Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares (GUSH) and ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN (IFED) represent contrasting approaches to equity market exposure. GUSH delivers leveraged daily results tied to the energy sector, while IFED pursues a systematic large-cap strategy influenced by monetary policy signals. These funds do not compete directly; instead, they offer alternative strategies for investors seeking either sector-specific amplification or rules-based broad-market participation. Comparing them highlights differences in leverage, thematic focus, cost, and structural risk that matter for portfolio construction in varying market environments.
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares (GUSH) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the performance of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index. The fund holds approximately 50-60 securities, primarily equal-weighted positions in oil and gas exploration and production companies. Top holdings typically include names such as APA Corporation, Venture Global, SM Energy, and Murphy Oil. Sector allocation is concentrated in energy, with roughly 70% in exploration and production, 22% in refining and marketing, and the balance in integrated oil and gas. The expense ratio stands at 0.94%. As a leveraged ETF, it resets daily and is designed for short-term trading rather than long-term buy-and-hold strategies. Liquidity is supported by average daily volumes in the hundreds of thousands of shares.
ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN (IFED) is an exchange-traded note that seeks to track the performance of the IFED Large-Cap U.S. Equity Index Total Return, less a tracking fee. The index employs a rules-based methodology that incorporates Federal Reserve policy signals and key firm metrics to select and weight large-cap U.S. equities. The ETN does not hold underlying securities directly; instead, it represents an unsecured obligation of the issuer, UBS. The expense ratio is 0.45%. Because it follows an index with dynamic selection, the number of holdings and specific top positions vary with market conditions and policy signals. The strategy targets broad large-cap exposure without leverage, emphasizing companies positioned to benefit from prevailing economic and monetary conditions.
The energy sector, central to GUSH, faces ongoing influence from commodity price cycles, global supply dynamics, and the pace of the energy transition. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate paths, inflation trends, and geopolitical developments continue to shape capital flows into exploration and production activities. Meanwhile, IFED’s large-cap U.S. equity focus aligns with broader equity market sentiment driven by corporate earnings, Federal Reserve policy decisions, and sector rotation across technology, financials, and consumer areas. Regulatory developments around energy policy and monetary easing or tightening cycles remain key catalysts affecting both funds’ underlying themes, though in markedly different ways given their distinct exposures.
In recent market cycles, GUSH has exhibited significantly higher volatility due to its 2x daily leverage and concentrated energy exposure, amplifying moves tied to oil price fluctuations and sector-specific earnings. IFED, by contrast, has delivered more moderate volatility consistent with large-cap U.S. equities, with performance influenced by the index’s Fed-signal-driven stock selection. Relative positioning shows GUSH benefiting during strong energy rallies but suffering amplified drawdowns, while IFED’s systematic approach has aimed for more consistent participation across market regimes. Differences in rebalancing frequency and leverage mechanics further distinguish their responses to interest rate expectations and macroeconomic shifts.
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Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN (IFED). The lower expense ratio, absence of daily leverage, and rules-based large-cap diversification provide a more balanced risk-adjusted profile for most market environments compared with the higher-cost, concentrated, and leveraged energy exposure of Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares (GUSH).
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| GUSH | IFED | GUSH / IFED | |
| Gain YTD | 40.741 | -3.414 | -1,193% |
| Net Assets | 197M | 73.1M | 269% |
| Total Expense Ratio | 0.94 | N/A | - |
| Turnover | 60.00 | N/A | - |
| Yield | 1.56 | 0.00 | - |
| Fund Existence | 11 years | 5 years | - |
| GUSH | IFED | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 90% | 16 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 90% | 14 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 78% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GUSH has been closely correlated with MGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GUSH jumps, then MGY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GUSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUSH | 100% | -0.91% | ||
| MGY - GUSH | 88% Closely correlated | -0.75% | ||
| OVV - GUSH | 88% Closely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| DVN - GUSH | 86% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| MTDR - GUSH | 86% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| EOG - GUSH | 85% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
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