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HSY vs XLP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HSY is a Hold and XLP is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for HSY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
HSY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 54 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HSY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HSY just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where HSY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +0.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSY advanced for three days, in 193 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
HSY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for HSY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HSY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator for HSY entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HSY's P/B Ratio (7.241) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.067). P/E Ratio (22.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.001). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.856) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
XLP's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLP turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLP as a result. In 78 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
XLP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLP advanced for three days, in 255 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for XLP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
XLP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for XLP entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
HSY | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HSY | XLP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 61% | 14 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HSY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- HSY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HSY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- HSY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HSY (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а +1.40% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
HSY is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-0.78% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
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HSY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HSY has been loosely correlated with KHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HSY jumps, then KHC could also see price increases.
XLP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLP has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLP jumps, then CL could also see price increases.