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HON vs MDU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Honeywell International Inc. (HON) vs. MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HON has delivered mixed recent performance amid corporate restructuring, with YTD returns near 10-12% and upcoming earnings on July 23, 2026.
- MDU shows steady utility-sector stability, posting YTD gains of approximately 7.88% and a 1-year return of 29.34% as of July 9, 2026.
- Business models differ sharply: HON focuses on automation and technology post-Aerospace spin-off, while MDU operates in regulated utilities and energy infrastructure.
- Recent catalysts include HON's raised EPS guidance and MDU's pipeline progress and AI-related utility agreements.
- Relative momentum favors HON in volatility-adjusted terms, though both trade within broader market ranges.
- Sector exposure positions HON in industrials/automation and MDU in defensive utilities, influencing sentiment differently in current conditions.
Introduction
This comparison examines HON and MDU to highlight contrasts in business models, recent performance, and market positioning. The analysis targets experienced traders evaluating relative strength alongside newer investors seeking clear overviews of industrial automation versus utility sectors. It draws on observable data from reputable financial sources to support informed decision-making in the prevailing environment.
HON Overview and Recent Performance
Honeywell International Inc. (HON), now operating as Honeywell Technologies following the Aerospace spin-off, provides automation, building technologies, and performance materials. Recent market activity shows the stock closing at $223.42 on July 9, 2026, with a 1.39% gain that session. Year-to-date returns approximate 10-12%, though longer-term figures reflect volatility tied to the separation process. Key influences include raised fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.90-$8.30 and an upcoming second-quarter earnings release scheduled for July 23, 2026. Sentiment has responded to these corporate milestones and analyst target adjustments in recent weeks.
MDU Overview and Recent Performance
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) delivers regulated utility services alongside energy and pipeline operations across the northern United States. As of July 9, 2026, the stock closed at $20.78, down 0.24% for the session. Year-to-date performance stands at approximately 7.88%, with a stronger 1-year return of 29.34%. Recent developments encompass first-quarter results, continued progress on the Bakken East Pipeline, and a new electric service agreement supporting an AI data center project. Performance has remained relatively stable within its 52-week range, supported by consistent dividend declarations and sector resilience in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HON and MDU diverge in core operations: HON emphasizes technology-driven automation with exposure to industrial cycles, while MDU benefits from regulated utility stability and infrastructure growth. Growth drivers for HON center on post-spin efficiency and guidance updates; MDU relies on pipeline expansion and utility demand, including emerging AI infrastructure ties. Recent momentum shows HON with more pronounced volatility around corporate events, contrasted by MDU’s steadier trajectory. Risk factors include execution of HON’s separation versus regulatory and commodity sensitivities for MDU. Sector positioning places HON in cyclical industrials and MDU in defensive utilities, shaping differing sentiment responses in the current market.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency around recent catalysts, earnings guidance revisions, and relative positioning within sector peers, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to HON over MDU. This assessment reflects HON’s alignment with automation trends and post-restructuring clarity, while acknowledging MDU’s defensive attributes. The view remains probabilistic and grounded in available data rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HON is a Hold and MDU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HON’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDU’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MDU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HON (@Industrial Conglomerates) experienced а +1.13% price change this week, while MDU (@Gas Distributors) price change was +1.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Conglomerates industry was +0.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.98%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was +1.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
HON is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MDU is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Conglomerates (+0.09% weekly)Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).
@Gas Distributors (+1.78% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| HON | MDU | HON / MDU | |
| Capitalization | 70.6B | 4.41B | 1,602% |
| EBITDA | 7.53B | 529M | 1,424% |
| Gain YTD | 9.690 | 9.494 | 102% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.80 | 22.92 | 78% |
| Revenue | 37.7B | 1.81B | 2,087% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 36.7B | 2.6B | 1,414% |
HON | MDU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 25 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HON's Valuation (16) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDU (59) in the Gas Distributors industry. This means that HON’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDU’s over the last 12 months.
MDU's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HON (72) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that MDU’s stock grew somewhat faster than HON’s over the last 12 months.
HON's SMR Rating (36) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDU (82) in the Gas Distributors industry. This means that HON’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDU’s over the last 12 months.
MDU's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as HON (59) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that MDU’s stock grew similarly to HON’s over the last 12 months.
MDU's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HON (85) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that MDU’s stock grew somewhat faster than HON’s over the last 12 months.
| HON | MDU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 47% | 15 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 57% |
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MDU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDU has been loosely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDU jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.