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GGG vs ITW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Graco Inc. (GGG) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) operate in the industrial manufacturing sector, with GGG focused on fluid handling systems and ITW maintaining a diversified portfolio across multiple end markets.
- Recent market activity shows GGG trading near 52-week lows following a first-quarter earnings miss, while ITW reported solid first-quarter results with revenue growth and raised full-year guidance.
- ITW carries a significantly larger market capitalization and offers a higher dividend yield compared to GGG.
- Both companies face upcoming second-quarter earnings releases in late July 2026, which may influence near-term sentiment and relative performance.
- Sector exposure and business model differences highlight trade-offs in growth stability versus specialized market positioning.
- Observable trends indicate varying levels of momentum, with ITW demonstrating more consistent recent operational delivery.
Introduction
Graco Inc. (GGG) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) represent two established players in the industrial sector, offering investors exposure to manufacturing and fluid management technologies. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative value in the current environment. The analysis focuses on verifiable developments and observable metrics that may appeal to those seeking balanced perspectives on mid- and large-cap industrial equities.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) specializes in the design and manufacture of fluid handling equipment, serving industries such as construction, manufacturing, and automotive. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced downward pressure, trading near its 52-week low amid broader market conditions and following first-quarter results that missed revenue and earnings expectations. Year-to-date performance reflects a decline, with the shares showing limited recovery in the most recent market activity. Sentiment has been influenced by modest revenue growth that fell short of consensus forecasts, alongside anticipation of the upcoming second-quarter earnings release scheduled for late July 2026. Dividend announcements have provided some support, though overall momentum remains constrained relative to broader industrial benchmarks.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) operates as a diversified industrial manufacturer with businesses spanning automotive, construction, food equipment, and welding segments. Recent performance has been more stable, supported by first-quarter results that met or exceeded expectations, including revenue growth and operating margin expansion driven by enterprise initiatives. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance following those results. In recent market activity, the stock has maintained levels closer to its recent range, with a market capitalization substantially larger than many sector peers. Upcoming second-quarter earnings in late July 2026 represent a key near-term catalyst, while consistent capital returns through dividends and share repurchases have contributed to steady investor positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Graco Inc. (GGG) maintains a specialized focus on fluid handling and coating equipment, creating exposure to cyclical end markets such as construction and industrial maintenance. In contrast, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) employs a decentralized model across multiple platforms, providing broader diversification and potentially greater resilience during sector-specific slowdowns. Recent momentum favors ITW following stronger first-quarter delivery and guidance updates, whereas GGG has faced pressure from earnings shortfalls. Risk factors for GGG include higher sensitivity to industrial spending fluctuations, while ITW contends with integration and margin sustainability across its portfolio. Market sentiment reflects these differences, with ITW benefiting from scale advantages and GGG offering potentially higher growth sensitivity in recovery scenarios. Sector exposure remains overlapping yet differentiated by product specialization versus platform breadth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, recent earnings delivery, and relative stability, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) over Graco Inc. (GGG). ITW demonstrates stronger operational momentum from its first-quarter results and guidance raise, alongside greater scale that may support steadier positioning. GGG shows potential for rebound but faces nearer-term headwinds from earnings misses and price weakness. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to current data trends rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a Hold and ITW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileITW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ITW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ITW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -1.65% price change this week, while ITW (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -1.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -2.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
ITW is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-2.55% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| GGG | ITW | GGG / ITW | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 77.3B | 16% |
| EBITDA | 744M | 4.74B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | -9.112 | 10.494 | -87% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.18 | 24.96 | 97% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 16.2B | 14% |
| Total Cash | 712M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.9M | 9.15B | 1% |
GGG | ITW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ITW's Valuation (20) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (25). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Profit vs Risk Rating (48) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (85). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (46). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (62). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (75). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | ITW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 27% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 5 days ago 40% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 39% |
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ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.