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HOV vs MTH
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HOV is a Hold and MTH is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for HOV turns negative, indicating new downward trend
HOV saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 74 of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HOV turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for HOV entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +4.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOV advanced for three days, in 237 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
HOV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.990) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). HOV's P/E Ratio (109.115) is considerably higher than the industry average of (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.280) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HOV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HOV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
MTH sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MTH moved below the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTH as a result. In 63 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTH turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for MTH entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTH advanced for three days, in 206 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.838) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). P/E Ratio (13.542) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.814) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MTH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
HOV | MTH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 99 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTH's Valuation (7) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HOV (60). This means that MTH’s stock grew somewhat faster than HOV’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's Profit vs Risk Rating (81) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (99). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's SMR Rating (80) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (89). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's Price Growth Rating (73) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as HOV (73). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to HOV’s over the last 12 months.
HOV's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (10). This means that HOV’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.
| HOV | MTH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 81% | 17 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HOV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MTH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HOV’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTH’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HOV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HOV (@Homebuilding) experienced а -9.22% price change this week, while MTH (@Homebuilding) price change was -7.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -5.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
HOV is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
MTH is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-5.01% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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HOV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HOV has been closely correlated with LGIH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HOV jumps, then LGIH could also see price increases.
MTH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTH has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTH jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.