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GGG vs ITW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Graco Inc. (GGG) specializes in fluid handling equipment, while Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) operates a diversified portfolio across multiple industrial segments.
- Both companies operate in the industrials sector with exposure to manufacturing and construction end markets, but ITW offers broader diversification through its decentralized business model.
- Recent market activity shows steady performance for both stocks amid mixed industrial sector sentiment influenced by economic indicators and supply chain factors.
- GGG has demonstrated consistent execution in its core product lines, while ITW benefits from its scale and recurring revenue streams across segments.
- Relative performance reflects trade-offs between GGG's focused growth profile and ITW's established market positioning and dividend history.
- Market sentiment remains neutral to positive for both, with attention on upcoming earnings releases and broader economic trends.
Introduction
Graco Inc. (GGG) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) represent two established players in the industrials sector, offering investors exposure to specialized manufacturing and equipment markets. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating industrial stocks. Professionals seeking to understand sector dynamics, diversification benefits, or momentum signals may find the analysis relevant when assessing portfolio allocation within the broader market environment.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment for managing fluids, coatings, and adhesives. The company serves industrial, contractor, and process applications worldwide. In recent weeks, GGG stock has experienced measured price movements amid broader industrial sector activity. Performance has been influenced by quarterly results highlighting record sales and operating earnings, alongside ongoing demand in key end markets. Sentiment reflects steady operational execution, with attention on margin trends and distributor channel dynamics.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a diversified manufacturer of engineered products and equipment, operating through a decentralized model across multiple segments including automotive, food equipment, and construction. The company maintains a global footprint with significant North American exposure. Recent market activity has shown resilience in ITW shares, supported by consistent earnings delivery and margin expansion. Factors influencing performance include its scale advantages and recurring revenue components, with investor focus on upcoming quarterly updates and macroeconomic conditions affecting industrial demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Graco Inc. (GGG) maintains a focused business model centered on fluid handling technology, providing concentrated exposure to specific industrial applications. In contrast, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) leverages a highly diversified portfolio and entrepreneurial operating structure that spreads risk across numerous end markets. Recent momentum favors ITW’s larger scale and established dividend track record, while GGG offers potential upside tied to niche product innovation. Risk factors for GGG include concentration in fewer segments, whereas ITW faces complexity from managing multiple businesses. Sector exposure overlaps in industrials, yet ITW’s broader reach may provide relative stability during cyclical shifts. Market sentiment for both remains tied to manufacturing data and capital spending trends, creating distinct trade-offs for investors balancing focus versus diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) over Graco Inc. (GGG). ITW’s diversified revenue base and history of margin discipline appear to align more closely with sustained performance patterns in recent market conditions. This assessment remains subject to evolving data and should not be interpreted as a definitive recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a Buy and ITW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileITW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ITW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ITW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -1.92% price change this week, while ITW (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -1.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
ITW is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.10% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| GGG | ITW | GGG / ITW | |
| Capitalization | 13.3B | 82.8B | 16% |
| EBITDA | 763M | 4.74B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | 1.040 | 19.538 | 5% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.77 | 26.34 | 98% |
| Revenue | 2.27B | 16.2B | 14% |
| Total Cash | 508M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.2M | 9.15B | 1% |
GGG | ITW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 42 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GGG's Valuation (42) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ITW (87). This means that GGG’s stock grew somewhat faster than ITW’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (71). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (13) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (45). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (50). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (66). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | ITW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 47% | 11 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 40% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 38% |
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GGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GGG has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GGG jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GGG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGG | 100% | -0.39% | ||
| LECO - GGG | 74% Closely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| ITW - GGG | 73% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| AOS - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| NDSN - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| ROP - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | +0.46% | ||
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ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.