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ENPH vs FCEL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ENPH is a Hold and FCEL is a Hold.
ENPH in -4.32% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 12, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ENPH declined for three days, in 277 of 310 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ENPH as a result. In 68 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ENPH turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for ENPH entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ENPH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 34 of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +6.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ENPH advanced for three days, in 222 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
ENPH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ENPH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.457) is normal, around the industry mean (4.841). P/E Ratio (30.604) is within average values for comparable stocks, (100.974). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.746) is also within normal values, averaging (1.699). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.571) is also within normal values, averaging (5.133).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ENPH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 99, placing this stock worse than average.
FCEL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
FCEL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FCEL as a result. In 67 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
FCEL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
FCEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +12.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCEL advanced for three days, in 212 of 235 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 126 of 145 cases where FCEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.323) is normal, around the industry mean (7.632). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.807). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.900). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.263) is also within normal values, averaging (8.019).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FCEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FCEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
ENPH | FCEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 25 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FCEL's Valuation (34) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ENPH (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FCEL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ENPH’s over the last 12 months.
FCEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as ENPH (100) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FCEL’s stock grew similarly to ENPH’s over the last 12 months.
ENPH's SMR Rating (61) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FCEL (96) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ENPH’s stock grew somewhat faster than FCEL’s over the last 12 months.
FCEL's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as ENPH (64) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FCEL’s stock grew similarly to ENPH’s over the last 12 months.
ENPH's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for FCEL (100) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ENPH’s stock grew significantly faster than FCEL’s over the last 12 months.
| ENPH | FCEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 78% | 17 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 87% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ENPH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while FCEL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ENPH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FCEL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ENPH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FCEL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ENPH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FCEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ENPH (@Alternative Power Generation) experienced а -6.67% price change this week, while FCEL (@Electrical Products) price change was -27.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Alternative Power Generation industry was -8.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was -38.15%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electrical Products industry was -13.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -28.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
ENPH is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
FCEL is expected to report earnings on Dec 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Alternative Power Generation (-8.24% weekly)The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.
@Electrical Products (-13.06% weekly)The industry produces a diverse range of electricity-powered equipment, appliances and components, catering to both households and industries. The products include power, distribution and specialty transformers; electric motors, generators and motor-generator sets; switchgear and switchboard apparatus; light bulbs, tubes, fittings and electric signs etc. Consumer income, construction spending, and industrial production are major drivers of demand for this industry’s products. Large companies tend to have economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution, while smaller companies can potentially carve out their own market through niche or specialty offerings. The US electrical products manufacturing industry includes about 5,700 establishments (single-location companies and units of multi-location companies) with combined annual revenue of about $125 billion. (according to a study published in First Research). Emerson Electric Co., Hubbell Incorporated and Eaton Corporation plc are major electrical products makers in the U.S.
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ENPH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ENPH has been closely correlated with SEDG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ENPH jumps, then SEDG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ENPH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENPH | 100% | -0.65% | ||
| SEDG - ENPH | 68% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| FCEL - ENPH | 56% Loosely correlated | -7.74% | ||
| RUN - ENPH | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.45% | ||
| BE - ENPH | 52% Loosely correlated | -6.34% | ||
| ARRY - ENPH | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.92% | ||
More | ||||
FCEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCEL has been closely correlated with RUN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FCEL jumps, then RUN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FCEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | 100% | -7.74% | ||
| RUN - FCEL | 66% Closely correlated | -4.45% | ||
| PLUG - FCEL | 59% Loosely correlated | -7.07% | ||
| ENPH - FCEL | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
| BE - FCEL | 55% Loosely correlated | -6.34% | ||
| CSIQ - FCEL | 54% Loosely correlated | -7.19% | ||
More | ||||