HOV
Price
$189.44
Change
+$1.05 (+0.56%)
Updated
Oct 11 closing price
54 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$149.07
Change
-$0.00 (-0.00%)
Updated
Oct 10 closing price
52 days until earnings call
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HOV vs TOL

Header iconHOV vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts HOV vs TOLBanner chart's image
Hovnanian Enterprises
Price$189.44
Change+$1.05 (+0.56%)
Volume$46.11K
CapitalizationN/A
Toll Brothers
Price$149.07
Change-$0.00 (-0.00%)
Volume$982.93K
CapitalizationN/A
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HOV vs TOL Comparison Chart
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HOV
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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VS
HOV vs. TOL commentary
Oct 12, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HOV is a StrongBuy and TOL is a StrongSell.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Oct 12, 2024
Stock price -- (HOV: $188.39 vs. TOL: $149.07)
Brand notoriety: HOV and TOL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: HOV: 90% vs. TOL: 70%
Market capitalization -- HOV: $959.76M vs. TOL: $13.34B
HOV [@Homebuilding] is valued at $959.76M. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.34B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $53.71B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $7.78B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

HOV’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • HOV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the long-term than HOV.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

HOV’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • HOV’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, HOV is a better buy in the short-term than TOL.

Price Growth

HOV (@Homebuilding) experienced а -5.36% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was -3.04% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.36%.

Reported Earning Dates

HOV is expected to report earnings on Dec 05, 2024.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2024.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (-1.33% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TOL($13.3B) has a higher market cap than HOV($960M). TOL has higher P/E ratio than HOV: TOL (9.92) vs HOV (5.63). TOL YTD gains are higher at: 45.885 vs. HOV (21.058). TOL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 1.89B vs. HOV (329M). TOL has more cash in the bank: 755M vs. HOV (183M). HOV has less debt than TOL: HOV (1.03B) vs TOL (2.85B). TOL has higher revenues than HOV: TOL (10.2B) vs HOV (2.84B).
HOVTOLHOV / TOL
Capitalization960M13.3B7%
EBITDA329M1.89B17%
Gain YTD21.05845.88546%
P/E Ratio5.639.9257%
Revenue2.84B10.2B28%
Total Cash183M755M24%
Total Debt1.03B2.85B36%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
HOV vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
HOV
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
6171
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
64
Fair valued
47
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
185
SMR RATING
1..100
2141
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
3838
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
3613
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
1450

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TOL's Valuation (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (64). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (18). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.

HOV's SMR Rating (21) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (41). This means that HOV’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

HOV's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (38). This means that HOV’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (36). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
HOVTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
57%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
60%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 25 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
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HOV
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-1.33%
PHM - TOL
93%
Closely correlated
-0.52%
TMHC - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-1.14%
LEN - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-1.25%
KBH - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
-1.16%
TPH - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
-1.21%
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