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ESNT vs MTG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESNT is a StrongBuy and MTG is a StrongBuy.
ESNT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026
ESNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 29 cases where ESNT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ESNT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ESNT as a result. In 63 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ESNT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where ESNT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +1.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in 198 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ESNT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The Aroon Indicator for ESNT entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.016) is normal, around the industry mean (1.022). P/E Ratio (8.843) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.864). ESNT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.506) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.785) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).
MTG's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MTG moved out of oversold territory on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTG as a result. In 57 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTG just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTG advanced for three days, in 208 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
MTG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for MTG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 35%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Aroon Indicator for MTG entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MTG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.117) is normal, around the industry mean (1.022). P/E Ratio (8.455) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.864). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.500) is also within normal values, averaging (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.506) among similar stocks. MTG's P/S Ratio (5.459) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).
ESNT | MTG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESNT's Valuation (84) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (86). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as ESNT (23). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to ESNT’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's SMR Rating (72) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as ESNT (76). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to ESNT’s over the last 12 months.
ESNT's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (57). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
ESNT's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (42). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
| ESNT | MTG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 7 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 49% | 11 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 52% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESNT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MTG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ESNT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESNT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESNT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ESNT (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а +1.86% price change this week, while MTG (@Specialty Insurance) price change was +0.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was +4.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESNT is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
MTG is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Insurance (+4.19% weekly)Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.
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ESNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESNT has been closely correlated with MTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ESNT jumps, then MTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESNT | 100% | -2.76% | ||
| MTG - ESNT | 85% Closely correlated | -3.05% | ||
| RDN - ESNT | 76% Closely correlated | -2.02% | ||
| AIZ - ESNT | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| FNF - ESNT | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| FAF - ESNT | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CHRI | 92.15 | 0.60 | +0.65% |
| Global X S&P 500 Christian Values ETF (CHRI) | |||
| EEMX | 50.15 | 0.18 | +0.36% |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Emerging Markets Fossil Fuel Reserves Free ETF (EEMX) | |||
| FESM | 45.33 | 0.16 | +0.35% |
| Fidelity Enhanced Small Cap Core ETF (FESM) | |||
| HNDL | 21.89 | 0.07 | +0.31% |
| Strategy Shares Nasdaq 7HANDL Index ETF (HNDL) | |||
| RSBA | 20.18 | 0.03 | +0.14% |
| Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF (RSBA) | |||