GLDM
Price
$79.65
Change
-$2.14 (-2.62%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
31.19B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
OUNZ
Price
$38.68
Change
-$1.02 (-2.57%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
2.68B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GLDM vs OUNZ

GLDM vs OUNZ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR® Gold MiniShares® Trust (GLDM) vs. VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ)

Key Takeaways

  • Both GLDM and OUNZ are physically backed grantor trusts that track the LBMA Gold Price PM, providing direct exposure to gold bullion prices with minimal tracking error.
  • GLDM offers a lower expense ratio of 0.10% compared to 0.25% for OUNZ, resulting in a structural cost advantage for long-term holders.
  • OUNZ distinguishes itself with an optional physical redemption feature allowing investors to exchange shares for allocated gold bars or coins, adding flexibility not available in GLDM.
  • Both ETFs hold a single asset—physical gold bullion—with no equity holdings or sector diversification beyond the precious metals commodity exposure.
  • GLDM benefits from substantially higher assets under management and trading volume, supporting tighter bid-ask spreads and greater liquidity for institutional and retail investors.
  • In recent market cycles, performance differentials between the two have been driven primarily by expense ratios rather than index tracking or holdings differences.

Introduction

Gold-backed exchange-traded funds remain relevant for investors seeking inflation hedging, portfolio diversification, and exposure to commodity price movements amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. GLDM and OUNZ compete directly within the physically backed gold ETF category, offering nearly identical strategies that aim to reflect gold bullion performance net of expenses. They serve as low-cost alternatives to larger peers while differing in fee structure and investor options, making them suitable for comparison by those prioritizing cost efficiency versus redemption flexibility.

SPDR® Gold MiniShares® Trust (GLDM) Overview

The SPDR® Gold MiniShares® Trust (GLDM) is a grantor trust launched in June 2018 that seeks to track the performance of the LBMA Gold Price PM, less expenses. It holds physical gold bullion as its sole asset, resulting in one holding with 100% allocation to gold. The fund operates as a passive, physically backed vehicle with no active management or rebalancing beyond custody adjustments. Its expense ratio stands at 0.10%. Key structural features include listing on NYSE Arca, eligibility for margin and short sales, and custody arrangements with institutions such as JPMorgan Chase Bank. The trust provides transparent daily pricing and NAV tracking, emphasizing secure storage and accessibility for cost-conscious gold investors.

VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) Overview

The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) is a grantor trust launched in May 2014 that also tracks the LBMA Gold Price PM, less expenses. Like GLDM, it maintains physical gold bullion in allocated London bars as its only holding, equating to 100% commodity exposure with no equities or sector breakdowns. The fund is passively managed and offers the distinctive option for shareholders to redeem shares for physical gold delivery in the form of bars or coins, subject to minimum thresholds and fees. Its expense ratio is 0.25%. The ETF lists on NYSE Arca and provides a calculator tool to estimate physical redemption quantities, positioning it for investors valuing potential direct ownership alongside price exposure.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The physically backed gold ETF sector operates within the broader precious metals commodity market, influenced by macroeconomic factors including interest rate expectations, inflation trends, geopolitical tensions, and central bank purchasing activity. Gold serves as a traditional safe-haven asset during periods of economic volatility or currency debasement concerns. Capital flows into gold products often accelerate during risk-off environments or when real yields decline. Regulatory oversight focuses on custody standards and transparency for grantor trusts, with no major recent changes affecting these specific vehicles. Risks include gold price volatility tied to U.S. dollar strength, opportunity costs versus yield-bearing assets, and storage or liquidity considerations during extreme market stress.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, both ETFs have exhibited closely aligned price behavior consistent with their shared benchmark, with minor divergences attributable to expense ratios and minor tracking differences. In broader market cycles, GLDM has demonstrated a slight performance edge due to its lower ongoing costs, particularly during extended holding periods. OUNZ provides comparable exposure with added optionality for physical delivery, which may appeal during specific liquidity or tax-planning scenarios. Volatility profiles remain similar given identical underlying assets, though GLDM’s higher trading volume supports more efficient execution. Relative positioning favors cost efficiency for core holdings and redemption flexibility for specialized strategies.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to discover additional opportunities aligned with your strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors including lower expense ratio, higher liquidity, and strong tracking efficiency, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of preference to GLDM for most investors seeking core gold exposure. The cost advantage compounds over time while maintaining nearly identical benchmark alignment and risk profile. OUNZ remains competitive for those specifically valuing physical redemption flexibility.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GLDM vs. OUNZ commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GLDM is a Hold and OUNZ is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLDM with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GLDM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GLDM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLDM as a result. In 58 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

GLDM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GLDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLDM entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLDM advanced for three days, in 279 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

GLDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for OUNZ with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

OUNZ sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

OUNZ saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OUNZ as a result. In 57 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

OUNZ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for OUNZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OUNZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator for OUNZ entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OUNZ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OUNZ advanced for three days, in 275 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

OUNZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GLDMOUNZ
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
65%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
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GLDM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
OUNZ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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