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AM vs KMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) vs. Kinder Morgan (KMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AM has delivered stronger price momentum, with approximately 36% returns over the past 12 months compared to KMI's 26%.
- Both companies operate in the midstream energy sector, providing stable fee-based revenues from pipelines and processing, appealing to dividend-focused investors.
- KMI offers greater diversification across natural gas, products pipelines, and terminals, reducing single-customer risks evident in AM's ties to Antero Resources.
- Recent quarters show AM achieving record free cash flow (FCF, cash generated after capital expenditures) despite earnings misses, while KMI reports robust project backlogs.
- Market sentiment favors KMI for scale amid LNG export growth, but AM trades at a valuation premium in recent analyses.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both could shift relative performance, with energy demand influencing near-term positioning.
Introduction
In the competitive midstream energy landscape, Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) and Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) stand out for their infrastructure assets supporting natural gas production and transport. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent market activity, and growth prospects, aiding traders seeking yield in energy infrastructure and investors assessing relative performance in a volatile commodity environment. With both yielding attractive dividends backed by fee-based contracts, the analysis highlights trade-offs in scale, diversification, and momentum for informed decision-making.
AM Overview and Recent Performance
Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) is a midstream provider focused on natural gas gathering, compression, processing, and water handling services primarily in the Appalachian Basin. Its assets transport around 3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day of liquids-rich gas, generating stable revenues through long-term contracts mainly with Antero Resources.
In recent market activity, AM shares have traded around $21–$23, reflecting mixed returns following Q4 2025 earnings released in February. Despite an earnings per share (EPS) miss at $0.11 versus expectations, the company posted 7% year-over-year EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) growth—its eleventh consecutive year—and a record $325 million in FCF. Shares gained about 9% in the month post-earnings, buoyed by capital-efficient operations and a 30% FCF increase after dividends. Sentiment has been supported by announcements of Q1 2026 capital returns, though valuation debates persist with fair value estimates below recent closes.
KMI Overview and Recent Performance
Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI), one of North America's largest energy infrastructure firms, operates extensive pipelines for natural gas, refined products, and terminals, serving diverse markets with a fee-based model insulated from commodity volatility.
Recent weeks have seen KMI shares fluctuate around $32–$33, with year-to-date gains of about 22% amid broader energy sector shifts. Q4 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by record natural gas pipeline volumes and strong cash flows, with operations generating $1.4 billion and FCF up 5% year-over-year. Developments include advancing $7 billion in natural gas pipeline projects tied to LNG exports and Southeast demand, plus collaborations like the Western Gateway Pipeline with Phillips 66. These catalysts have bolstered sentiment, though shares experienced pullbacks in volatile sessions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AM and KMI both leverage fee-based midstream models for predictable cash flows, but differ in scale and exposure. AM's operations center on Appalachian gas tied to one primary customer, heightening concentration risk but enabling efficient growth. KMI, conversely, boasts a vast network across products and gas, with 40% of U.S. natural gas transport, offering broader sector resilience.
Growth drivers contrast: AM emphasizes organic expansions yielding consistent EBITDA gains, while KMI pursues large-scale projects like $7 billion pipelines amid LNG demand. Recent momentum favors AM with superior 12-month returns, but KMI shows steadier sentiment from diversified backlogs. Risks include commodity sensitivity for both, amplified by customer reliance for AM and regulatory hurdles for KMI. Overall, KMI edges in stability, while AM appeals for focused upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors KMI over AM, citing its diversified infrastructure, substantial project backlog, and resilient cash flows positioning it better for sustained energy demand growth. While AM exhibits stronger short-term momentum and efficiency, KMI's scale reduces volatility risks in uncertain markets, suggesting higher probability of relative outperformance on trend consistency and catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AM is a StrongBuy and KMI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- KMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AM (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +0.70% price change this week, while KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +0.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +2.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
AM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
KMI is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+2.49% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| AM | KMI | AM / KMI | |
| Capitalization | 10.3B | 71.1B | 14% |
| EBITDA | 970M | 7.5B | 13% |
| Gain YTD | 24.571 | 18.396 | 134% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.20 | 21.44 | 118% |
| Revenue | 1.29B | 17.5B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 0 | 72M | - |
| Total Debt | 3.71B | 31.9B | 12% |
AM | KMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AM's Valuation (18) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (19). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (9). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's SMR Rating (45) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (70). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (50). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
AM's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (62). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AM | KMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 50% | 7 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 58% |
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AM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AM has been loosely correlated with DTM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AM jumps, then DTM could also see price increases.
KMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMI has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMI jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.