Advertisement
FOSL vs MOV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOSL is a Hold and MOV is a StrongBuy.
FOSL in -3.82% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 22, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where FOSL declined for three days, in 284 of 320 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
FOSL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FOSL as a result. In 79 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOSL just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where FOSL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 100 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FOSL's P/B Ratio (5.109) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.048). FOSL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-6.114) as compared to the industry average of (12.512). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.162).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
MOV sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On November 02, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MOV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 51 of the 64 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MOV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MOV as a result. In 60 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOV just turned positive on November 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where MOV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
MOV moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOV advanced for three days, in 172 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
MOV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for MOV entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.376) is normal, around the industry mean (6.500). P/E Ratio (16.859) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.163). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.060) is also within normal values, averaging (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.051) settles around the average of (0.104) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.090) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FOSL | MOV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 6 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 78 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MOV's Valuation (44) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FOSL (85). This means that MOV’s stock grew somewhat faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
MOV's Profit vs Risk Rating (74) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as FOSL (100). This means that MOV’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
MOV's SMR Rating (76) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as FOSL (98). This means that MOV’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as MOV (45). This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to MOV’s over the last 12 months.
MOV's P/E Growth Rating (78) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as FOSL (97). This means that MOV’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
| FOSL | MOV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 8 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 89% | 11 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOSL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MOV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MOV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOSL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOV’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOSL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MOV’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а +14.59% price change this week, while MOV (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was +5.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was +3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +4.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
MOV is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (+3.16% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+4.89% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
Advertisement
FOSL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOSL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | 100% | +13.90% | ||
| MOV - FOSL | 38% Loosely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| SHOO - FOSL | 36% Loosely correlated | +6.70% | ||
| SIG - FOSL | 31% Poorly correlated | +7.99% | ||
| FWDI - FOSL | 23% Poorly correlated | +4.55% | ||
| ONON - FOSL | 22% Poorly correlated | +5.81% | ||
More | ||||