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GRMN vs TRMB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) vs. Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Garmin (GRMN) has delivered robust year-to-date gains, driven by record revenue across all five business segments and strong demand in fitness wearables and aviation.
- Trimble (TRMB) has faced relative underperformance in recent months despite delivering record annualized recurring revenue (ARR) and expanding margins through its Connect & Scale strategy.
- Garmin's diversified consumer and professional product portfolio provides broader revenue streams, while Trimble's enterprise-focused software-as-a-service model emphasizes recurring revenue growth and margin expansion.
- Both companies operate in the location-based technology space, but Garmin benefits from direct-to-consumer momentum, whereas Trimble leans on B2B construction, agriculture, and transportation end markets.
- Garmin's larger market capitalization and lower debt load suggest greater financial stability, while Trimble's aggressive share repurchase program signals management confidence in long-term value.
- Tickeron's AI analysis currently leans toward GRMN based on trend consistency, relative stability, and near-term catalysts.
Introduction
Garmin Ltd. and Trimble Inc. are two prominent names in the geospatial and location-intelligence industry, yet they serve distinctly different customer bases and pursue contrasting growth strategies. Garmin is a consumer-facing giant known for GPS-enabled wearables, aviation systems, and marine electronics, while Trimble focuses on enterprise-grade software and hardware solutions for construction, agriculture, and transportation. With both stocks navigating a dynamic market environment — marked by shifting interest rate expectations, evolving technology spending patterns, and sector rotation — this stock comparison examines how GRMN and TRMB stack up across key dimensions including recent performance, business model resilience, and relative market positioning.
GRMN Overview and Recent Performance
Garmin Ltd., headquartered in Schaffhausen, Switzerland, designs and manufactures a broad range of GPS-enabled products across five segments: Fitness, Outdoor, Aviation, Marine, and Auto OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer). The company closed fiscal 2025 with record consolidated revenue of $7.25 billion — a 15% year-over-year increase — and record operating income of $1.88 billion, reflecting an 18% gain. Every segment posted record full-year revenue, with the Fitness segment leading the charge at 33% growth, fueled by strong wearable device demand.
In recent weeks, GRMN shares have maintained positive momentum following the company's February 2026 earnings release, which exceeded analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). The company's 2026 guidance projects approximately $7.9 billion in revenue and pro forma EPS of $9.35 — representing 9% growth. Sentiment has been further supported by a proposed 17% dividend increase to $4.20 per share annually and a new $500 million share repurchase program. Garmin's strong balance sheet, with approximately $4.1 billion in cash and marketable securities, provides ample flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns. The stock has outperformed the broader technology sector in recent months, with year-to-date gains reflecting investor confidence in Garmin's diversified business model and product innovation pipeline.
TRMB Overview and Recent Performance
Trimble Inc., based in Westminster, Colorado, provides technology solutions that connect the physical and digital worlds, serving industries including construction, geospatial analytics, agriculture, and transportation. The company has been executing a "Connect & Scale" strategy aimed at transitioning its business toward recurring revenue through software subscriptions and cloud-based platforms. In fiscal 2025, Trimble reported total revenue of $3.59 billion — down 3% on a reported basis but up 6% on an organic basis — while ARR reached a record $2.39 billion, up 14% organically. Gross margins and operating margins both reached record levels, reflecting the growing contribution of higher-margin software and services revenue, which now accounts for roughly 79% of total sales.
Despite these operational achievements, TRMB shares have experienced notable headwinds in recent months, underperforming relative to peers in the technology sector. The company's 2026 guidance calls for revenue between $3.81 billion and $3.91 billion, with non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) EPS of $3.42 to $3.62. Trimble repurchased approximately 12.2 million shares for $875.4 million during fiscal 2025, underscoring management's conviction in the company's long-term trajectory. However, market sentiment has been tempered by concerns around the pace of construction activity recovery and the ongoing transition from perpetual license models to subscription-based offerings. Trimble's long-term financial targets — $3 billion in ARR, $4 billion in revenue, and 30% adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margins by 2027 — remain a focal point for investors tracking the company's execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both Garmin and Trimble operate at the intersection of hardware, software, and location-based data, their business models diverge in meaningful ways. Garmin generates the majority of its revenue from consumer-focused hardware sales — particularly in fitness wearables and outdoor recreation — complemented by high-margin aviation and marine segments. Trimble, in contrast, is increasingly a software and services company, with nearly four-fifths of revenue now coming from subscriptions and recurring contracts tied to construction, agriculture, and logistics workflows. This distinction shapes their growth profiles: Garmin benefits from product launch cycles and holiday-driven consumer demand, while Trimble's growth depends on enterprise adoption of its cloud platforms and cross-selling into its installed base.
