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KMI vs WMB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. Williams Companies (WMB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KMI (Kinder Morgan) has delivered back-to-back earnings beats in 2026, driven by strength in its natural gas pipeline segment and record quarterly results.
- WMB (Williams Companies) is investing heavily in "power innovation" projects tied to data centers, giving it a larger, more forward-looking growth backlog.
- Both stocks are beneficiaries of rising natural gas demand from AI-driven data centers, power generation, and U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.
- KMI carries a larger dividend yield and recently received a credit-rating upgrade, while WMB has raised its dividend 5% and holds a bigger contracted project pipeline.
- The comparison is a trade-off between KMI's near-term earnings momentum and WMB's more expansive growth-oriented capital program.
Introduction
Kinder Morgan and Williams Companies are two of North America's largest energy-infrastructure operators, and their stocks are frequently grouped together by traders and investors evaluating the midstream segment. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused investors, energy-sector allocators, and anyone weighing the market positioning of pipeline giants against a backdrop of surging natural gas demand. While both companies generate the bulk of their cash flow from fee-based pipelines and processing assets, their growth strategies and relative performance have diverged in recent quarters, making the KMI-versus-WMB debate a useful lens for understanding the current energy landscape.
KMI Overview and Recent Performance
Kinder Morgan, headquartered in Houston, operates an extensive network of natural gas pipelines, products pipelines, terminals, and carbon dioxide (CO2) assets. Recent market activity has reflected strong operational execution: the company's natural gas pipeline segment posted record results, supported by cold-weather demand on its Texas Intrastate system and higher LNG deliveries on the Tennessee Gas Pipeline. Management also agreed to acquire Monument Pipeline, a natural gas system serving the Houston area, for $505 million, and Moody's upgraded Kinder Morgan's senior unsecured credit rating to Baa1, citing reduced leverage and disciplined capital allocation. With roughly 60%–65% of its business tied to natural gas and a backlog of about $9.6 billion, sentiment toward KMI has been buoyed by steady, broad-based earnings growth rather than any single catalyst.
WMB Overview and Recent Performance
Williams Companies, based in Tulsa, Oklahoma, anchors its franchise on the Transco pipeline corridor, one of the largest natural gas arteries serving the Gulf Coast and the eastern United States. In recent weeks, the company announced a strategic acquisition of Momentum Midstream, valued at up to $5.5 billion, to expand its Haynesville Basin footprint and connect supply to Gulf Coast LNG and power demand. Williams has also emerged as a leader in "power innovation," investing roughly $9.6 billion in behind-the-meter natural gas generation projects directly serving hyperscale data centers. Its backlog of approximately $15.5 billion between 2027 and 2033 underscores a growth-oriented strategy. Investor sentiment around WMB has leaned positive, though a higher capital-expenditure program has kept leverage near the upper end of its target range.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are fee-based midstream operators, their business models differ in emphasis. Kinder Morgan is more diversified across natural gas, refined products, and terminals, with a comparatively disciplined capital program and a 2026 adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) target of $8.6 billion. Williams, by contrast, is more heavily concentrated in natural gas transmission and gathering, with a larger capital program and a 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8.05 billion to $8.35 billion. Growth drivers also diverge: KMI is expanding pipeline capacity for LNG, power generation, and Mexico exports, while WMB is embedding itself directly into data-center power infrastructure under long-term contracts. On risk factors, WMB's elevated spending and leverage require closer monitoring, whereas KMI's credit upgrade and internal funding capacity reflect a more conservative balance-sheet posture. From a momentum standpoint, KMI has shown consistent earnings upside, while WMB has outperformed the broader market in recent weeks but carries a richer growth narrative and a higher implied valuation focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely tilt toward KMI in the current environment, favoring its trend consistency, repeated earnings beats, improving credit profile, and internally funded growth. The probabilistic edge leans toward Kinder Morgan because of its combination of stable momentum and lower execution risk. That said, WMB offers a more aggressive growth trajectory tied to data-center demand, which could command a premium if those projects deliver as scheduled. The relative positioning remains close, with the AI's preference hinging on whether the market continues to reward near-term reliability or long-horizon expansion.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KMI is a Hold and WMB is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for KMI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
KMI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 57 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMI just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
KMI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KMI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +2.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMI advanced for three days, in 198 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
KMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KMI entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.156) is normal, around the industry mean (179.095). P/E Ratio (19.761) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.126) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.807) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
WMB's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for WMB moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 11 of the 13 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMB as a result. In 54 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMB just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The 10-day moving average for WMB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMB advanced for three days, in 250 of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 26 of 62 cases where WMB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
WMB moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
WMB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for WMB entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.414) is normal, around the industry mean (179.095). P/E Ratio (27.482) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.986) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.123) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
KMI | WMB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMI's Valuation (20) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as WMB (24). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
WMB's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (4). This means that WMB’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
WMB's SMR Rating (40) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (67). This means that WMB’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as WMB (55). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as WMB (57). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
| KMI | WMB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 41% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KMI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while WMB’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KMI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KMI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMB’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +5.26% price change this week, while WMB (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -1.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -3.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
KMI is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
WMB is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-3.57% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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WMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMB has been closely correlated with KMI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WMB jumps, then KMI could also see price increases.