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DUK vs OGE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. OGE Energy (OGE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Duke Energy (DUK) and OGE Energy (OGE) are both regulated electric utilities with stable cash flows driven by rate-regulated operations.
- In recent market activity, DUK has traded near $125 with modest year-to-date gains, while OGE has seen price pressure from mid-July highs near $50 to around $47.
- DUK offers a higher dividend yield near 3.5% and a larger market capitalization compared to OGE.
- DUK faces upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings on August 4, while OGE recently reported its quarterly results showing contributions from its regulated electric segment.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta relative to the broader market, reflecting defensive characteristics typical of the utilities sector.
- Relative performance has favored DUK in longer-term total returns, though short-term momentum has cooled for both amid sector-wide valuation considerations.
Introduction
This comparison examines Duke Energy (DUK) and OGE Energy (OGE), two regulated electric utilities, to highlight differences in scale, dividend profiles, and recent market behavior. The analysis focuses on observable factors such as price trends, earnings timing, and sector positioning. Institutional investors, income-focused traders, and those evaluating defensive equity exposure in the utilities space may find the relative performance and risk characteristics useful for portfolio construction decisions.
Duke Energy (DUK) Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy (DUK) is a major regulated utility holding company serving electricity and natural gas customers across multiple states. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $125.43 as of July 31, 2026, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 6.8% amid broader market conditions. Performance has been influenced by anticipation of second-quarter 2026 earnings scheduled for August 4, with analysts projecting modest EPS growth. The company maintains a forward dividend yield near 3.46% and a low beta of 0.37, underscoring defensive qualities. Recent market activity shows some easing in share price over the past week, though longer-term total shareholder returns remain positive.
OGE Energy (OGE) Overview and Recent Performance
OGE Energy (OGE) operates as a holding company primarily through its regulated electric utility subsidiary serving customers in Oklahoma and western Arkansas. As of July 31, 2026, the stock closed at $47.35, down from highs near $49.95 earlier in the month. Recent performance reflects price consolidation following second-quarter 2026 results, which highlighted contributions of $0.58 per diluted share from the regulated electric segment. The company’s smaller scale compared to peers contributes to higher relative volatility in short-term trading, though it remains within the defensive utilities sector. Market sentiment has been shaped by broader interest-rate and commodity price dynamics affecting regional utilities.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Duke Energy (DUK) operates on a significantly larger scale than OGE Energy (OGE), with diversified geographic exposure across multiple states versus OGE’s more concentrated regional footprint. Both companies rely on rate-regulated electric operations for the majority of earnings, providing predictable revenue streams, yet DUK benefits from greater diversification into natural gas infrastructure. Recent momentum shows DUK maintaining steadier price levels near multi-month averages, while OGE has experienced sharper short-term pullbacks. Risk factors include regulatory rate-case outcomes and interest-rate sensitivity for both, though DUK’s larger balance sheet may offer more flexibility in capital allocation. Market sentiment remains neutral to cautious ahead of earnings for DUK, with OGE’s recent results already incorporated into pricing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency over recent weeks, earnings visibility, and relative stability, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to Duke Energy (DUK) over OGE Energy (OGE). The larger utility’s steadier price action, upcoming earnings catalyst, and established dividend profile contribute to this positioning, though outcomes remain subject to broader market and sector developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and OGE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OGE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -3.90% price change this week, while OGE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -5.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -2.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
OGE is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-2.85% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | OGE | DUK / OGE | |
| Capitalization | 97.8B | 9.78B | 1,000% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 1.37B | 1,282% |
| Gain YTD | 8.857 | 13.964 | 63% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.30 | 20.77 | 93% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 3.24B | 1,026% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 900K | 237,778% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 5.84B | 1,561% |
DUK | OGE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 15 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (67). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (26). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (73) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (74). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (52). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (55). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | OGE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 37% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 31% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 50% | 10 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 40% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 39% |
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OGE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.