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AM vs KMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Midstream (AM) vs. Kinder Morgan (KMI) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- KMI is one of North America's largest, most diversified energy infrastructure operators, while AM is a more focused midstream company tied closely to Antero Resources' Appalachian activity.
- KMI reported record adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) in its latest quarter and raised full-year guidance, while AM posted solid volume growth but saw earnings modestly trail consensus estimates.
- AM offers a higher dividend yield near 4.4%, whereas KMI carries a lower yield but a nine-year streak of dividend increases and a substantially larger project backlog.
- The two names represent contrasting risk profiles: AM is a higher-beta growth-oriented gatherer, while KMI is a diversified toll-road-style operator with multiple business segments.
- Both stocks benefit from rising U.S. natural gas demand tied to LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports and power-generation growth, a shared catalyst for the sector.
2) Introduction
Investors evaluating energy infrastructure often weigh focused, high-yield names against diversified, scaled operators. AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) and KMI (Kinder Morgan, Inc.) illustrate that choice well. Both generate fee-based cash flow from transporting, gathering, and processing hydrocarbons, yet their market positioning, growth drivers, and risk profiles differ meaningfully. This stock comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and relative market positioning to help income-oriented investors and traders understand how the two names stack up in the current environment.
3) AM Overview and Recent Performance
AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) is a growth-oriented midstream company that owns and operates gathering pipelines, compression, processing and fractionation capacity, and water-handling assets serving Antero Resources' dedicated Appalachian acreage. Its operations are concentrated in two segments: Gathering and Processing and Water Handling.
In recent quarters, AM has demonstrated strong volumetric growth, with gathering volumes rising roughly 14% year over year and processing and fractionation capacity running at 100% utilization. However, earnings per share modestly trailed analyst consensus as higher operating expenses, increased interest costs tied to recent acquisitions, and transaction expenses weighed on results. The company recently expanded through the HG Midstream and HG Energy acquisitions, broadening its footprint and adding other water-handling and high-rate transfer services, which shifted its revenue mix.
From a market perspective, AM trades with a lower beta, reflecting relatively muted volatility compared to the broader market. Its stock has generated strong multi-year total returns and currently offers a dividend yield near 4.4%, supported by adjusted free cash flow that has continued to cover distributions. Recent market activity has shown some consolidation after a period of strength, with sentiment shaped by commodity prices and natural gas production trends in its core basin.
4) KMI Overview and Recent Performance
KMI (Kinder Morgan, Inc.) is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America, operating an extensive network of natural gas pipelines, refined products and crude pipelines, terminals, and a CO2 (carbon dioxide) segment that includes energy transition ventures. Its diversified, fee-based model spans multiple commodities and geographies.
Recent performance has been strong. In its latest quarter, KMI reported record adjusted EBITDA and double-digit growth in adjusted earnings per share, led by higher natural gas transportation and gathering volumes. Management raised full-year guidance, citing robust demand from LNG exports, natural gas-fired power generation, and exports to Mexico. The company's project backlog remained near historically elevated levels, and it announced the acquisition of the Monument Pipeline system while continuing to advance major expansion projects.
Credit quality has also improved, with Moody's upgrading KMI's senior unsecured rating. The company has increased its dividend for nine consecutive years, and its larger scale provides greater diversification across customer and basin exposure. Investor sentiment has been supported by the structural growth outlook for U.S. natural gas infrastructure tied to data-center and electrification-driven power demand.
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between AM and KMI is scale and diversification. KMI operates a vast, multi-segment network across natural gas, liquids, terminals, and CO2, reducing reliance on any single basin or customer. AM, by comparison, is concentrated in Appalachian gathering and water handling, making it more sensitive to Antero Resources' production plans and regional natural gas economics.
On growth drivers, both benefit from rising gas demand, but KMI's project backlog and exposure to LNG and power demand give it a broader set of catalysts. AM's growth is more tied to throughput increases and recent acquisitions on its dedicated acreage. Income investors may note that AM carries the higher dividend yield, while KMI offers a longer track record of dividend growth and stronger credit ratings. In terms of risk, AM's customer concentration and higher leverage are notable considerations, whereas KMI's broader commodity exposure introduces sensitivity to refined-product volumes and commodity prices. Relative performance and market sentiment have favored both names recently, but for different underlying reasons.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a modest edge to KMI in the current environment. Its diversified revenue base, record earnings momentum, raised guidance, improving credit profile, and large growth backlog present a steadier and more catalyst-rich profile. AM's higher yield, strong volumetric growth, and recent acquisitions remain attractive, but its narrower customer concentration and comparatively higher leverage introduce additional variability. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting the relative consistency and breadth of each company's fundamentals rather than a forecast of future returns.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AM is a Hold and KMI is a Hold.
AM in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026
The 10-day moving average for AM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 67 cases where AM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
AM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Aroon Indicator for AM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AM as a result. In 59 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AM just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where AM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +3.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AM advanced for three days, in 235 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
AM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.051) is normal, around the industry mean (179.095). P/E Ratio (24.940) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.728) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for KMI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
KMI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 57 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMI just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
KMI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KMI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +2.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMI advanced for three days, in 198 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
KMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KMI entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.156) is normal, around the industry mean (179.095). P/E Ratio (19.761) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.126) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.807) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AM | KMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 33 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AM's Valuation (19) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (20). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (4). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's SMR Rating (47) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (67). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as AM (59). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to AM’s over the last 12 months.
AM's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMI (57). This means that AM’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AM | KMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while KMI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KMI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AM (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -2.13% price change this week, while KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +5.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -3.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
AM is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
KMI is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-3.57% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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AM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AM has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AM jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.
KMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMI has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMI jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.