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FUJHY vs TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) vs. Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both FUJHY and TM operate in the automotive sector but face headwinds from softening global demand and production challenges in recent market activity.
- FUJHY trades at a lower valuation with a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 6.5-15 and offers a higher dividend yield near 5%, appealing to value-oriented investors.
- TM boasts a larger market cap of approximately $245-250 billion and greater scale, with shares below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages amid sales declines.
- Recent U.S. sales data shows mixed results: Subaru reported April figures, while Toyota experienced global sales slips due to model changeovers and regional disruptions.
- Relative performance highlights FUJHY's higher beta stability (0.08) versus TM's 0.33, with both stocks down year-to-date but TM showing stronger long-term returns.
- AI tools from platforms like Tickeron analyze such comparisons for momentum and sector trends.
Introduction
Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) and Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) represent key players in the global automotive industry, both hailing from Japan and focusing on passenger vehicles with strong North American exposure. This stock comparison examines their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and sector dynamics amid shifting demand for hybrids, EVs, and traditional models. Traders seeking value plays or momentum opportunities, and investors tracking auto sector relative performance, will find insights into valuation, volatility, and growth drivers relevant in the current environment of production adjustments and regional sales variances.
FUJHY Overview and Recent Performance
Subaru Corporation (FUJHY), known for its all-wheel-drive vehicles like the Forester and Outback, manufactures automobiles and aerospace products primarily in Japan, with significant sales in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company reported April 2026 U.S. sales results recently, reflecting ongoing demand for its SUVs amid broader industry slowdowns. In recent weeks, FUJHY shares have traded around $7.50, down approximately 30% year-to-date and below its 50-day moving average of about $8.26 and 200-day moving average of $9.89. This price behavior stems from earlier earnings misses, profit outlook cuts for FY2026 despite steady revenue, and global unit sales declines due to production pauses for battery electric vehicle (BEV) preparations. Sentiment remains cautious, with a low beta of 0.08 indicating relative stability, a market cap near $10.7 billion, and a trailing P/E of 6.5-15, supported by a dividend yield over 5%.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM), the world's largest automaker by volume, designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of vehicles including sedans, SUVs, and trucks under Toyota and Lexus brands, alongside financial services. Recent market activity saw global sales decline for a second month in March due to model changeovers like the RAV4, Middle East disruptions, and China EV competition, contributing to shares trading near $188, down 12% year-to-date. The stock hovers below its 50-day moving average of $212.59 and around its 200-day moving average of $207.31, with a beta of 0.33. Key influences include quarterly profit pressures from rising costs and tariffs, despite strong prior earnings beats. With a market cap of $245-250 billion and trailing P/E near 10.6, TM maintains robust scale and a dividend yield around 3%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both FUJHY and TM share Japanese auto manufacturing roots and North American reliance, contrasts emerge in scale and focus: Toyota's diversified portfolio spans hybrids to EVs with global dominance, versus Subaru's niche in AWD SUVs and aerospace. Growth drivers differ—Toyota leverages volume and financial services amid EV transitions, while Subaru emphasizes U.S. SUV loyalty but grapples with BEV production ramps. Recent momentum favors neither, with both below key moving averages amid sales dips, though TM shows superior 3-year returns (+47% vs. Subaru's +3%). Risk factors include Toyota's exposure to China EV rivalry and tariffs, versus Subaru's narrower U.S. dependence and lower margins. Sector-wise, autos face cyclical pressures, but Subaru's lower beta (0.08 vs. 0.33) offers stability, while Toyota's P/E (10.6) exceeds Subaru's (6.5-15). Market sentiment tilts toward Toyota's scale for recovery potential, trading off Subaru's value appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward TM based on trend consistency in its larger scale, established hybrid catalysts, and relative positioning above Subaru's depressed levels. Observable factors like Toyota's higher long-term returns, diversified revenue, and analyst targets suggesting upside (around $255) support probabilistic outperformance in stabilizing auto markets, though Subaru's valuation and yield provide a value counterbalance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FUJHY is a Buy and TM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FUJHY’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FUJHY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FUJHY’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FUJHY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FUJHY (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а +7.51% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +1.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was +4.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
FUJHY is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (+4.38% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| FUJHY | TM | FUJHY / TM | |
| Capitalization | 10.4B | 255B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 596B | 7.63T | 8% |
| Gain YTD | -24.604 | -10.922 | 225% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.28 | 10.20 | 62% |
| Revenue | 4.81T | 50.69T | 9% |
| Total Cash | 2.02T | 16.64T | 12% |
| Total Debt | 413B | 43.21T | 1% |
FUJHY | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 3 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FUJHY's Valuation (10) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (75) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that FUJHY’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as FUJHY (100) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
FUJHY's SMR Rating (1) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (65) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that FUJHY’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as FUJHY (84) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
TM's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as FUJHY (27) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
| FUJHY | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 48% |
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FUJHY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUJHY has been closely correlated with MZDAY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUJHY jumps, then MZDAY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUJHY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUJHY | 100% | +6.73% | ||
| MZDAY - FUJHY | 67% Closely correlated | +1.94% | ||
| TM - FUJHY | 66% Closely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| HMC - FUJHY | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
| TOYOF - FUJHY | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| NSANY - FUJHY | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.71% | ||
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