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HLLY vs XPEL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HLLY is a Hold and XPEL is a StrongBuy.
HLLY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HLLY turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where HLLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HLLY as a result. In 67 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +5.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HLLY advanced for three days, in 184 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 62 cases where HLLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The 10-day moving average for HLLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HLLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
HLLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HLLY entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.679) is normal, around the industry mean (0.841). P/E Ratio (28.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.245) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.518) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HLLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HLLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
XPEL sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for XPEL moved above the 200-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPEL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 53 cases where XPEL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPEL as a result. In 62 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XPEL just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where XPEL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +3.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEL advanced for three days, in 220 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for XPEL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 17 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for XPEL entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.868) is normal, around the industry mean (0.841). P/E Ratio (21.717) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.760) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.491) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
HLLY | XPEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 49 Fair valued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HLLY's Valuation (49) in the null industry is in the same range as XPEL (62). This means that HLLY’s stock grew similarly to XPEL’s over the last 12 months.
HLLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as XPEL (100). This means that HLLY’s stock grew similarly to XPEL’s over the last 12 months.
XPEL's SMR Rating (48) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HLLY (88). This means that XPEL’s stock grew somewhat faster than HLLY’s over the last 12 months.
XPEL's Price Growth Rating (47) in the null industry is in the same range as HLLY (70). This means that XPEL’s stock grew similarly to HLLY’s over the last 12 months.
HLLY's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the null industry is in the same range as XPEL (23). This means that HLLY’s stock grew similarly to XPEL’s over the last 12 months.
| HLLY | XPEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 84% | 10 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HLLY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while XPEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HLLY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- XPEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HLLY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPEL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HLLY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XPEL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HLLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -0.79% price change this week, while XPEL (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -0.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -1.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
HLLY is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
XPEL is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-1.67% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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HLLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HLLY has been loosely correlated with XPEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 35% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HLLY jumps, then XPEL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HLLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLLY | 100% | +1.20% | ||
| XPEL - HLLY | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| ALV - HLLY | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| SMP - HLLY | 34% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| MLR - HLLY | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.61% | ||
| ADNT - HLLY | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.06% | ||
More | ||||
XPEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPEL has been loosely correlated with PHIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if XPEL jumps, then PHIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEL | 100% | +2.33% | ||
| PHIN - XPEL | 39% Loosely correlated | +2.41% | ||
| SMP - XPEL | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| GNTX - XPEL | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| DORM - XPEL | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.24% | ||
| ALV - XPEL | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
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