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TOL
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TOL stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'... Show more

Industry: #Homebuilding
TOL
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a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Jul 20, 2026

TOL sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for TOL moved above the 200-day moving average on June 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where TOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 302 cases where TOL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TOL moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOL turned negative on July 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TOL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.623) is normal, around the industry mean (2.015). P/E Ratio (11.185) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.366). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (3.512). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.296) is also within normal values, averaging (1.466).

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL is expected to pay dividends on July 24, 2026

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.26 per share will be paid with a record date of July 24, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of July 10, 2026. The last dividend of $0.26 was paid on April 24. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.25K to 40.29B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.29B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 4.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. CVCO experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while SPHL experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 39%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -43% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 62 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com
TOL sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average