FXG
Price
$63.12
Change
+$1.72 (+2.80%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
209.12M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLP
Price
$89.99
Change
+$2.88 (+3.31%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
14.92B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FXG vs XLP

FXG vs XLP Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) vs. State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)

Key Takeaways

  • First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) employs a rules-based AlphaDEX methodology to select and weight consumer staples stocks from the Russell 1000 Index, resulting in approximately 41 holdings with a mid-cap tilt and modified equal weighting.
  • State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) tracks a market-capitalization-weighted index of S&P 500 consumer staples companies, holding about 35 large-cap names with heavy concentration in retailers and staples giants.
  • FXG carries an expense ratio of 0.63%, significantly higher than XLP’s 0.08%, reflecting the former’s active factor selection versus the latter’s passive cap-weighted approach.
  • Both ETFs target U.S. consumer staples exposure but differ in strategy: FXG seeks potential alpha through quantitative screens, while XLP provides broad, low-cost representation of the sector’s largest players.
  • XLP offers superior liquidity and scale with assets exceeding $14 billion, compared to FXG’s smaller size around $200–260 million.
  • In recent market cycles, the sector’s defensive characteristics have supported both funds, though XLP’s lower costs and large-cap focus position it for more consistent efficiency in stable or inflationary environments.

Introduction

Consumer staples ETFs provide defensive equity exposure during economic uncertainty, offering companies involved in food, beverages, household products, and retail. First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) and State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) both focus on this sector yet pursue distinct strategies. FXG uses a quantitative selection process for potential outperformance, while XLP delivers straightforward market-cap exposure to S&P 500 staples names. Investors compare them to evaluate trade-offs between active factor tilting and low-cost passive indexing within the same defensive theme.

First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) Overview

First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Index. The index applies a rules-based methodology that selects stocks from the Russell 1000 Index in the consumer staples sector using value and growth factors, then applies modified equal weighting. The fund typically holds around 41 securities with a notable allocation to mid-cap companies alongside large caps. Top holdings often include names such as Bunge Global, Pilgrim’s Pride, Freshpet, and Ingredion. Sector exposure centers on consumer staples but may include modest healthcare or materials components. FXG maintains an expense ratio of 0.63% and follows a passive yet factor-driven structure with quarterly rebalancing elements inherent to the index methodology.

State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) Overview

State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) tracks the Consumer Staples Select Sector Index, which represents the consumer staples portion of the S&P 500. The fund holds approximately 35 large-cap stocks weighted by market capitalization. Prominent holdings typically feature Walmart, Costco Wholesale, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, and Philip Morris International. Exposure remains concentrated in food products, beverages, household products, tobacco, and staples retailing. XLP operates as a purely passive, cap-weighted vehicle with an expense ratio of 0.08%. The index undergoes quarterly rebalancing, ensuring alignment with S&P 500 sector changes while maintaining high liquidity and institutional-scale assets.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. consumer staples sector benefits from steady demand for essential goods, providing resilience amid economic cycles, inflation, and shifting consumer preferences. Key drivers include consistent earnings from food, beverage, and household product firms, alongside retail consolidation. Macro factors such as interest rate expectations, commodity price trends in agriculture, and regulatory developments in tobacco or packaging influence performance. Capital flows into defensive sectors often increase during periods of market volatility or slowing growth. Risks include potential margin pressure from input costs and evolving consumer shifts toward value or health-focused products.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have reflected the defensive nature of consumer staples amid broader market rotations. First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG)’s factor-based approach can lead to greater volatility and potential divergence from broad sector returns due to its mid-cap emphasis and stock selection screens. State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) tends to deliver more stable tracking of large-cap staples leaders, benefiting from lower turnover and cost efficiency. Relative positioning favors XLP in environments prioritizing liquidity and minimal expense drag, while FXG may appeal during cycles where value or growth factors within staples outperform traditional capitalization weighting.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to uncover additional opportunities aligned with your strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural characteristics including significantly lower expense ratio, larger scale, higher liquidity, and pure passive market-cap exposure to leading consumer staples names, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probabilistic preference to State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) for most investors seeking efficient sector representation. First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) offers differentiated factor exposure that may suit specific tactical mandates but carries higher costs and smaller size that reduce its relative appeal in standard allocation frameworks.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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FXG vs. XLP commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FXG is a Hold and XLP is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FXG with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

FXG's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for FXG moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FXG as a result. In 81 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXG just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

FXG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXG advanced for three days, in 261 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for FXG moved below the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

FXG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FXG entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLP with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

XLP in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026

The 10-day moving average for XLP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLP as a result. In 82 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLP just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

XLP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLP advanced for three days, in 256 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

XLP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XLP entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FXGXLP
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
81%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 23 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 23 days ago
74%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
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FXG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
XLP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FXG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXG has been closely correlated with CAG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXG jumps, then CAG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FXG
1D Price
Change %
FXG100%
+2.80%
CAG - FXG
71%
Closely correlated
+7.34%
GIS - FXG
65%
Loosely correlated
+8.01%
PG - FXG
62%
Loosely correlated
+5.58%
CL - FXG
61%
Loosely correlated
+4.27%
MKC - FXG
59%
Loosely correlated
+5.16%
More

XLP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLP has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLP jumps, then CL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLP
1D Price
Change %
XLP100%
+3.31%
CL - XLP
75%
Closely correlated
+4.27%
PG - XLP
71%
Closely correlated
+5.58%
CAG - XLP
65%
Loosely correlated
+7.34%
GIS - XLP
62%
Loosely correlated
+8.01%
HSY - XLP
61%
Loosely correlated
+4.67%
More
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