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DUK vs OGE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DUK and OGE are regulated electric utilities offering stable dividends around 3.3-3.5%, appealing for income-focused investors in volatile markets.
- OGE has outperformed year-to-date (YTD) with 14.97% gains versus DUK's 10.65%, driven by recent catalysts like a Google data center contract.
- DUK, with a $100 billion market cap, provides greater scale and diversification across multiple states compared to OGE's $9.9 billion regional focus in Oklahoma.
- Recent earnings show OGE beating revenue estimates despite an EPS miss, while DUK approaches its Q1 report with steady analyst expectations.
- Both stocks exhibit low volatility with betas of 0.40 for DUK and 0.57 for OGE, underscoring defensive sector positioning.
Introduction
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) and OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) represent prominent players in the U.S. electric utilities sector, a defensive area prized for reliable dividends and resilience amid economic uncertainty. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent market performance, and growth drivers, aiding dividend investors, income seekers, and those positioning for interest rate shifts or AI-driven energy demand. With similar price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 20-21 and yields over 3%, traders can weigh stability against momentum in the current environment.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is one of the largest U.S. investor-owned utilities, serving over 8 million electric customers across the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwest. Its regulated operations emphasize power generation, transmission, and distribution, with a growing focus on renewables and grid modernization. In recent market activity, DUK shares traded around $128.60, reflecting YTD gains of 10.65% amid broader utilities strength. Sentiment has been supported by rising data center demand in its territories and regulatory approval for a utilities merger promising long-term customer savings. Analysts maintain buy ratings with price targets near $139-140, ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, where EPS of about $1.78 is anticipated. Lower beta (0.40) underscores its stability, though shares have lagged high-growth peers due to interest rate sensitivity.
OGE Overview and Recent Performance
OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) operates primarily through its Oklahoma Gas and Electric Company (OG&E) subsidiary, delivering electricity to 900,000 customers in Oklahoma and Arkansas. As a regulated utility, it invests in transmission upgrades and renewables to meet demand growth. Recent weeks saw OGE shares near $48.18, with stronger YTD performance of 14.97% fueled by positive catalysts. Q1 2026 earnings reported EPS of $0.24 (down year-over-year due to mild weather) but revenue of $752.6 million beating estimates, alongside a landmark Google data center contract and $7.3 billion investment plan through 2029. Full-year EPS guidance holds at $2.43, with analysts lifting targets post-earnings. Beta of 0.57 reflects moderate volatility, with dividend yield at 3.53% bolstering appeal.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DUK boasts a broader business model with multi-state operations and $31.8 billion trailing revenue, contrasting OGE's regional Oklahoma focus and $3.3 billion revenue. Growth drivers align on data center demand—DUK via Carolina load reports, OGE through Google deals—but OGE edges in recent momentum with post-earnings gains. Risk factors are low for both, though DUK's scale offers lower beta and higher liquidity. Sector exposure is pure electric utilities, with similar P/E ratios (20.4 vs. 21.4) but OGE higher yield. Market sentiment favors OGE for upside potential (targets ~$50), while DUK suits conservative positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward OGE for its superior recent momentum, YTD outperformance, and catalysts like the Google contract amid data center trends. While DUK offers unmatched stability and scale, OGE's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term gains in a utilities rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and OGE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OGE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -0.27% price change this week, while OGE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
OGE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.41% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | OGE | DUK / OGE | |
| Capitalization | 96.6B | 9.76B | 990% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 1.37B | 1,286% |
| Gain YTD | 7.494 | 12.865 | 58% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.06 | 21.02 | 91% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 3.27B | 1,017% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 200K | 1,070,000% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 5.86B | 1,556% |
DUK | OGE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (44) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (53). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (29). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (74). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (53). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (52). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | OGE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 38% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 32% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 27% | 3 days ago 21% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
OGE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.