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FERG vs SITE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) vs. SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FERG has significantly outperformed SITE year-to-date, with returns of approximately 19.6% compared to 0.8%.
- Recent quarterly results for SITE showed flat sales and a net loss, contributing to a sharp stock decline, while FERG maintains stability near its 52-week high.
- Both companies operate as distributors in construction-related sectors, but FERG's larger scale ($53B market cap vs. $5.6B) provides broader exposure to plumbing and HVAC markets.
- FERG trades at a lower P/E ratio (26x) than SITE (37x), reflecting relative valuation differences.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight trending patterns that could inform relative performance in cyclical sectors like these.
Introduction
In the cyclical distribution sector tied to residential and commercial construction, FERG and SITE offer investors exposure to plumbing, HVAC, and landscape supplies. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and growth drivers amid varying housing market sentiment and supply chain dynamics. Traders seeking momentum plays or value opportunities in building products distribution, as well as long-term investors tracking sector recovery, will find insights into relative strengths, risks, and AI-informed perspectives on which may hold an edge in current conditions.
FERG Overview and Recent Performance
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is a leading North American distributor of plumbing, heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), appliances, and related pipe products, serving residential, non-residential, and repair-maintenance-improvement markets. With trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $30.8 billion and a market cap exceeding $53 billion, it benefits from scale and diversification. In recent market activity, FERG has traded near its 52-week high of $271.64, reflecting year-to-date gains of 19.6% and one-year returns of 58.1%. Sentiment has been supported by steady dividend declarations, analyst price target adjustments, and anticipation of first-quarter results, amid broader housing repair demand. Price stability above key moving averages underscores resilience despite sector cyclicality.
SITE Overview and Recent Performance
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) specializes in distributing landscape supplies, including hardscapes, lighting, nursery products, and irrigation to contractors and installers across North America. Its TTM revenue stands at $4.71 billion, with a market cap of about $5.6 billion. Recent weeks have seen volatility, with shares declining sharply to around $125.61 following first-quarter 2026 earnings that reported flat net sales of $940.1 million (organic daily sales down 1%) and a $26.6 million net loss, despite gross margin expansion to 33.9% (up 90 basis points). Year-to-date performance lags at 0.8%, with one-year returns at 7.4%, pressured by softer demand in landscaping amid economic uncertainty. Acquisitions like Bourget Flagstone continue to support growth initiatives, but sales momentum has weighed on sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FERG and SITE thrive as wholesale distributors in construction-adjacent markets, but FERG offers broader exposure to essential plumbing and HVAC versus SITE's niche in landscape and hardscape products, making FERG less sensitive to seasonal outdoor demand. Growth drivers diverge: FERG leverages repair-maintenance tailwinds and projected $31.9B fiscal 2026 sales, while SITE pursues M&A (e.g., recent deals adding $110M sales) amid organic softness. Recent momentum favors FERG's consistent uptrend near highs against SITE's post-earnings pullback. Risk factors include housing market cycles and rates for both, with SITE's higher beta (1.42 vs. 1.18) amplifying volatility. Market sentiment tilts toward FERG's dividend yield (1.35%) and analyst support, contrasting SITE's margin gains but sales challenges.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis, drawing from trend consistency and relative momentum, currently favors FERG over SITE. FERG's superior YTD performance, proximity to 52-week highs, and stable catalysts like dividends position it probabilistically stronger in the near term, particularly amid construction repair demand. SITE's margin improvements offer upside potential, but recent sales weakness tempers enthusiasm. AI patterns suggest monitoring for shifts in sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a StrongBuy and SITE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSITE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FERG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SITE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SITE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FERG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SITE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +0.22% price change this week, while SITE (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +1.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +1.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
FERG is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
SITE is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+1.44% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
| FERG | SITE | FERG / SITE | |
| Capitalization | 44.6B | 4.72B | 945% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 382M | 806% |
| Gain YTD | 4.549 | -14.499 | -31% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.65 | 31.51 | 72% |
| Revenue | 31.2B | 4.71B | 663% |
| Total Cash | 820M | 84M | 976% |
| Total Debt | 6.08B | 1.13B | 537% |
FERG | SITE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FERG's Valuation (32) in the null industry is in the same range as SITE (50) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to SITE’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for SITE (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew significantly faster than SITE’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SITE (73) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SITE’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Price Growth Rating (52) in the null industry is in the same range as SITE (75) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to SITE’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the null industry is in the same range as SITE (86) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to SITE’s over the last 12 months.
| FERG | SITE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 25 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 54% | 11 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 74% |
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with AIT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then AIT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | +0.90% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 48% Loosely correlated | -3.46% | ||
| SITE - FERG | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
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SITE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SITE has been loosely correlated with POOL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SITE jumps, then POOL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SITE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SITE | 100% | -0.36% | ||
| POOL - SITE | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| AIT - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| BXC - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| TITN - SITE | 50% Loosely correlated | +6.35% | ||
| FERG - SITE | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.90% | ||
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