GDX
Price
$77.09
Change
-$4.24 (-5.21%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
25.88B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GDXJ
Price
$94.97
Change
-$5.97 (-5.91%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
7.73B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX vs GDXJ

GDX vs GDXJ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Key Takeaways

  • Different market-cap exposure: GDX targets established large- and mid-cap gold miners, while GDXJ focuses on smaller, "junior" miners with higher growth and higher volatility profiles.
  • Similar costs: Both are passively managed index funds with nearly identical expense ratios—0.51% for GDX and 0.52% for GDXJ.
  • Diversification gap: GDX holds roughly 55–60 names, whereas GDXJ holds approximately 160, spreading risk across many smaller producers and developers.
  • Risk and beta: GDXJ has historically exhibited higher beta and deeper drawdowns than GDX, reflecting the operational and financing risks of smaller miners.
  • Silver overlap: Despite the "gold" label, both funds include meaningful silver-mining and royalty/streaming exposure, so silver prices influence returns for each.
  • Performance drivers: GDX is more sensitive to large-cap earnings and free cash flow, while GDXJ responds more sharply to exploration news, M&A (mergers and acquisitions), and risk appetite.

Introduction

Gold miners have returned to the spotlight as investors weigh inflation, real interest rates, central-bank buying, and geopolitical uncertainty. Within this crowded thematic space, two of the most widely traded vehicles are the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). They do not compete directly; rather, they represent two tiers of the same sector. GDX offers broad, relatively stable exposure to established producers, while GDXJ captures smaller, higher-growth companies. For investors building or refining a precious-metals allocation, understanding this ETF comparison is essential to matching sector exposure with an appropriate risk profile.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Overview

GDX is a passively managed equity fund that seeks to track the MVIS Global Gold Miners Index, a float-adjusted, modified market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of publicly traded companies primarily involved in gold and silver mining. The portfolio holds roughly 55–60 names, dominated by large-cap producers and royalty/streaming companies.

Top holdings include NEM (Newmont), AEM (Agnico Eagle), GOLD (Barrick Gold), WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals), FNV (Franco-Nevada), AU (AngloGold Ashanti), GFI (Gold Fields), and KGC (Kinross Gold). The top ten positions commonly account for more than half of assets, giving the fund a concentrated, quality-oriented tilt. Its expense ratio is 0.51%. Because it is index-based, it rebalances according to the underlying index methodology rather than active manager discretion.

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Overview

GDXJ is also a passively managed index fund, tracking the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index. This benchmark targets small-capitalization companies engaged in gold and silver mining, including explorers, developers, and early-stage producers. The fund typically holds around 160 names, providing far greater breadth than GDX.

Representative top holdings include CDE (Coeur Mining), AGI (Alamos Gold), EQX (Equinox Gold), IAG (IAMGOLD), HL (Hecla Mining), and AG (First Majestic Silver). The top ten positions typically represent a smaller share of assets than in GDX—around 40%—reflecting its more diversified, smaller-cap profile. Its expense ratio is 0.52%, marginally higher than GDX. The index caps individual weightings, which helps limit single-stock concentration despite the fund's small-cap focus.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the precious-metals mining complex, where revenue is tied to gold and silver prices, production costs, and reserve quality. Key catalysts include the path of real interest rates, U.S. dollar strength, central-bank gold accumulation, and geopolitical risk premiums. Rising energy and labor costs pressure miners' all-in sustaining costs, while consolidation activity can reward or penalize specific names. Smaller companies, which dominate GDXJ, face additional constraints around project financing and execution risk, whereas the large-cap names in GDX generally command stronger balance sheets and more diversified asset bases.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Across recent market cycles, GDX and GDXJ have moved in the same broad direction but with meaningfully different magnitudes. When gold rallies and investor risk appetite improves, GDXJ has tended to outperform, as smaller miners offer greater operating leverage and become M&A targets. In risk-off phases or when gold consolidates, GDX has typically held up better, supported by established producers generating free cash flow and, in some cases, paying dividends. This divergence makes relative positioning important: GDX suits investors seeking broad sector exposure with moderate volatility, while GDXJ appeals to those willing to accept higher volatility for potentially stronger upside during gold upswings.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. If you are researching precious-metals exposure or comparing funds like GDX and GDXJ, the AI Screener can help you identify signals and refine your watchlist with speed and precision.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a conditional preference rather than a universal one. For investors prioritizing cost efficiency, liquidity, and lower volatility, GDX holds a modest edge given its larger, more established constituents and marginally lower expense ratio. However, when trend consistency and sector momentum favor a rising gold price, GDXJ's higher beta and greater breadth across smaller producers may offer stronger relative upside. The AI's stance would therefore tilt toward GDX for defensive positioning and toward GDXJ for momentum-seeking exposure, with the final choice dependent on the investor's risk tolerance and time horizon.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GDX vs. GDXJ commentary
Nov 01, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GDX is a Hold and GDXJ is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

GDX in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDX as a result. In 69 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GDX turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.

The 10-day moving average for GDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +3.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 290 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXJ with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

GDXJ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

GDXJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for GDXJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The 50-day moving average for GDXJ moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXJ entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GDXJ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +4.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXJ advanced for three days, in 267 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDXJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXGDXJ
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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GDX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GDXJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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GDX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDX has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDX jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDX
1D Price
Change %
GDX100%
-5.21%
WPM - GDX
96%
Closely correlated
-5.42%
AEM - GDX
95%
Closely correlated
-5.99%
KGC - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-6.81%
IAG - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-7.71%
NEM - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-4.64%
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GDXJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDXJ has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDXJ jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDXJ
1D Price
Change %
GDXJ100%
-5.91%
KGC - GDXJ
93%
Closely correlated
-6.81%
PAAS - GDXJ
93%
Closely correlated
-6.80%
FSM - GDXJ
92%
Closely correlated
-5.23%
EQX - GDXJ
91%
Closely correlated
-4.72%
CGAU - GDXJ
91%
Closely correlated
-1.13%
More
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