FTXL
Price
$211.33
Change
-$17.91 (-7.81%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
1.19B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SOXX
Price
$471.51
Change
-$42.35 (-8.24%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
48.09B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FTXL vs SOXX

FTXL vs SOXX Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 27, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) vs. iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)

Key Takeaways

  • Different construction philosophies: FTXL uses a factor-based "smart" weighting scheme, while SOXX tracks a modified market-capitalization-weighted index, producing meaningfully different concentration profiles.
  • Cost gap: SOXX charges a materially lower expense ratio of roughly 0.33% versus FTXL's 0.60%, a recurring advantage for long-term holders.
  • Size and liquidity: SOXX is one of the largest semiconductor ETFs by assets under management (AUM), with far deeper trading volume than the comparatively smaller FTXL.
  • Concentration risk: FTXL carries notable single-name weightings in INTC and MU, while SOXX spreads risk more evenly across mega-cap designers and equipment makers.
  • Volatility profile: Both funds are high-beta, cyclical vehicles, but FTXL's tilt toward volatile memory and turnaround names can amplify drawdowns relative to SOXX's broader diversification.
  • Thematic overlap: Both ETFs are effective vehicles for artificial intelligence (AI) and data-center semiconductor exposure, differing mainly in how they weight the same underlying industry.

Introduction

Semiconductors sit at the center of the artificial intelligence buildout, cloud computing growth, and the broader digitization of the global economy. For investors seeking concentrated exposure to this cyclical yet high-growth industry, FTXL and SOXX represent two of the most recognizable exchange-traded funds. They do not compete on identical terms: FTXL applies a rules-based "smart beta" factor screen, whereas SOXX mirrors a modified market-cap-weighted benchmark. Comparing the two offers a useful lens on how index methodology, cost, and portfolio construction translate into different risk and return characteristics, even within the same sector.

First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) Overview

FTXL tracks the Nasdaq US Smart Semiconductor Index, a rules-based benchmark that selects the most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies and weights them using a multi-factor approach emphasizing value, volatility, and growth characteristics. This factor tilt distinguishes FTXL from plain market-cap-weighted peers, periodically lifting relatively cheaper or less volatile names and capping runaway winners. The fund is structured as a passively managed, non-diversified ETF and holds roughly 30 to 35 positions, with information technology representing virtually the entire portfolio.

Top holdings have historically included INTC, MU, MRVL, AVGO, NVDA, AMD, and QCOM, with equipment and component suppliers such as AMAT, LRCX, and KLAC also represented. Its 0.60% expense ratio is on the higher side for a semiconductor ETF, and its smaller AUM and lighter trading volume can translate into modestly wider bid-ask spreads. The factor-driven rebalancing introduces turnover that some investors view as a differentiator, but it also concentrates weight in cyclical memory and turnaround names, raising single-stock sensitivity.

iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Overview

SOXX seeks to track the NYSE Semiconductor Index, a modified market-capitalization-weighted index of roughly 30 U.S.-listed semiconductor companies spanning chip designers, memory producers, and manufacturing equipment suppliers. As one of the oldest and largest funds in the category, SOXX benefits from substantial AUM and deep liquidity, which typically supports tight spreads and efficient execution. The fund is passively managed and charges an expense ratio of approximately 0.33%.

Its top holdings have recently included AMD, NVDA, INTC, MU, and AVGO, alongside TXN, ADI, MRVL, QCOM, and KLAC. Compared with FTXL, SOXX distributes weight more evenly across mega-cap leaders and tends to maintain a broader representation across the supply chain, which can reduce the influence of any single turnaround story. Its modified market-cap approach still leans toward larger companies, but it avoids the pronounced factor-driven concentration seen in FTXL.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within a sector defined by powerful secular and cyclical forces. Generative AI has driven a multi-year surge in demand for graphics processing units (GPUs), custom accelerators, high-bandwidth memory, and advanced packaging, lifting the earnings of leading chip designers and equipment makers. At the same time, the industry remains intensely cyclical, with pricing for commodity memory and legacy chips sensitive to inventory cycles, data-center capital expenditure, and end-market demand in PCs, smartphones, and autos. Geopolitical factors, including export controls and efforts to onshore advanced manufacturing capacity, have added a policy dimension that reshapes supply chains and fuels capital spending on fabrication equipment. Rising interest rates have periodically pressured richly valued semiconductor equities, making these ETFs among the more volatile corners of the equity market. For investors, the key question is less whether semiconductors will matter than how much single-stock and cyclical risk they are willing to accept.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, both FTXL and SOXX have delivered substantial gains during AI-driven rallies but have also experienced sharp drawdowns during risk-off episodes, reflecting the sector's high beta. SOXX's broader, more balanced weighting has tended to produce performance more closely aligned with the semiconductor universe as a whole, while FTXL's factor emphasis on value and lower volatility has at times created meaningful divergence, particularly when memory stocks such as MU or turnaround names like INTC outperform the mega-cap AI leaders. In recent months, relative positioning has been influenced by memory pricing cycles, cloud capital-expenditure trends, and earnings revisions among top holdings. FTXL's concentration and higher expense ratio can magnify both upside and downside, whereas SOXX's deeper liquidity and lower cost make it a more efficient core holding for broad semiconductor exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your semiconductor and sector research today.

Tickeron AI Verdict

On a structural basis, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SOXX for most investors seeking broad semiconductor exposure. Its lower expense ratio, deeper liquidity, larger AUM, and more balanced single-name diversification generally provide a more cost-efficient and less idiosyncratic way to access the sector. FTXL's factor-driven tilt can generate differentiated returns during specific phases of the memory and value cycle, but it introduces higher concentration and greater sensitivity to a handful of cyclical names. Accordingly, an AI-driven assessment would view SOXX as the more consistent core holding, while recognizing FTXL as a higher-conviction, tactically oriented alternative for investors comfortable with elevated single-stock and cyclical risk.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FTXL vs. SOXX commentary
Nov 01, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FTXL is a Hold and SOXX is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FTXL with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

FTXL's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for FTXL moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 15 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +5.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTXL advanced for three days, in 290 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

FTXL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 62 of 68 cases where FTXL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTXL as a result. In 81 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTXL turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

FTXL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FTXL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTXL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for FTXL entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SOXX with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

SOXX's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for SOXX moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +6.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXX advanced for three days, in 313 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

SOXX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 60 of 66 cases where SOXX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXX as a result. In 75 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOXX turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

SOXX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SOXX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for SOXX entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FTXLSOXX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
80%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
89%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
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FTXL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SOXX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FTXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTXL has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTXL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FTXL
1D Price
Change %
FTXL100%
-7.81%
LRCX - FTXL
89%
Closely correlated
-6.01%
AMAT - FTXL
85%
Closely correlated
-7.49%
ENTG - FTXL
84%
Closely correlated
-3.51%
MU - FTXL
83%
Closely correlated
-5.30%
KLAC - FTXL
83%
Closely correlated
-5.69%
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