ITOT
Price
$166.43
Change
-$1.96 (-1.16%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
95.96B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VTI
Price
$374.81
Change
-$4.34 (-1.14%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
694.6B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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ITOT vs VTI

ITOT vs VTI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) vs. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)

Key Takeaways

  • Both ITOT and VTI are low-cost passive ETFs providing broad exposure to the entire U.S. equity market across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization stocks.
  • ITOT tracks the S&P Total Market Index with approximately 2,500 holdings, while VTI tracks the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index with roughly 3,500 holdings, offering marginally broader small-cap representation.
  • Expense ratios are identical at 0.03% for both funds, making cost differences negligible for long-term investors.
  • Top holdings overlap exceeds 94%, dominated by technology names such as NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), resulting in highly correlated performance and risk profiles.
  • Sector allocations are nearly identical, with technology comprising the largest weighting (approximately 30-32%) followed by financials, healthcare, and consumer discretionary.
  • Structural differences are minimal; both employ full replication or sampling strategies with quarterly rebalancing and high liquidity suitable for institutional and retail portfolios.

Introduction

Investors seeking core U.S. equity exposure frequently evaluate ITOT and VTI as interchangeable building blocks for diversified portfolios. These ETFs compete directly within the total U.S. stock market category, delivering near-identical market-cap-weighted exposure to thousands of domestic equities. In the current environment of elevated valuations in large-cap technology and ongoing sector rotation, understanding their subtle structural variances helps investors align choices with preferences for diversification breadth, liquidity, or issuer characteristics.

iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) Overview

The iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) seeks to track the S&P Total Market Index, which encompasses nearly all investable U.S. equities. The fund holds approximately 2,500 securities and maintains an expense ratio of 0.03%. Top holdings typically include NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL/GOOG), with technology representing the dominant sector at around 32%. As a passive index-tracking product from BlackRock’s iShares platform, it employs a representative sampling approach and rebalances periodically to maintain alignment with the benchmark. The structure emphasizes broad market coverage with strong liquidity on NYSE Arca.

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) Overview

The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) aims to replicate the performance of the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index, providing exposure to the full spectrum of U.S. stocks. It contains approximately 3,500 holdings and carries an expense ratio of 0.03%. Leading positions mirror those of comparable total-market funds, led by NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Alphabet Inc. Technology accounts for roughly 31% of assets. Issued by Vanguard, the ETF uses an index-sampling methodology within a passively managed framework and rebalances to reflect index changes. Its larger asset base supports exceptional trading volume and tight bid-ask spreads.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. total stock market ETFs operate against a backdrop of concentrated leadership in technology and artificial intelligence-driven growth stocks, alongside gradual rotation toward value and smaller-capitalization segments. Macroeconomic drivers include interest-rate expectations, corporate earnings momentum in mega-cap names, and capital flows into broad equity indices. Regulatory developments around antitrust scrutiny of large technology platforms and evolving tax policies influence sector weights, while geopolitical tensions and supply-chain shifts affect industrials and energy allocations. Both funds remain sensitive to overall equity-market sentiment rather than isolated thematic catalysts.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, ITOT and VTI have exhibited nearly identical returns due to their high overlap and similar weighting methodologies. Performance differentials arise primarily from slight variations in small-cap inclusion and rebalancing timing. During periods of large-cap technology outperformance, both benefited from heavy exposure to top holdings, while rotations favoring mid- and small-caps have highlighted VTI’s marginally broader diversification. Volatility profiles remain closely aligned, with both funds reflecting broad equity-market beta. Relative positioning favors investors prioritizing liquidity and scale (favoring VTI) or precise S&P indexing (favoring ITOT).

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine ETF and equity selections aligned with current market conditions.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a marginal preference to VTI with moderate probability. Its greater number of holdings provides incrementally broader diversification across the market-capitalization spectrum, combined with superior liquidity from a larger asset base. Both ETFs demonstrate comparable cost efficiency and trend consistency; however, the slight edge in small-cap coverage and trading characteristics tilts the probabilistic assessment toward VTI for most core-portfolio applications.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
ITOT vs. VTI commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ITOT is a StrongBuy and VTI is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ITOT with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

ITOT sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On October 21, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for ITOT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 42 of the 48 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

ITOT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITOT advanced for three days, in 278 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 326 of 393 cases where ITOT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ITOT as a result. In 58 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ITOT turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITOT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VTI with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

VTI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026

VTI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 33 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 49 cases where VTI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +0.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTI advanced for three days, in 265 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 315 of 385 cases where VTI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VTI as a result. In 59 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VTI turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
ITOTVTI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
68%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
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