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ESNT vs MTG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESNT is a StrongBuy and MTG is a Hold.
ESNT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026
ESNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 23 of 31 cases where ESNT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for ESNT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +4.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in 198 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 324 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESNT as a result. In 56 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESNT turned negative on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.
ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.006) is normal, around the industry mean (0.987). P/E Ratio (8.758) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.360). ESNT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.486) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.785) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).
MTG's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTG turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTG advanced for three days, in 211 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 181 of 319 cases where MTG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTG as a result. In 50 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
MTG moved below its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
MTG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.170) is normal, around the industry mean (0.987). P/E Ratio (8.854) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.500) is also within normal values, averaging (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.486) among similar stocks. MTG's P/S Ratio (5.459) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).
ESNT | MTG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESNT's Valuation (82) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (84). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as ESNT (25). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to ESNT’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's SMR Rating (72) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as ESNT (76). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to ESNT’s over the last 12 months.
ESNT's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (50). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
ESNT's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (48). This means that ESNT’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
| ESNT | MTG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 58% | 7 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESNT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MTG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ESNT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESNT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESNT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ESNT (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а -4.47% price change this week, while MTG (@Specialty Insurance) price change was -1.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was -2.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESNT is expected to report earnings on Feb 12, 2027.
MTG is expected to report earnings on Feb 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Insurance (-2.73% weekly)Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.
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ESNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESNT has been closely correlated with MTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ESNT jumps, then MTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESNT | 100% | -1.64% | ||
| MTG - ESNT | 84% Closely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| RDN - ESNT | 76% Closely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| AIZ - ESNT | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| FNF - ESNT | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.93% | ||
| FAF - ESNT | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
More | ||||
MTG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTG has been closely correlated with NMIH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTG jumps, then NMIH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTG | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| NMIH - MTG | 89% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| ESNT - MTG | 83% Closely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| ACT - MTG | 77% Closely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| RDN - MTG | 74% Closely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| FNF - MTG | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.93% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JUDO | 27.65 | N/A | N/A |
| Janus Henderson U.S. Equity Enhanced Income ETF (JUDO) | |||
| UAPR | 35.97 | -0.03 | -0.08% |
| Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - April (UAPR) | |||
| HYD | 49.41 | -0.09 | -0.18% |
| VanEck High Yield Muni ETF (HYD) | |||
| BAMA | 35.58 | -0.20 | -0.55% |
| Brookstone Active ETF (BAMA) | |||
| PALL | 18.67 | -0.14 | -0.74% |
| abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL) | |||