IEF
Price
$90.94Alerts
Change
-$0.07 (-0.08%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
44.59B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$80.92Alerts
Change
+$0.04 (+0.05%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
48.65B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IEF vs TLT

IEF vs TLT Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Key Takeaways

  • Both ETFs provide targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds through passive strategies tracking ICE indices, with identical expense ratios of 0.15%.
  • IEF focuses on intermediate-maturity Treasuries (7-10 years), resulting in lower duration and reduced interest rate sensitivity compared to TLT.
  • TLT targets long-maturity Treasuries (20+ years), offering higher duration and greater potential volatility tied to long-term rate movements.
  • IEF holds fewer securities (typically 13-18) with higher concentration in top holdings, while TLT maintains broader diversification across approximately 47 holdings.
  • Both funds consist entirely of investment-grade U.S. Treasuries, eliminating credit risk but exposing investors to differing levels of interest rate and duration risk.
  • Structural differences position IEF for more moderate fixed-income allocation and TLT for explicit long-duration strategies within Treasury exposure.

Introduction

Investors seeking precise U.S. Treasury exposure often compare intermediate- and long-duration bond ETFs to align with interest rate outlooks and portfolio risk tolerances. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) do not compete directly but instead offer complementary segments of the Treasury yield curve. These exchange-traded funds (ETFs) enable customized duration positioning without corporate credit exposure, making them relevant tools for fixed-income diversification amid evolving macroeconomic conditions.

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) Overview

The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index. This passive ETF holds U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities between seven and ten years. It typically contains 13 to 18 holdings, with top positions concentrated in specific Treasury notes that account for a substantial portion of assets. Allocations are nearly 100% Treasuries, with negligible cash or derivatives. The fund maintains an expense ratio of 0.15% and follows a market-value-weighted replication methodology with periodic rebalancing to match the index. Key distinguishing features include its intermediate duration profile, which provides balanced yield and moderate interest rate sensitivity suitable for core fixed-income holdings.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. This passive ETF holds U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities greater than twenty years. It typically contains approximately 47 holdings, offering broader diversification than shorter-maturity Treasury peers. Allocations are 100% Treasuries, with minimal cash or derivatives exposure. The fund maintains an expense ratio of 0.15% and employs market-value-weighted replication with periodic rebalancing. Distinguishing features include its long duration, which amplifies sensitivity to long-term interest rate changes and supports explicit duration-extension strategies within government bond portfolios.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. Treasury bond sector remains central to fixed-income markets due to its role as a benchmark for interest rates, liquidity, and safe-haven demand. Macroeconomic drivers such as Federal Reserve policy expectations, inflation trends, and fiscal developments influence both intermediate and long segments of the yield curve. Capital flows into Treasury ETFs often reflect broader shifts in risk appetite and duration positioning. Regulatory stability and the absence of credit risk continue to support demand, while sector risks primarily stem from interest rate volatility and potential changes in monetary policy that affect bond prices across maturities.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the shorter duration of IEF has resulted in lower volatility relative to TLT when long-term yields fluctuate. TLT's extended maturity profile amplifies price movements in response to shifts in long-term rate expectations, sector rotation toward or away from duration assets, and macroeconomic adjustments. During periods of rising rates, the intermediate exposure in IEF has historically exhibited more contained drawdowns compared to the pronounced sensitivity in TLT. Relative positioning favors IEF for investors seeking steadier Treasury income with moderate rate risk, while TLT suits those targeting amplified exposure to long-end yield curve dynamics.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine ETF selection strategies.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, and lower duration-related risk exposure, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to IEF over TLT for most balanced Treasury allocations. The intermediate-maturity focus provides more consistent positioning across interest rate environments while maintaining comparable expense ratios and liquidity characteristics.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IEF vs. TLT commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IEF is a Hold and TLT is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IEF with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

IEF in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026

IEF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 26 of the 38 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for IEF moved out of overbought territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 62 cases where IEF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IEF as a result. In 46 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IEF just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IEF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

IEF moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for IEF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +0.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEF advanced for three days, in 158 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 118 of 198 cases where IEF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

TLT in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026

The 10-day moving average for TLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 65 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 192 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 99 of 150 cases where TLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 21 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 56 cases where TLT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TLT turned negative on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IEFTLT
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
60%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
70%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
55%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
60%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
55%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
80%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
60%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
66%
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