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FOSL vs SHOO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOSL is a Hold and SHOO is a Hold.
FOSL's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FOSL moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 22 of the 24 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FOSL as a result. In 80 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FOSL turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +10.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOSL advanced for three days, in 191 of 233 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
FOSL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 96 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.309) is normal, around the industry mean (2.954). FOSL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-5.157) as compared to the industry average of (12.630). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). FOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.252).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
SHOO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SHOO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 21, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
SHOO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 61 cases where SHOO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHOO as a result. In 63 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
SHOO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SHOO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOO advanced for three days, in 184 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 161 of 231 cases where SHOO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.459) is normal, around the industry mean (2.954). P/E Ratio (21.990) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.630). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.086) is also within normal values, averaging (1.252).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
FOSL | SHOO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHOO's Valuation (49) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FOSL (83) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
SHOO's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as FOSL (100) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
SHOO's SMR Rating (53) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FOSL (98) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as SHOO (42) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to SHOO’s over the last 12 months.
SHOO's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as FOSL (93) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
| FOSL | SHOO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 82% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOSL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SHOO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SHOO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOSL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHOO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOSL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SHOO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а -2.17% price change this week, while SHOO (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was -0.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
SHOO is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (-3.97% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
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FOSL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOSL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | 100% | -2.96% | ||
| MOV - FOSL | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| SHOO - FOSL | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| SIG - FOSL | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.89% | ||
| FWDI - FOSL | 23% Poorly correlated | -7.42% | ||
| ONON - FOSL | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.64% | ||
More | ||||
SHOO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHOO has been loosely correlated with OXM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SHOO jumps, then OXM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHOO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOO | 100% | -0.59% | ||
| OXM - SHOO | 64% Loosely correlated | +8.83% | ||
| KTB - SHOO | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.61% | ||
| COLM - SHOO | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.30% | ||
| LEVI - SHOO | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| CAL - SHOO | 58% Loosely correlated | +4.95% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| NBIZ | 39.35 | 4.96 | +14.42% |
| Tradr 2X Short NBIS Daily ETF (NBIZ) | |||
| JMSI | 48.35 | 0.43 | +0.89% |
| JPMorgan Sustainable Municipal Income ETF (JMSI) | |||
| AGRW | 32.90 | N/A | N/A |
| Allspring LT Large Growth ETF | |||
| AOM | 48.79 | -0.06 | -0.12% |
| iShares Core 40/60 Moderate Allocation ETF (AOM) | |||
| KEEX | 2.50 | -0.49 | -16.39% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2x Long KEEL ETF (KEEX) | |||