural gas interstate and intrastate pipelines, storage and gathering systems, and related compression and treatment facilities across the Southern, Northeastern, and Midwestern United States and Canada. The company offers an integrated wellhead-to-market service suite. In recent weeks, the stock has traded below its 20-day moving average after a strong start to the year, with shares near the $123–$124 level in mid-October. The company's first-quarter 2026 results showed reported net income of $130 million and Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $308 million, while the board declared a $0.88 per-share quarterly dividend. Management sanctioned the Vector Pipeline 2028 expansion and Millennium Pipeline R2R project, and reported oversubscribed open seasons on additional expansions. These catalysts support a growth narrative, though the stock's elevated valuation (P/E near 30x) leaves less room for error, and some analysts have noted an overextended technical setup.
KMI Overview and Recent Performance
Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America, operating across natural gas pipelines, product pipelines, terminals, and CO2 (carbon dioxide) transport and enhanced oil recovery. Natural gas activities account for roughly two-thirds of its business. KMI posted record full-year 2025 results, including net income of about $3.06 billion, and reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $0.39. The company raised its dividend 2% to $0.2925 per share quarterly and ended 2025 with a project backlog above $10 billion, roughly 90% weighted to natural gas. S&P upgraded KMI's senior unsecured rating to BBB+ in January 2026. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the top of its 52-week range, closing around $34.20 in mid-October with a year-to-date gain above 20%. Management guided to 2026 adjusted EBITDA of about $8.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.36.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are midstream energy operators, their market positioning differs sharply. KMI is a diversified, large-cap name (market capitalization near $76 billion) with meaningful exposure to refined products, terminals, and CO2 alongside natural gas, offering a lower beta and a higher dividend yield. DTM is a pure-play natural gas midstream company (market capitalization near $14 billion) with a narrower footprint but a faster growth trajectory and a richer valuation. Growth drivers for both hinge on natural gas demand from LNG exports and power generation, yet KMI's scale and $10 billion backlog provide more visible, diversified cash flow, while DTM's concentrated exposure offers greater upside sensitivity but less diversification. Risk factors differ as well: DTM carries execution and valuation risk around its expansion program, whereas KMI carries higher absolute leverage (net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA near 3.8x) balanced by a larger, more established asset base. Recent momentum has favored KMI, which has rallied toward 52-week highs, while DTM has consolidated below short-term moving averages.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward KMI. The stock's stronger recent momentum near 52-week highs, record earnings, credit rating upgrade, and diversified cash flows present a more consistent and stable trend profile. In contrast, DTM shows a more constructive long-term growth setup but has traded below near-term moving averages and carries a higher valuation, which introduces greater sensitivity to execution missteps. The AI's probabilistic read favors KMI for trend stability in the current environment, while acknowledging DTM's growth potential as a catalyst-dependent alternative rather than a lower-risk counterpart.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DTM is a StrongBuy and KMI is a Hold.
DTM's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DTM turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DTM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DTM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 9 of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DTM as a result. In 48 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DTM advanced for three days, in 233 of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
DTM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 57 cases where DTM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
The Aroon Indicator for DTM entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DTM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.615) is normal, around the industry mean (168.262). P/E Ratio (26.684) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.987). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (99228393472.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.785) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
Momentum Indicator for KMI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
KMI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 55 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMI just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
KMI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KMI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
Following a +2.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMI advanced for three days, in 198 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMI moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
KMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KMI entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KMI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.351) is normal, around the industry mean (168.262). P/E Ratio (21.542) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.987). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.126) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (99228393472.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.807) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
KMI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| DTM | KMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 48% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DTM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while KMI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DTM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KMI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DTM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DTM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DTM (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -2.50% price change this week, while KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +0.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -6.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
DTM is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
KMI is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-6.15% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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DTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DTM has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DTM jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.