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HAL vs NOV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Halliburton Company (HAL) vs. NOV Inc. (NOV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both HAL and NOV are energy-services names benefiting from a multi-quarter rebound in international and offshore activity, with comparable one-year total returns in the low-to-mid 50% range.
- Halliburton skews toward completions and production services with strong operating leverage, while NOV is more equipment- and technology-driven with a growing capital-equipment backlog.
- Halliburton carries a consensus "Buy" rating and a forward P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio well below the industry average, whereas NOV trades at a much richer earnings multiple.
- Both companies have felt Middle East conflict-related disruptions, but Halliburton's diversified international footprint has shown greater earnings resilience in recent quarters.
- NOV has leaned into structural deepwater and subsea demand, including a $200 million Brazil plant expansion, while Halliburton is advancing a power-generation and data-center adjacency story.
- Momentum has cooled for both names in the short term even as longer-term returns remain strong, making relative positioning a key differentiator.
Introduction
HAL (Halliburton Company) and NOV (NOV Inc., formerly National Oilwell Varco) are two of the most widely followed names in oilfield services and equipment. While both are tied to global energy spending, they compete in different parts of the value chain and respond differently to the same commodity and geopolitical signals. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors seeking exposure to the energy cycle but weighing a services-oriented operator against an equipment-and-technology manufacturer. Understanding the contrast in business model, growth drivers, and market positioning can help clarify which profile aligns better with a given risk appetite and time horizon.
HAL Overview and Recent Performance
Halliburton is one of the world's largest oilfield services providers, organized around two segments: Completions and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The company generates revenue by helping operators drill, complete, and produce wells, making its earnings highly sensitive to global rig activity and service pricing. In recent quarters, Halliburton has reported resilient results, with second-quarter 2026 earnings beating consensus on both EPS (earnings per share) and revenue, driven by strength in North American stimulation activity and solid growth in Latin America.
Recent market activity has been choppy. The stock has registered a modest pullback over the past month and roughly 90 days, even as its one-year total return remains in the low 50% range. Sentiment has been shaped by a mix of factors, including conflict-related disruptions in the Middle East that have pressured certain regions, offset by robust international contract awards and a growing narrative around power-generation and data-center demand. Analysts have responded constructively, with a consensus "Buy" rating and an average price target implying meaningful upside from recent levels. The company continues to return capital through dividends and buybacks.
NOV Overview and Recent Performance
NOV is a diversified equipment and technology provider serving the energy industry, with two reportable segments: Energy Equipment and Energy Products and Services. The company designs and manufactures drilling rig equipment, completion and production tools, fiberglass piping, and increasingly digital and automation technologies. Unlike a pure services provider, NOV's fortunes are tied to capital-equipment orders and a multi-year backlog, which stood at roughly $4.2 billion for Energy Equipment capital orders earlier this year.
NOV's recent performance has been mixed. First-quarter 2026 revenue declined modestly year over year, and adjusted EPS came in below consensus, reflecting logistics delays, higher costs, and margin pressure tied to Middle East conflict disruptions. The company responded with an 8% global headcount reduction and a $200 million investment to expand subsea flexible pipe capacity in Brazil, underscoring its bet on a structural deepwater and offshore upcycle. Despite near-term headwinds, NOV's one-year total return is also in the low 50% range, supported by strong bookings in drill pipe, fiberglass, and automation. Its elevated P/E ratio, however, reflects the market pricing in a recovery that is still unfolding.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most important contrast between these two companies is their exposure to different parts of the energy cycle. Halliburton's services model tends to monetize activity quickly, translating rising rig counts and pricing into near-term earnings and free cash flow. Its forward valuation is comparatively modest, and its consensus rating skews decisively toward "Buy," reflecting greater analyst conviction. NOV, by contrast, is a capital-equipment story: orders placed today convert into revenue over multiple quarters or years, giving it a longer, backlog-driven earnings trajectory but also a higher current earnings multiple.
Growth drivers differ as well. Halliburton has emphasized international and offshore expansion, Latin American growth, and an emerging power-optionality angle tied to electrification and data-center demand. NOV is leaning into deepwater, subsea flexible pipe, drill pipe, and automation/robotics, with a heavy geographic bet on Brazil. On risk factors, both carry exposure to Middle East geopolitics and oil-price volatility, but NOV's equipment-heavy mix has shown more acute margin sensitivity to logistics and supply-chain disruptions, while Halliburton's broader geographic diversification has cushioned regional weakness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward HAL over NOV in the current environment. Halliburton combines more consistent earnings execution, stronger consensus positioning, and a less demanding valuation with steadier trend characteristics, even amid short-term volatility. NOV offers a compelling structural backlog and deepwater growth story, but its higher multiple and greater sensitivity to near-term margin pressures introduce more uncertainty into the trend signal. A probabilistic assessment therefore favors Halliburton on stability and relative positioning, while NOV may appeal to investors willing to accept execution risk in exchange for longer-dated, equipment-cycle upside.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HAL is a StrongBuy and NOV is a Hold.
HAL's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HAL turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where HAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HAL as a result. In 62 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
HAL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HAL advanced for three days, in 231 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for HAL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
HAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HAL entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.642) is normal, around the industry mean (1.622). P/E Ratio (18.283) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-32.289). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (1.687). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.297) is also within normal values, averaging (1.663).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.
NOV's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for NOV moved out of oversold territory on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NOV as a result. In 71 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NOV just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where NOV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
NOV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +7.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOV advanced for three days, in 234 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for NOV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NOV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NOV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NOV entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.135) is normal, around the industry mean (1.624). P/E Ratio (73.185) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-32.247). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.787) is also within normal values, averaging (1.687). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.873) is also within normal values, averaging (1.663).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
HAL | NOV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HAL's Valuation (47) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (75). This means that HAL’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
HAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (60). This means that HAL’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
HAL's SMR Rating (57) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (89). This means that HAL’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
HAL's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (48). This means that HAL’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
NOV's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HAL (38). This means that NOV’s stock grew somewhat faster than HAL’s over the last 12 months.
| HAL | NOV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 89% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 69% | 12 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HAL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NOV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HAL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HAL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NOV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HAL (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) experienced а +7.46% price change this week, while NOV (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) price change was +7.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oilfield Services/Equipment industry was +2.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
HAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
NOV is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oilfield Services/Equipment (+2.18% weekly)The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.
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HAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HAL has been closely correlated with SLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HAL jumps, then SLB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAL | 100% | +5.21% | ||
| SLB - HAL | 72% Closely correlated | +7.08% | ||
| NOV - HAL | 71% Closely correlated | +5.33% | ||
| XPRO - HAL | 61% Loosely correlated | +8.11% | ||
| BKR - HAL | 60% Loosely correlated | +4.18% | ||
| WFRD - HAL | 60% Loosely correlated | +6.98% | ||
More | ||||
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