IFED
Price
$53.34
Change
+$9.12 (+20.62%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
48.09M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
URTY
Price
$62.37
Change
+$1.69 (+2.79%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
258.72M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IFED vs URTY

IFED vs URTY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 20, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN (IFED) vs. ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 (URTY)

Key Takeaways

  • IFED is an exchange-traded note (ETN) that employs a rules-based strategy selecting approximately 75 large-cap U.S. equities positioned to benefit from the prevailing Federal Reserve monetary environment, while URTY is a leveraged exchange-traded fund (ETF) targeting three times (3x) the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index of small-cap stocks.
  • IFED features a 0.45% expense ratio and focuses on large-cap blend exposure through fundamental scoring tied to monetary policy signals, contrasting with URTY's higher 0.95% expense ratio and amplified volatility from daily 3x leverage on small-cap equities.
  • Structural differences include IFED's ETN format backed by UBS with no direct ownership of underlying assets versus URTY's use of derivatives such as swaps and futures to achieve leveraged small-cap exposure across roughly 2,000 holdings.
  • Sector allocations for IFED emphasize large-cap names responsive to interest rate cycles, whereas URTY provides broad small-cap diversification typically weighted toward financials, healthcare, technology, and industrials.
  • Investors seeking lower-cost, policy-responsive large-cap strategies may prefer IFED's design, while those pursuing amplified short-term small-cap moves may consider URTY despite its higher costs and leverage risks.

Introduction

IFED and URTY represent distinct approaches within U.S. equity markets, offering investors exposure to large-cap and small-cap segments through fundamentally different mechanisms. IFED applies a monetary-policy-driven selection process to large-cap stocks, while URTY delivers leveraged daily results on the small-cap Russell 2000 Index. These ETFs do not compete directly but provide alternative strategies for investors targeting growth or rotation opportunities tied to economic cycles and market sentiment. Comparing their structures helps clarify suitability based on risk tolerance, time horizon, and exposure preferences.

ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN (IFED) Overview

IFED is an ETN issued by UBS that tracks the IFED Large-Cap US Equity Index Total Return. The index classifies the prevailing monetary environment as expansive, restrictive, or indeterminate and scores the largest 500 NYSE-listed stocks using twelve firm-specific metrics to select and weight approximately 75 holdings. This rules-based, fundamental strategy aims to maximize exposure to equities best positioned for current Federal Reserve policy. The fund maintains a 0.45% expense ratio. As an ETN, it carries issuer credit risk rather than direct asset ownership. Sector allocations shift dynamically with policy signals but generally favor large-cap blend characteristics across U.S. equities.

ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 (URTY) Overview

URTY is a leveraged ETF from ProShares that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to three times (3x) the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. The underlying index measures the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity market with approximately 2,000 constituents. URTY achieves its target through a combination of swaps, futures, and other derivatives rather than direct stock ownership. It carries a 0.95% expense ratio. Holdings reflect broad small-cap exposure with notable weights in financials, healthcare, technology, and industrials. The leveraged structure introduces compounding effects and heightened volatility over periods longer than a single trading day.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the U.S. equity market environment shaped by Federal Reserve monetary policy, interest rate expectations, and economic growth cycles. Large-cap strategies like IFED respond to policy shifts that influence corporate borrowing costs and valuations, while small-cap leveraged products like URTY amplify sensitivity to domestic economic indicators such as employment data and consumer spending. Recent market cycles have featured rotation between growth and value styles alongside evolving capital flows into small-cap and large-cap segments. Regulatory developments around derivatives usage in leveraged products and overall market liquidity continue to influence positioning across these strategies.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, IFED's policy-responsive selection has produced more measured movements aligned with large-cap trends and monetary easing or tightening phases. URTY's 3x daily leverage has resulted in amplified gains and losses relative to the Russell 2000 Index, with greater volatility during periods of sector rotation or macroeconomic shifts. Relative positioning highlights IFED's emphasis on cost efficiency and large-cap stability versus URTY's higher-risk profile suited for tactical small-cap exposure. Performance differences stem primarily from leverage mechanics, index focus, and rebalancing frequency rather than isolated events.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI would likely favor IFED currently due to its lower expense ratio, unleveraged structure, and diversified large-cap profile tied to observable monetary policy signals. The ETN's rules-based approach offers more consistent exposure characteristics and reduced structural risk compared with URTY's daily 3x leverage and higher costs, supporting better risk-adjusted positioning across varied market environments.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IFED vs. URTY commentary
Nov 09, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IFED is a Hold and URTY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IFED with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

IFED in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026

IFED broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IFED declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator for IFED entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 55 cases where IFED's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IFED as a result. In 72 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IFED just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where IFED's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

IFED moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for IFED crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +21.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IFED advanced for three days, in 180 of 221 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for URTY with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

URTY's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for URTY moved out of oversold territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for URTY just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where URTY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +5.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URTY advanced for three days, in 282 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

URTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 57 of 62 cases where URTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URTY as a result. In 87 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The 50-day moving average for URTY moved below the 200-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for URTY entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IFEDURTY
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 21 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
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URTY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that URTY and SMCI have been poorly correlated (+31% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that URTY and SMCI's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To URTY
1D Price
Change %
URTY100%
+2.79%
SMCI - URTY
31%
Poorly correlated
+6.20%
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