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TOL
Stock ticker:
NYSE
AS OF
Jun 23 closing price
Price
$44.52
Change
+$2.13 (+5.02%)
Capitalization
4.88B

TOL Price Prediction, Toll Brothers AI Recommendations

Stock market charts, price targets, analyst ratings and a financial calendar
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Jun 23, 2022

TOL's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for TOL moved out of oversold territory on June 22, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 10, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOL turned negative on June 10, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TOL moved below its 50-day moving average on June 10, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 16, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.953) is normal, around the industry mean (5.715). P/E Ratio (5.599) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.961). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (2.326). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.016) as compared to the industry average of (0.057). P/S Ratio (0.583) is also within normal values, averaging (105.757).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TOL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

AI
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
AI
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TOL is expected to report earnings to rise 24.32% to $2.30 per share on August 23

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'22
Est.
$2.30
Q2'22
Beat
by $0.35
Q1'22
Beat
by $0.09
Q4'21
Beat
by $0.54
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.33
The last earnings report on May 24 showed earnings per share of $1.85, beating the estimate of $1.50. With 2.04M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 4.88B.
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A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL paid dividends on April 22, 2022

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.20 per share was paid with a record date of April 22, 2022, and an ex-dividend date of April 07, 2022. Read more...
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A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 3.58B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 789.68K to 25.85B. LEN.B holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.85B. The lowest valued company is EGBB at 789.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26%. BZH experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while PSMMF experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -70%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -54% and the average quarterly volume growth was 0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 74
SMR Rating: 33
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
5100
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com

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TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+4.98%
PHM - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
+4.69%
LEN - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
+4.60%
DHI - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
+5.20%
CCS - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
+7.53%
MHO - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
+7.46%
More