Advertisement
IPI vs MOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) vs. The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IPI shares have gained approximately 36% year-to-date (YTD), significantly outperforming MOS's roughly -8% YTD decline amid fertilizer sector pressures.
- Intrepid Potash reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.62, beating estimates by 29%, with sales of $98.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $19 million.
- The Mosaic Company faces Q1 2026 earnings on May 11 with expected EPS of $0.20, down 59% year-over-year, following Q4 2025 misses on weak volumes.
- IPI trades at a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of about 34x with no dividend, while MOS offers a 4% yield at 13x P/E but higher volatility risks from global operations.
- Both operate in potash and fertilizers, but IPI focuses on U.S. production with recent asset sales enhancing cash position, contrasting MOS's broader phosphate exposure.
- Recent momentum favors IPI due to operational efficiencies and supportive potash pricing.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines IPI and MOS, two key players in the fertilizer sector focused on potash production essential for global agriculture. Both companies navigate volatile commodity prices, supply chain dynamics, and demand from crop nutrients amid shifting market conditions. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing relative performance in basic materials will find value in analyzing their recent trajectories, business models, and risk profiles. This analysis highlights contrasts in scale, recent financial results, and market positioning to inform stock comparison decisions in the current environment.
IPI Overview and Recent Performance
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) is the only U.S. producer of muriate of potash, alongside its Trio specialty fertilizer delivering potassium, magnesium, and sulfate. Operating mines in New Mexico, Utah, and recently divesting non-core South Ranch assets for $70 million, the company has refocused on core fertilizer operations. In recent market activity, IPI shares have shown strength, up about 36% YTD and trading around $38 with a market cap of $508 million. Q1 2026 results featured sales of $98.7 million, net income of $6.9 million ($0.52 per share), and adjusted EBITDA of $19 million, driven by higher potash and Trio prices, resilient demand, and operational gains like a new continuous miner boosting Trio efficiency. Sentiment has improved on these beats (EPS surprise +29%) and cash reserves near $100 million, though beta of 1.26 signals higher volatility versus the market.
MOS Overview and Recent Performance
The Mosaic Company (MOS) is a leading global producer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, operating through Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes segments with mines in the U.S. and Canada. Recent weeks have pressured shares, down roughly 8% YTD and trading near $22 with a $7 billion market cap, reflecting broader fertilizer headwinds. Q4 2025 sales rose 6% to $2.97 billion but missed estimates, with adjusted EPS of $0.22 versus $0.45 year-ago amid lower volumes and rising costs, despite higher prices. Q1 2026 consensus anticipates EPS of $0.20 and $2.75 billion revenue, supported by demand but tempered by input inflation. Beta of 0.80 indicates lower market sensitivity, and a 4% dividend yield appeals to income seekers, though idling Brazilian operations signals cost controls.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates over 25 top-performing AI trading bots from a library of 351, selected for their suitability to current market conditions across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots employ diverse strategies like trend trading, multi-agent systems with take-profit/stop-loss corridors (e.g., 3% TP/2% SL), and double agents on 5min, 15min, or 60min timeframes. Performance stats shine with annualized returns from +23% to +285%, win rates of 51-88%, profit factors up to 11.7, and profit-to-drawdown ratios to 19. Covering sectors like semiconductors (e.g., NVDA, AVGO), industrials, space materials, data centers, and gold miners, they deliver real-time signals for copy trading. Examples include a space infrastructure bot at +285% annualized (72% win rate) and semiconductors at +96% (64% win rate). Explore these high-conviction options tailored to volatility and growth themes at Trending AI Robots.
Head-to-Head Comparison
IPI and MOS share potash exposure but differ in scale and diversification: IPI’s U.S.-centric model (~$300M revenue) emphasizes purity with Trio growth drivers, while MOS (~$12B enterprise value) leverages global phosphate leadership. Recent momentum tilts to IPI (36% YTD vs. MOS -8%), fueled by earnings beats and asset monetization versus MOS’s volume misses. Risk factors include IPI’s higher beta (1.26 vs. 0.80) and no dividend, trading at 34x P/E premium to MOS’s 13x with 4% yield. Sector sentiment favors potash stability, but MOS’s international footprint heightens geopolitical exposure trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors IPI over MOS based on superior trend consistency, YTD relative performance, and recent positive earnings catalysts like Q1 beats and operational efficiencies. IPI’s focused potash positioning aligns with resilient demand, offering probabilistic edge in momentum-driven environments, though MOS’s scale and yield provide stability if phosphate rebounds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IPI is a Hold and MOS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IPI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMOS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MOS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IPI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IPI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
IPI (@Chemicals: Agricultural) experienced а -7.58% price change this week, while MOS (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price change was -7.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Agricultural industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
IPI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MOS is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Agricultural (+0.22% weekly)The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.
| IPI | MOS | IPI / MOS | |
| Capitalization | 462M | 6.7B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 55.4M | 1.99B | 3% |
| Gain YTD | 23.909 | -10.818 | -221% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.95 | 150.64 | 21% |
| Revenue | 302M | 12.4B | 2% |
| Total Cash | 99.3M | 282M | 35% |
| Total Debt | 3.68M | 5.76B | 0% |
IPI | MOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 66 Overvalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 47 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MOS's Valuation (16) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IPI (66) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry. This means that MOS’s stock grew somewhat faster than IPI’s over the last 12 months.
IPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (92) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as MOS (100) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that IPI’s stock grew similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
IPI's SMR Rating (90) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as MOS (91) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that IPI’s stock grew similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
IPI's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as MOS (65) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that IPI’s stock grew similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
MOS's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is significantly better than the same rating for IPI (88) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry. This means that MOS’s stock grew significantly faster than IPI’s over the last 12 months.
| IPI | MOS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 16 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 55% |
Advertisement
IPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IPI has been closely correlated with CF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IPI jumps, then CF could also see price increases.