Emerging-market investors frequently weigh single-country conviction against regional diversification, and the choice between the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) and the iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) crystallizes that decision. These two exchange-traded funds (ETFs) do not compete directly so much as they represent alternative positioning along the same theme: exposure to Brazil's commodity-and-financials-driven economy. EWZ delivers pure-play Brazilian equities, while ILF blends Brazil with Mexico, Chile, Peru, and Colombia. Given Brazil's outsized weight in both funds, their performance is correlated, yet their structural differences in cost, diversification, and liquidity make this a meaningful ETF comparison for investors calibrating emerging-market risk.
EWZ is a passively managed ETF that tracks the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index, a free-float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted benchmark covering large- and mid-cap Brazilian equities. The fund holds roughly 55 positions and is classified as non-diversified, reflecting the concentration inherent in Brazil's equity market. It carries an expense ratio of 0.59% and, as one of the largest single-country emerging-market ETFs, manages assets in the range of several billion dollars, providing deep liquidity and tight spreads.
Sector exposure is dominated by financials at approximately 36% of assets, followed by energy near 19%, basic materials around 13%, utilities near 13%, and industrials near 11%. Top holdings include Nu Holdings (NU), Vale (VALE), Itaú Unibanco (ITUB), Petrobras (PBR), Banco Bradesco (BBD), B3, and WEG. This composition ties EWZ closely to Brazilian interest rates, consumer credit, and global commodity cycles, particularly Chinese demand for iron ore.
ILF is a passively managed ETF that tracks the S&P Latin America 40 Index, composed of 40 of the largest and most liquid equities trading across five Latin American markets. The fund holds approximately 45 to 51 positions and is also non-diversified, with a lower expense ratio of 0.47%. While its asset base is smaller than EWZ's, ILF remains a liquid, widely used vehicle for regional Latin America exposure.
Geographically, Brazil represents roughly 59% of the fund, with Mexico near 26%, Chile around 7%, and smaller allocations to Peru and Colombia. Sector allocation features financials at about 35%, basic materials near 20%, energy near 14%, consumer staples around 9%, and industrials near 9%. Top holdings overlap meaningfully with EWZ—Nu Holdings, Vale, Itaú Unibanco, and Petrobras—but also include Mexican names such as Grupo México and Grupo Financiero Banorte, plus Credicorp (BAP) of Peru and América Móvil of Mexico. This mix broadens ILF's exposure beyond Brazil's domestic economy.
Both funds sit at the intersection of several macro forces shaping Latin American equities. Commodity prices—particularly iron ore, copper, and crude oil—remain central performance drivers, given the heavy materials and energy weightings in both portfolios. Monetary policy cycles in Brazil and Mexico influence the large financials sleeve, as lending margins and credit demand respond to interest-rate shifts. Meanwhile, China's economic trajectory continues to be a key external variable for exporters across the region.
Brazilian fiscal policy and political developments add a layer of single-country volatility that disproportionately affects EWZ. ILF partially buffers this risk through its Mexican, Chilean, and Peruvian holdings, which benefit from distinct economic cycles, copper exposure, and different regulatory environments. For investors evaluating relative positioning, the regional diversification embedded in ILF acts as a partial hedge against Brazil-specific drawdowns while retaining broad emerging-market commodity leverage.
Over recent weeks and months, both funds have moved largely in tandem, reflecting Brazil's dominant share of each portfolio and the shared weight of financials and commodity producers. However, relative performance has been shaped by the currency, fiscal, and rate environment in Brazil, where EWZ's pure exposure has amplified both upswings and corrections. ILF's Mexico sleeve—anchored by miners, banks, and consumer franchises—has at times provided offsetting returns, modestly smoothing volatility.
From a risk standpoint, EWZ exhibits higher concentration and greater sensitivity to Brazilian politics and the real's exchange-rate moves, while ILF trades some of that single-country beta for lower cost and broader diversification. Fund performance has also been influenced by the earnings cycles of shared top holdings such as Nu Holdings, Vale, and Petrobras, which drive a substantial portion of returns in both vehicles. Investors seeking maximum Brazil beta may prefer EWZ, while those prioritizing cost efficiency and regional balance may find ILF's structure more resilient across market cycles.
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Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ILF over EWZ in the current environment. ILF offers a meaningfully lower expense ratio (0.47% versus 0.59%), a more balanced regional footprint spanning five markets, and comparable sector momentum through its financials, materials, and energy exposure. While EWZ provides superior liquidity and a purer vehicle for expressing Brazil-specific conviction, its single-country concentration introduces elevated fiscal and political risk that ILF partially diversifies away. For investors seeking broad Latin American exposure with greater cost efficiency and a more tempered risk profile, ILF presents the more favorable structural trade-off at present.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
EWZ saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 71 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EWZ turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 87%.
EWZ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EWZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Aroon Indicator for EWZ entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EWZ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 55 of 62 cases where EWZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Following a +2.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWZ advanced for three days, in 280 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
EWZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for ILF moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 51 of the 56 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 90%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ILF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ILF as a result. In 73 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ILF advanced for three days, in 294 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
ILF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ILF turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
ILF moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ILF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 18 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ILF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for ILF entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| EWZ | ILF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 88% | 6 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 87% | 16 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 76% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EWZ has been closely correlated with NU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EWZ jumps, then NU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EWZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWZ | 100% | +1.38% | ||
| NU - EWZ | 74% Closely correlated | +11.75% | ||
| JBS - EWZ | 17% Poorly correlated | +2.18% | ||
| AUGO - EWZ | -2% Poorly correlated | -3.75% | ||
| XP - EWZ | -4% Poorly correlated | +2.99% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ILF has been closely correlated with BBD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ILF jumps, then BBD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ILF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILF | 100% | +1.00% | ||
| BBD - ILF | 87% Closely correlated | +2.39% | ||
| NU - ILF | 75% Closely correlated | +11.75% | ||
| VIV - ILF | 72% Closely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| VALE - ILF | 68% Closely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| ABEV - ILF | 68% Closely correlated | +1.10% | ||
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