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KMI vs OKE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. ONEOK (OKE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KMI has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 17% compared to OKE's 15%, reflecting better momentum in recent market activity.
- OKE offers a higher dividend yield around 5.1% versus KMI's 3.7%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks exhibit low volatility with betas below 1.0 (KMI at 0.63, OKE at 0.81), providing stability amid energy sector swings.
- KMI boasts a larger market capitalization of $71 billion compared to OKE's $53 billion, indicating broader scale.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential for both, with KMI at $35 (9% above current) and OKE at $93 (11% above current).
- Recent dips in both stocks over the past month highlight short-term pressure, but long-term natural gas demand supports recovery prospects.
Introduction
Kinder Morgan (KMI) and ONEOK (OKE) are leading midstream energy companies specializing in pipelines and infrastructure for natural gas and related products. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking stable dividend payers with exposure to rising U.S. energy exports and domestic demand. Traders monitoring relative performance may find value in their differing momentum profiles amid fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory developments. Both operate in a defensive segment of the energy sector, offering insights into market positioning for portfolios balancing growth and income.
KMI Overview and Recent Performance
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is one of the largest energy infrastructure firms in North America, operating extensive pipelines for natural gas, refined products, crude oil, and carbon dioxide, alongside terminals and CO2 production. In recent weeks, KMI shares have experienced modest pullbacks amid broader market rotations, yet maintain robust YTD gains near 17% and over 20% in the past year. Key influences include regulatory approvals for additional liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, insider purchases totaling millions, and anticipation around quarterly earnings. These factors have bolstered sentiment, underscoring KMI's positioning in growing export markets despite short-term energy price volatility.
OKE Overview and Recent Performance
ONEOK (OKE) focuses on natural gas liquids (NGLs) gathering, processing, fractionation, and transportation, primarily in the Mid-Continent and Permian Basin regions. Recently, OKE shares have faced downward pressure, declining around 6% over the past month while posting YTD returns of about 15%. Positive drivers include tripled EBITDA over five years to $8 billion and analyst target upgrades, signaling undervaluation. Sentiment reflects conservative guidance and pipeline divestitures, tempered by strong fundamentals and a favorable dividend growth outlook in a nat gas demand environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KMI and OKE share midstream exposure to natural gas infrastructure but differ in scope: KMI's diversified assets include products pipelines and terminals, while OKE emphasizes NGLs and gathering. Growth drivers align on LNG exports and Permian production, yet KMI edges in recent momentum with superior YTD and one-year returns. Risk profiles are comparable with low betas, though OKE's higher yield (5.1% vs. 3.7%) and lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, 15.5 vs. 23.3) suggest better value trade-offs. Market sentiment favors KMI on catalysts like LNG approvals, while OKE benefits from EBITDA expansion amid share weakness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward KMI in the current environment, driven by consistent upward trends, regulatory tailwinds, and relative outperformance versus OKE. Factors like insider confidence and earnings anticipation enhance its positioning probabilistically over OKE's value appeal, though both warrant monitoring for energy sector shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KMI is a StrongBuy and OKE is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KMI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileOKE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OKE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KMI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OKE’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OKE’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +0.82% price change this week, while OKE (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +2.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +2.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
KMI is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
OKE is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+2.49% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| KMI | OKE | KMI / OKE | |
| Capitalization | 71.1B | 57.1B | 125% |
| EBITDA | 7.5B | 7.92B | 95% |
| Gain YTD | 18.396 | 26.437 | 70% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.44 | 16.15 | 133% |
| Revenue | 17.5B | 35.2B | 50% |
| Total Cash | 72M | 172M | 42% |
| Total Debt | 31.9B | 33.7B | 95% |
KMI | OKE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OKE's Valuation (16) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (19). This means that OKE’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OKE (46). This means that KMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than OKE’s over the last 12 months.
OKE's SMR Rating (54) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (70). This means that OKE’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
OKE's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (50). This means that OKE’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
OKE's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (62). This means that OKE’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
| KMI | OKE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 58% | 11 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 7 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 67% |
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KMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMI has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMI jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.
OKE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OKE has been closely correlated with TRGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OKE jumps, then TRGP could also see price increases.