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DOV vs ITW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dover Corporation (DOV) vs. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dover Corporation (DOV) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 14% compared to Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)'s 10%, reflecting robust recent momentum.
- ITW offers a higher dividend yield of about 2.4%, marking its 63rd consecutive increase, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks operate in the industrial sector but DOV shows greater upside potential with analyst price targets implying 4-14% gains versus ITW's more modest outlook.
- Recent analyst upgrades for DOV, including higher price targets from Citi and Oppenheimer, signal improving industry backdrops.
- ITW maintains a larger market capitalization of around $78 billion compared to DOV's $30 billion, underscoring its scale advantage.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings for both—DOV on April 23 and ITW on April 30—could drive near-term volatility.
Introduction
Dover Corporation (DOV) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) are prominent players in the diversified industrials sector, offering exposure to manufacturing, engineered products, and solutions across multiple end-markets. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance trends, and key metrics to aid investors and traders evaluating relative strength in a dynamic economic environment. Value-oriented investors may prefer ITW's dividend reliability, while growth seekers might lean toward DOV's momentum. Understanding these contrasts supports informed portfolio decisions amid shifting industrial demand and macroeconomic influences.
DOV Overview and Recent Performance
Dover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified global manufacturer delivering products and services in industries like pumps, refrigeration, and imaging systems, with annual revenue exceeding $8 billion. In recent market activity, DOV shares have climbed, posting year-to-date gains around 14% and one-year returns near 39%, outpacing broader indices. Trading near $222, the stock's 52-week range spans $158 to $238, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 28. Sentiment has brightened on analyst upgrades, including Citi raising its target to $253 and Oppenheimer to $242, citing margin strength and sector tailwinds ahead of Q1 earnings on April 23. Recent weeks' upticks reflect optimism in industrial cycles, tempered by a beta of 1.25 indicating moderate volatility.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) operates as a multinational manufacturer specializing in fasteners, welding equipment, and food services, generating over $16 billion in annual revenue. Shares have advanced year-to-date by roughly 10% and one-year by about 19%, trading around $272 within a 52-week range of $225 to $303, supported by a P/E ratio near 26. Positive sentiment stems from its 63rd consecutive dividend increase to $1.61 per share, yielding 2.4%, alongside a new $3 billion credit facility enhancing liquidity. Recent performance shows stability with lower beta of 1.14, though shares dipped slightly in March amid broader sector pressures, ahead of Q1 earnings on April 30. Industrial demand steadiness has underpinned gradual gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DOV and ITW thrive on diversified industrial models, but DOV emphasizes niche engineered solutions while ITW focuses on fasteners and equipment with broader segments. Growth drivers differ: DOV benefits from organic expansion and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) in high-margin areas, versus ITW's steady 2-4% revenue guidance. Recent momentum favors DOV with superior returns, though ITW edges in stability and scale. Risk profiles show ITW's lower beta and higher yield mitigating volatility, while DOV faces earnings sensitivity. Sector exposure overlaps in manufacturing, but market sentiment tilts toward DOV's cycle recovery versus ITW's mature positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward DOV based on stronger trend consistency, superior relative performance over recent months, and positive analyst catalysts positioning it for potential outperformance in expanding industrial cycles. While ITW offers dividend stability, DOV's momentum suggests higher probability of near-term gains absent major disruptions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOV is a Buy and ITW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOV’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileITW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DOV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ITW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ITW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DOV (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +1.24% price change this week, while ITW (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +1.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
ITW is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.88% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| DOV | ITW | DOV / ITW | |
| Capitalization | 29.3B | 74.1B | 40% |
| EBITDA | 1.88B | 4.74B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 11.895 | 5.180 | 230% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.18 | 23.90 | 114% |
| Revenue | 8.28B | 16.2B | 51% |
| Total Cash | 1.64B | 827M | 199% |
| Total Debt | 3.29B | 9.15B | 36% |
DOV | ITW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ITW's Valuation (19) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (29) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as ITW (59) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOV (57) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOV’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as ITW (53) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as ITW (43) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
| DOV | ITW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 52% | 14 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 42% |
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ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.