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FERG vs SITE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) vs. SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is a diversified, large-scale distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and water solutions, while SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) is a focused wholesale distributor of landscape supplies — two very different risk profiles within the building-products distribution space.
- Recent momentum diverges: FERG raised its full-year guidance after a solid quarter, whereas SITE guided to flat-to-down organic sales and announced workforce and branch reductions amid softer demand.
- FERG offers greater financial stability through dividends and a large buyback authorization, while SITE carries a higher beta (a measure of volatility versus the market), no dividend, and more cyclical end-market exposure.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, the AI currently favors FERG based on more consistent trend strength, positive catalysts, and stronger relative positioning.
- For additional context, explore FERG Major News and FERG Today's Price Move, as well as SITE Major News and SITE Today's Price Move.
- Interested in automated market analysis? Explore Trending AI Robots to see how AI trading bots are currently positioning across the market.
Introduction
Both FERG and SITE operate in the building-products distribution industry, yet they serve distinct niches and face different cyclical pressures. Ferguson Enterprises is North America's largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), and water solutions, while SiteOne Landscape Supply is the largest and only nationwide full-line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a diversified, scale-driven operator against a more specialized, higher-beta growth name, and for traders assessing which profile offers more consistent momentum in the current market environment.
FERG Overview and Recent Performance
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG), headquartered in Newport News, Virginia, generates roughly $31 billion in annual sales across plumbing, HVAC, waterworks, and industrial products, serving both residential and non-residential construction professionals. In recent weeks the company has demonstrated resilience, posting a quarter with sales up in the mid-single digits and returning to growth in residential markets while continuing double-digit-style strength in non-residential demand. Management raised its full-year guidance and signed a definitive agreement to acquire FloWorks, a distributor of technical valves and flow-control products.
Sentiment has also been shaped by capital-return actions, including a declared quarterly dividend, an up-to-$2 billion share repurchase authorization, and a decision to consolidate its listing on the NYSE by canceling its London Stock Exchange secondary listing. Despite these positives, the shares have pulled back from their 52-week high, reflecting broader uncertainty in construction end markets and a mixed rate environment.
SITE Overview and Recent Performance
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE), based in Roswell, Georgia, distributes irrigation, agronomic, hardscape, and nursery products to residential and commercial landscape professionals across more than 690 branches in the U.S. and Canada. Its most recent quarterly report showed net sales up about 3% year over year, aided by acquisitions, while organic daily sales declined roughly 1% as lower volumes outweighed higher prices. Gross margin expanded, and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose about 8%, underscoring effective cost control.
However, demand remains challenging, particularly in new residential construction and repair-and-upgrade activity, with maintenance and commercial work proving more resilient. In response, management announced plans to reduce its workforce and consolidate or close underperforming branches in the fourth quarter, incurring a restructuring charge. The stock has been volatile, trading well below its 52-week high and down year to date, with a higher beta than FERG.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of the platform's AI trading bots, chosen for their suitability to current market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and statistical profile. Rather than presenting every available bot, the Trending section surfaces only those demonstrating the most relevant, timely performance. This makes it a useful starting point for traders who want to see how algorithmic strategies are currently navigating names like FERG and SITE. If you are evaluating automation, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can help you identify bots aligned with your own approach.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast is one of scale and diversification versus specialization and cyclicality. FERG spans multiple essential categories — plumbing, HVAC, and water infrastructure — across both residential and non-residential markets, giving it broader demand drivers and a roughly $40-billion-plus market capitalization. SITE is far smaller, with a market cap near $4.5 billion, and is more concentrated in outdoor, weather-sensitive landscaping end markets.
Growth drivers differ as well. FERG benefits from long-term themes such as water infrastructure investment, large capital projects, and aging housing stock, while SITE leans on acquisition-led expansion, private-label growth, and digital adoption to offset weak volumes. On risk, SITE's higher beta and restructuring actions signal more pronounced cyclical exposure, whereas FERG's dividend, buyback program, and balance-sheet strength offer greater relative stability. In terms of market sentiment, FERG's raised guidance and listing consolidation read as confidence, while SITE's cost-cutting and flat-to-down organic guidance reflect a more defensive posture.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor FERG over SITE. FERG exhibits more consistent trend strength, a broader and more resilient demand base, and clearer positive catalysts in the form of raised guidance, acquisition activity, and shareholder returns. SITE, by contrast, faces softer organic demand and is in a restructuring phase, which tends to introduce greater near-term uncertainty and price volatility. While no outcome is guaranteed, the AI's probabilistic assessment points to FERG as the more stable and better-positioned of the two in the current market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and SITE is a Buy.
FERG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In 62 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 223 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 313 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 67 cases where FERG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.291) is normal, around the industry mean (4.173). P/E Ratio (23.606) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.448) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
SITE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
SITE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SITE as a result. In 57 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SITE just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where SITE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The 10-day moving average for SITE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +3.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SITE advanced for three days, in 184 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 98 of 145 cases where SITE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SITE moved out of overbought territory on November 10, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 73%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SITE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
SITE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SITE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.916) is normal, around the industry mean (4.173). P/E Ratio (30.711) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.490) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.448) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.829) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SITE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.
FERG | SITE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SITE's Valuation (56) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (76) in the null industry. This means that SITE’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for SITE (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew significantly faster than SITE’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SITE (71) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SITE’s over the last 12 months.
SITE's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (42) in the null industry. This means that SITE’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's P/E Growth Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as SITE (76) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to SITE’s over the last 12 months.
| FERG | SITE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 68% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SITE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FERG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SITE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SITE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FERG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SITE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +7.21% price change this week, while SITE (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +3.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +1.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
SITE is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+1.26% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with CNM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then CNM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | -0.19% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| QXO - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
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SITE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SITE has been loosely correlated with QXO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SITE jumps, then QXO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SITE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SITE | 100% | -1.09% | ||
| QXO - SITE | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| CNM - SITE | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
| WSO - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
| FERG - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| BXC - SITE | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.67% | ||
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