From a financial standpoint, the contrast is equally sharp. Garmin's $7.25 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue and $1.88 billion in operating income substantially outsize Trimble's $3.59 billion and $592 million, respectively. Garmin also carries significantly less debt — approximately $168 million versus Trimble's $1.41 billion — and holds a far larger cash position. However, Trimble's focus on margin expansion and recurring revenue has produced improving profitability metrics, with non-GAAP operating margins reaching 27.5% for the full year. On valuation, Garmin trades at a forward P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio in the mid-20s, while Trimble's forward P/E sits in a similar range, though recent share price declines have compressed its multiple.
Market sentiment has diverged notably in recent months. Garmin's stock has benefited from broad consumer electronics strength and consistent earnings beats, while Trimble has been weighed down by sector rotation away from enterprise software and lingering uncertainty about construction end-market demand. Risk factors also differ: Garmin faces exposure to consumer spending cyclicality and supply chain dynamics, while Trimble's risks center on the pace of infrastructure spending, interest rate sensitivity in construction markets, and execution risk in its ongoing business model transition.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, relative stability, and the presence of near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI analysis currently favors GRMN over TRMB in the current market environment. Garmin's broader revenue base, stronger recent momentum, healthier balance sheet, and clear product-driven growth catalysts across multiple segments provide a comparatively more stable foundation. Trimble's recurring revenue transformation and margin expansion story remain compelling — and could gain favor if enterprise software sentiment improves — but the stock's recent underperformance and exposure to cyclical end markets introduce greater uncertainty in the near term. This assessment reflects a probabilistic evaluation of recent data patterns and prevailing market conditions, not a definitive prediction of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRMN is a Hold and TRMB is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRMN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTRMB’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GRMN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TRMB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRMN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRMB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRMN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TRMB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
GRMN (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) experienced а -2.62% price change this week, while TRMB (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price change was +0.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was -4.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRMN is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
TRMB is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (-4.12% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| GRMN | TRMB | GRMN / TRMB | |
| Capitalization | 46.9B | 12.3B | 381% |
| EBITDA | 2.17B | 834M | 260% |
| Gain YTD | 20.800 | -32.470 | -64% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.12 | 27.70 | 98% |
| Revenue | 7.46B | 3.69B | 202% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 234M | - |
| Total Debt | 168M | 1.41B | 12% |
GRMN | TRMB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TRMB's Valuation (41) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as GRMN (58). This means that TRMB’s stock grew similarly to GRMN’s over the last 12 months.
GRMN's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRMB (100). This means that GRMN’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRMB’s over the last 12 months.
GRMN's SMR Rating (46) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as TRMB (78). This means that GRMN’s stock grew similarly to TRMB’s over the last 12 months.
GRMN's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as TRMB (63). This means that GRMN’s stock grew similarly to TRMB’s over the last 12 months.
TRMB's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GRMN (63). This means that TRMB’s stock grew somewhat faster than GRMN’s over the last 12 months.
| GRMN | TRMB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 55% | 5 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 72% |
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GRMN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRMN has been loosely correlated with TRMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GRMN jumps, then TRMB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRMN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRMN | 100% | +1.22% | ||
| TRMB - GRMN | 42% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| TDY - GRMN | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| FTV - GRMN | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| VNT - GRMN | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.68% | ||
| ST - GRMN | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.20% | ||
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TRMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRMB has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TRMB jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRMB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRMB | 100% | +5.08% | ||
| VNT - TRMB | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.68% | ||
| FTV - TRMB | 39% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| ITRI - TRMB | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| BKSY - TRMB | 34% Loosely correlated | -5.31% | ||
| NOVT - TRMB | 32% Poorly correlated | -1.20% | ||
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