EDV
Price
$59.66
Change
+$0.12 (+0.20%)
Updated
Nov 5, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
3.89B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GOVZ
Price
$33.70
Change
-$0.00 (-0.00%)
Updated
Nov 5, 04:58 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
368.13M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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EDV vs GOVZ

EDV vs GOVZ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) vs. iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ)

Key Takeaways

  • Both EDV and GOVZ provide targeted exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasury STRIPS, making them close alternatives rather than direct competitors for investors seeking extended interest-rate sensitivity.
  • EDV tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20–30 Year Equal Par Bond Index with an expense ratio of 0.05%, while GOVZ follows the ICE BofA Long US Treasury Principal STRIPS Index at 0.10%.
  • EDV maintains a broader portfolio of approximately 80 holdings, offering greater diversification compared to GOVZ’s more concentrated set of roughly 21–22 holdings.
  • Both ETFs employ passive index-tracking strategies focused exclusively on zero-coupon Treasury STRIPS with maturities of 20–30+ years, resulting in high duration profiles and sensitivity to interest-rate movements.
  • Cost efficiency and holdings breadth position EDV as structurally more attractive for long-term allocation within the extended-duration Treasury segment.
  • Investors should evaluate these funds based on their tolerance for interest-rate risk and preference for lower fees versus index-specific construction differences.

Introduction

Long-duration U.S. Treasury STRIPS ETFs have gained relevance amid ongoing interest-rate volatility and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. EDV and GOVZ both deliver concentrated exposure to the longest end of the Treasury curve through zero-coupon securities. While they target similar investor objectives—extended duration and high credit quality—they differ in index methodology, expense structure, and portfolio concentration, offering investors distinct options within the same thematic space.

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) Overview

EDV is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20–30 Year Equal Par Bond Index. The fund holds approximately 80 individual STRIPS bonds, providing broad exposure to zero-coupon U.S. Treasury securities with maturities between 20 and 30 years. Top holdings consist of various principal and interest STRIPS from U.S. Treasuries, with sector allocation entirely within U.S. government debt. The expense ratio stands at 0.05%. The ETF uses index sampling for replication and maintains high liquidity through its NYSE Arca listing. Its distinguishing feature is the combination of low cost and relatively diversified holdings within the extended-duration Treasury STRIPS category.

iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ) Overview

GOVZ is a passively managed ETF designed to track the ICE BofA Long US Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. The fund holds approximately 21–22 principal STRIPS with remaining maturities of at least 25 years. Holdings are concentrated in long-maturity U.S. Treasury principal payments, resulting in 100% allocation to U.S. government securities. The expense ratio is 0.10%. The strategy relies on physical replication of the index components. Its key structural characteristic is a more concentrated portfolio focused exclusively on principal STRIPS, which may lead to slightly different duration and yield profiles compared to broader long-duration Treasury offerings.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the long-duration U.S. Treasury bond sector, which is heavily influenced by interest-rate expectations, inflation trends, and Federal Reserve monetary policy. Capital flows into extended-duration products often increase during periods of anticipated rate cuts or when investors seek to extend portfolio duration for income generation. Macroeconomic drivers such as economic growth data, employment reports, and geopolitical developments can trigger volatility in long-term yields. Regulatory factors remain stable for Treasury securities, though broader fixed-income market liquidity and investor demand for high-quality duration exposure continue to shape sector dynamics.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have exhibited significant sensitivity to changes in long-term interest rates, with price movements reflecting broader Treasury yield fluctuations. EDV’s broader holdings base has contributed to marginally smoother relative performance during periods of sector rotation within fixed income. GOVZ’s higher concentration has resulted in amplified responses to specific maturity segments of the yield curve. Over recent weeks and months, positioning has favored lower-cost vehicles with diversified exposure amid shifting rate expectations, highlighting differences in volatility profiles between the two funds.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore additional opportunities aligned with your investment criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently favor EDV with higher probability. The lower expense ratio, broader diversification across holdings, and established index-tracking methodology provide a more efficient risk-adjusted profile within the extended-duration Treasury STRIPS segment compared to the higher-cost and more concentrated alternative.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
EDV vs. GOVZ commentary
Nov 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EDV is a Buy and GOVZ is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for EDV with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

EDV in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026

The 10-day moving average for EDV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EDV as a result. In 80 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EDV just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where EDV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

EDV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EDV advanced for three days, in 208 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 157 cases where EDV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EDV moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 58 cases where EDV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EDV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

EDV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GOVZ with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

Momentum Indicator for GOVZ turns positive, indicating new upward trend

GOVZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVZ just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

GOVZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOVZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVZ advanced for three days, in 193 of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 99 of 146 cases where GOVZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVZ moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 59 cases where GOVZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

GOVZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
EDVGOVZ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
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