GOVI
Price
$26.07
Change
+$0.35 (+1.36%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.22B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.73
Change
+$1.49 (+1.86%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
46.77B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GOVI vs TLT

GOVI vs TLT Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Key Takeaways

  • GOVI provides equal-weighted exposure to a laddered portfolio of U.S. Treasury securities spanning 1- to 30-year maturities, while TLT concentrates on bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years using market-capitalization weighting.
  • Both ETFs maintain expense ratios of 0.15% and focus exclusively on U.S. government bonds, resulting in similar cost structures and credit risk profiles limited to sovereign debt.
  • GOVI holds approximately 30 securities with monthly rebalancing to maintain the ladder, whereas TLT typically holds 47 securities with lower turnover.
  • TLT exhibits higher interest-rate sensitivity due to its longer effective duration compared to the more balanced maturity distribution in GOVI.
  • TLT offers significantly greater liquidity with assets under management exceeding $47 billion and higher average daily trading volume than GOVI, which manages approximately $1.2 billion.
  • Both ETFs serve investors seeking Treasury exposure but differ in duration targeting, with GOVI emphasizing ladder construction and TLT providing targeted long-duration positioning.

Introduction

Investors evaluating fixed-income options within the U.S. Treasury sector often compare GOVI and TLT because both deliver exposure to government bonds without credit risk from corporates. These ETFs do not compete directly for identical mandates; instead, they offer differentiated strategies for managing interest-rate exposure. GOVI emphasizes a laddered approach across the yield curve, while TLT targets the longest segment of the curve. This comparison helps clarify structural distinctions relevant to portfolio construction in varying rate environments.

Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) Overview

GOVI is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the ICE 1-30 Year Laddered Maturity U.S. Treasury Index. The fund typically invests at least 80% of its assets in the index components, which consist of up to 30 U.S. Treasury notes and bonds selected to represent an annual February maturity ladder spanning 1 to 30 years. Holdings number approximately 30, with equal weighting applied to promote balanced exposure across maturities. The ETF employs monthly rebalancing to maintain the ladder structure. Its expense ratio stands at 0.15%. All assets are allocated to U.S. Treasuries, resulting in 100% government bond exposure and no sector diversification beyond sovereign debt. Distinguishing features include the laddered methodology, which aims to reduce concentration risk at any single point on the yield curve compared to market-weighted alternatives.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT is a passively managed ETF designed to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund invests in U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years that meet minimum outstanding face value criteria. It holds approximately 47 securities, weighted by market capitalization. Rebalancing occurs periodically according to index rules, with relatively low turnover. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Portfolio composition remains 100% U.S. Treasuries, providing pure government bond exposure without credit or equity components. Key structural characteristics include its focus on the long end of the yield curve, resulting in elevated duration relative to broader Treasury benchmarks and heightened sensitivity to long-term interest rate shifts.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. Treasury market serves as a core component of fixed-income portfolios, influenced by Federal Reserve monetary policy, inflation expectations, and fiscal developments. Both ETFs respond primarily to interest rate movements rather than corporate earnings or sector-specific trends. Recent market cycles have featured volatility in long-term yields driven by economic data releases and policy signals. Capital flows into Treasury ETFs often increase during periods of uncertainty as investors seek liquidity and safety. Regulatory environments remain stable for these plain-vanilla government bond products, with risks centered on duration extension or contraction based on rate trajectories. Macro drivers such as growth forecasts and central bank actions continue to shape positioning across maturity segments.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have exhibited sensitivity to shifts in the yield curve, though their responses differ due to maturity profiles. TLT has demonstrated greater price volatility consistent with its longer duration, amplifying effects from long-term rate expectations. GOVI has provided comparatively moderated movements through its laddered allocation across shorter and intermediate segments. Relative positioning favors GOVI for investors seeking more even exposure that may buffer extreme rate swings, while TLT aligns with views on sustained long-duration trends. Over broader market cycles, the laddered structure in GOVI supports predictability in income streams, whereas TLT offers amplified participation in long-end yield changes.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine ETF comparisons and uncover additional opportunities aligned with specific investment criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural characteristics, GOVI presents a modestly higher probability of alignment with diversified Treasury ladder objectives in the current environment. Its equal-weighted approach across multiple maturities offers balanced risk exposure and monthly rebalancing discipline, potentially supporting more consistent positioning relative to concentrated long-duration strategies. TLT remains compelling for targeted long-end views but carries elevated duration risk. The assessment draws from observable factors including diversification profile, rebalancing methodology, and cost efficiency without constituting investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GOVI vs. TLT commentary
Oct 22, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GOVI is a Hold and TLT is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GOVI with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

GOVI's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for GOVI moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 28 of the 41 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVI as a result. In 49 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVI just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +0.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVI advanced for three days, in 179 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

GOVI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GOVI entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

TLT's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 33 of the 37 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 71 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +0.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GOVITLT
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
54%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
78%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
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Daily Signal:
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