GLDM
Price
$76.83
Change
-$2.73 (-3.43%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
30.49B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGOL
Price
$36.95
Change
-$1.32 (-3.45%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
6.89B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GLDM vs SGOL

GLDM vs SGOL Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 26, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) vs. abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL)

Key Takeaways

  • Nearly identical exposure: Both GLDM and SGOL are physically backed gold trusts that track the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price, holding allocated bullion rather than gold-mining equities.
  • Cost advantage favors GLDM: GLDM charges a 0.10% expense ratio versus 0.17% for SGOL, a meaningful gap for long-term, buy-and-hold investors.
  • Scale and liquidity differ sharply: GLDM holds roughly $30 billion in assets under management (AUM), while SGOL holds closer to $7 billion, giving GLDM deeper trading liquidity.
  • SGOL's differentiation is sourcing: SGOL focuses on responsibly sourced, post-2012 refined London Good Delivery bars, while GLDM is a low-cost commodity access vehicle.
  • Performance is driven by gold, not structure: Both funds move in near lockstep with spot gold, so relative positioning turns on cost, liquidity, and custody preferences rather than divergent returns.

Introduction

Investors evaluating gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) often face a subtle but important choice: two products can offer virtually the same metal exposure while differing meaningfully on cost, scale, and custody. That is precisely the case with the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust and the abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF. Both are grantor trusts that hold physical gold bullion and aim to mirror the spot price of gold, so this is not a competition between competing strategies but a direct comparison of two near-substitute vehicles. For investors deciding where to place a precious-metals allocation, the distinctions below are the factors that actually matter.

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) Overview

GLDM is a physically backed gold trust issued by State Street Global Advisors and sponsored by WGC USA Asset Management. Launched in June 2018, the fund seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses, using London Good Delivery gold bars held in secure vaults. Each share represents a small fraction of an ounce of gold, giving the product a lower per-share price than larger legacy gold vehicles.

The portfolio is intentionally simple: gold bullion accounts for effectively 100% of assets, with a small residual cash position. There is no sector allocation, equity exposure, or derivatives overlay. The fund charges a 0.10% expense ratio, among the lowest in the U.S. physical-gold category, and manages roughly $30 billion in AUM. As a grantor trust, it is structured to provide direct, passive commodity exposure without active management or periodic rebalancing. Its scale, tight spreads, and low cost make it a benchmark option for both retail and institutional gold allocation.

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) Overview

SGOL is a physically backed gold trust managed by abrdn, launched in September 2009, making it one of the more established vehicles in the category. Like GLDM, SGOL seeks to track the spot price of gold bullion, less trust expenses, and holds allocated physical gold rather than futures or mining stocks. Its single holding is physical gold bullion, representing 100% of the portfolio.

SGOL's most distinctive structural feature is its sourcing standard: the trust seeks to hold only London Good Delivery bars refined on or after January 1, 2012, in line with the LBMA Responsible Gold Guidance. This reflects an emphasis on environmental, anti-money-laundering, and human-rights standards in the metal's supply chain. The fund charges a 0.17% expense ratio and holds approximately $7 billion in AUM, with gold custodied in Zurich vaults. While smaller and slightly more expensive than GLDM, SGOL appeals to investors who prioritize responsible-sourcing criteria alongside straightforward bullion exposure.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit at the center of a gold market shaped by persistent macroeconomic forces. Gold has been supported in recent market cycles by elevated central-bank buying, concerns about currency debasement, geopolitical uncertainty, and periods of declining real interest rates. Because gold pays no yield, its appeal tends to rise when real yields fall or when investors seek a hedge against inflation and financial-market stress. Conversely, rising real rates and strong risk-on equity rallies have historically acted as headwinds for the metal.

For physically backed ETFs, capital flows have generally tracked these macro currents, with investors adding bullion exposure during risk-aversion episodes and trimming it during equity surges. Regulatory and custodial standards also shape the landscape, particularly as issuers emphasize responsible sourcing and supply-chain transparency. Both GLDM and SGOL are passive commodity vehicles, so their fortunes rise and fall almost entirely with the price of gold rather than with company earnings or sector-specific operational factors.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Because GLDM and SGOL track the same benchmark and hold the same underlying asset, their total returns have tracked one another closely over recent weeks and months. The primary, persistent performance gap is the expense differential: GLDM's 0.10% fee versus SGOL's 0.17% means GLDM has compounded slightly better for long-term holders, with the advantage widening modestly as gold appreciates. Over a full market cycle, this cost gap is the most predictable single driver of relative performance between the two.

On volatility and drawdowns, the two funds are essentially indistinguishable, since both mirror spot gold with minimal tracking error. Positioning differences are structural rather than return-driven. GLDM's larger AUM and deeper daily trading volume tend to produce tighter bid-ask spreads and lower transaction costs for frequent traders and institutions. SGOL, by contrast, offers a responsible-sourcing framework and long-established vaulting arrangements that appeal to investors with sustainability or custody preferences. In practice, relative positioning comes down to whether an investor weights cost and liquidity or sourcing standards more heavily.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending instruments, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Whether you are comparing gold ETFs or exploring broader sector momentum, the AI Screener can streamline your research workflow.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor GLDM as the more efficient core vehicle for gold exposure. Its lower expense ratio, larger asset base, and deeper liquidity translate into a measurable, recurring cost advantage and tighter execution, with no meaningful difference in underlying exposure or risk profile. While SGOL's responsible-sourcing standard is a legitimate differentiator for sustainability-focused allocators, it does not currently offset GLDM's superior cost structure and scale for the typical investor seeking direct bullion exposure. The verdict is probabilistic and structural rather than a call on gold's direction: for most portfolios, GLDM's lower cost of ownership is the dominant tiebreaker between two otherwise nearly identical funds.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GLDM vs. SGOL commentary
Nov 02, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GLDM is a Hold and SGOL is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLDM with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

GLDM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GLDM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLDM as a result. In 55 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The 10-day moving average for GLDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLDM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GLDM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +1.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLDM advanced for three days, in 275 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

GLDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGOL with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

SGOL in -4.72% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SGOL declined for three days, in 157 of 230 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SGOL as a result. In 53 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SGOL turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

The 10-day moving average for SGOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGOL entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SGOL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGOL advanced for three days, in 272 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

SGOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GLDMSGOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
61%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
68%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
68%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
64%
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GLDM
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SGOL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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