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EMBJ vs FTAI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) vs. FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at 22% compared to EMBJ's 2%, driven by robust Q1 revenue growth and dividend increases.
- Both stocks operate in the aerospace sector, but EMBJ focuses on aircraft manufacturing with a record $32.1 billion backlog, while FTAI emphasizes aviation leasing and engine maintenance.
- Analyst price targets suggest significant upside: $82 average for EMBJ (29% potential) and $339 for FTAI (41% potential).
- FTAI boasts a larger market cap of $24.6 billion versus EMBJ's $11.3 billion, reflecting greater scale in asset management.
- Recent catalysts include EMBJ's new defense orders and FTAI's credit facility expansion to over $2 billion.
- Volatility remains elevated for both, with FTAI's 52-week range spanning $97.50–$323.51 compared to EMBJ's $43.80–$80.75.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EMBJ and FTAI, two prominent players in the aerospace sector amid rising global demand for air travel and defense capabilities. Both benefit from industry tailwinds like commercial jet backlogs and engine maintenance needs, but differ in business models and growth trajectories. Traders seeking momentum in high-volatility names and long-term investors eyeing aviation recovery will find value in analyzing their relative performance, sentiment, and positioning in recent market activity. This overview draws on data from Yahoo Finance, analyst consensus, and recent corporate disclosures to highlight key contrasts.
EMBJ Overview and Recent Performance
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), a Brazilian aerospace manufacturer, designs, produces, and sells commercial jets, executive aircraft, and defense systems through segments like Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, and Executive Aviation. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around $63.62, with a market cap of $11.3 billion and a 52-week range of $43.80–$80.75. Year-to-date gains stand at 1.84%, reflecting modest momentum amid broader aerospace recovery.
Sentiment has been bolstered by a record $32.1 billion firm order backlog in Q1 2026, up 22% year-over-year, fueled by surging deliveries (up 47%) and orders for jets like the E195-E2 from Finnair and C-390 military aircraft to the UAE. Additional positives include a new CFO appointment, supplier awards to Pratt & Whitney and Hexcel, and raised 2026 guidance for revenue ($8.2–$8.5 billion). However, shares dipped slightly post-backlog news due to margin pressures. Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating with an average target of $82, signaling 29% upside potential.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) focuses on owning, leasing, and servicing aviation assets, primarily CFM56 engines for Boeing and Airbus planes, alongside aerospace products and offshore energy. The stock recently closed at $240.01, with a $24.6 billion market cap and 52-week range of $97.50–$323.51. Year-to-date performance reaches 22%, underscoring strong relative momentum.
Recent market activity highlights Q1 2026 results: revenue surged 65% to $830.7 million (beating estimates), though adjusted EPS of $1.46 missed forecasts slightly. Key drivers include Aerospace Products revenue doubling to $743.8 million and Adjusted EBITDA up 70%. The company raised its quarterly dividend to $0.45 per share (yield 0.63%) and expanded its revolving credit facility beyond $2 billion. Power platform progress and market share gains have fueled post-earnings pops exceeding 15%. Consensus analyst target stands at $339, implying 41% upside with a "Strong Buy" rating.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EMBJ and FTAI share aerospace exposure but diverge in models: EMBJ's manufacturing emphasizes long-cycle jet production and defense (e.g., C-390), with growth from backlogs but vulnerability to supply chain risks and execution delays. FTAI, conversely, generates recurring revenue via leasing and MRO (maintenance, repair, and overhaul), benefiting from engine aftermarket demand amid travel rebound.
Momentum favors FTAI (YTD +22% vs. +2%; 1-year +169% vs. +36%), tied to earnings beats and financing expansions, while EMBJ shows steadier order-driven stability. Risk profiles differ: FTAI's asset-heavy balance sheet (290 assets) exposes it to economic cycles and rates, but dividends add appeal; EMBJ faces Brazil-related currency and geopolitical factors. Sentiment leans bullish for both, with FTAI commanding higher multiples due to scale and power segment catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI for its superior trend consistency, higher YTD momentum, revenue acceleration, and financing catalysts positioning it ahead in the aviation leasing niche. While EMBJ's backlog signals durable demand, FTAI's relative stability and analyst upside (41% vs. 29%) suggest greater near-term probability of outperformance amid sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EMBJ is a Hold and FTAI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EMBJ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFTAI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EMBJ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EMBJ’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTAI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EMBJ’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EMBJ (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -7.22% price change this week, while FTAI (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -11.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
EMBJ is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-2.02% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| EMBJ | FTAI | EMBJ / FTAI | |
| Capitalization | 10.3B | 24.4B | 42% |
| EBITDA | 717M | 1.16B | 62% |
| Gain YTD | -13.363 | 21.224 | -63% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.68 | 47.38 | 69% |
| Revenue | 7.92B | 2.84B | 279% |
| Total Cash | 683M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 3.45B | 79% |
EMBJ | FTAI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EMBJ's Valuation (84) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (85) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that EMBJ’s stock grew similarly to FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as EMBJ (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew similarly to EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EMBJ (71) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew somewhat faster than EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as EMBJ (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew similarly to EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
EMBJ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that EMBJ’s stock grew significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| EMBJ | FTAI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 73% | 11 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 90% |
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EMBJ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMBJ has been loosely correlated with SARO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EMBJ jumps, then SARO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EMBJ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMBJ | 100% | -5.03% | ||
| SARO - EMBJ | 52% Loosely correlated | -4.07% | ||
| FTAI - EMBJ | 49% Loosely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| VSEC - EMBJ | 44% Loosely correlated | -5.14% | ||
| CAE - EMBJ | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| GE - EMBJ | 40% Loosely correlated | -3.43% | ||
More | ||||
FTAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTAI has been loosely correlated with EMBJ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FTAI jumps, then EMBJ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | 100% | -8.16% | ||
| EMBJ - FTAI | 49% Loosely correlated | -5.03% | ||
| SARO - FTAI | 47% Loosely correlated | -4.07% | ||
| BBDC - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| CW - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | -5.08% | ||
| GE - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.43% | ||
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