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ITW vs ROP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) vs. Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ITW offers stability as a diversified industrial manufacturer with a recent 7% dividend increase, appealing to income-focused investors.
- ROP shows stronger recent momentum post-Q1 earnings beat, driven by AI demand and a $3 billion buyback expansion.
- ITW trades at a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 25.71 with a market cap of $77.7 billion, emphasizing steady industrials exposure.
- ROP, in the technology sector, has a lower P/E of 22.03 and $36.3 billion market cap, highlighting software growth potential.
- Recent market activity favors ROP's catalysts like raised 2026 EPS guidance, while ITW maintains defensive positioning ahead of Q1 results.
- Relative performance positions ROP ahead in short-term trends, but ITW provides lower volatility for long-term holders.
Introduction
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) and Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) represent diversified players in industrials and technology, respectively, offering exposure to manufacturing innovation and software solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning amid evolving economic conditions. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye ROP's growth catalysts, while investors prioritizing dividends and resilience might prefer ITW. Understanding their contrasts aids in portfolio allocation for balanced exposure to industrial cycles and tech tailwinds.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a global diversified manufacturer serving markets like automotive, food equipment, welding, and test & measurement through seven segments. In recent market activity, ITW shares have shown resilience, with year-to-date gains around 10% and trading near $270. A key sentiment booster was the announcement of a 7% dividend increase, underscoring commitment to shareholders amid stable demand. Following strong Q4 2025 results—revenue up 4.1% to $4.1 billion and GAAP EPS (earnings per share) rising 7%—the stock has held steady despite broader industrial pressures. Analysts maintain an overweight rating with a $276 average price target, buoyed by upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on April 30. Performance reflects defensive qualities in a volatile environment, influenced by geopolitical tensions and manufacturing outlooks.
ROP Overview and Recent Performance
Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) focuses on software-as-a-service (SaaS) and technology-enabled products across application software, network software, and technology-enabled vertical markets, fueled by strategic acquisitions (M&A). Recent weeks have propelled ROP shares higher, climbing post-Q1 2026 earnings that beat estimates with 11% revenue growth to around $2.05 billion, driven by AI demand in software sales. The company raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $21.80–$22.05 and expanded its share repurchase program by $3 billion, enhancing bullish sentiment. Trading near $352 with a year-to-date return of about 20%, ROP benefits from tech sector tailwinds despite prior three-month softness. Analyst targets average $454, reflecting optimism on capital flexibility and growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ITW and ROP diverge in business models: ITW's decentralized structure spans tangible industrial products with organic growth and efficiency focus, while ROP leverages M&A for high-margin SaaS expansion. Growth drivers contrast—ITW relies on industrial recovery (projected 3.2% revenue rise), ROP on AI-boosted software (11% recent growth). Recent momentum favors ROP post-earnings surge versus ITW's steady climb. Risk factors include ITW's cyclical exposure to manufacturing downturns and ROP's premium valuation amid tech volatility. Sector-wise, ITW's industrials provide diversification ballast, ROP's tech offers higher beta. Market sentiment tilts toward ROP's catalysts, but ITW edges in dividend yield and stability for relative performance trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ROP based on superior trend consistency from Q1 beats, raised guidance, and buyback momentum, positioning it favorably amid tech recovery. ITW remains competitive with defensive traits and dividend appeal, but lacks ROP's near-term catalysts. This probabilistic edge reflects observable relative strength, not a guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ITW is a StrongBuy and ROP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ITW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileROP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ITW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ROP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ITW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ITW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ROP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ITW (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +2.20% price change this week, while ROP (@Packaged Software) price change was +2.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -0.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -4.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
ITW is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
ROP is expected to report earnings on Jul 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-0.03% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Packaged Software (-4.49% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ITW | ROP | ITW / ROP | |
| Capitalization | 72.7B | 33.5B | 217% |
| EBITDA | 4.74B | 3.43B | 138% |
| Gain YTD | 3.255 | -25.031 | -13% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.47 | 20.75 | 113% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 8.12B | 200% |
| Total Cash | 827M | 383M | 216% |
| Total Debt | 9.15B | 10.5B | 87% |
ITW | ROP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ROP's Valuation (15) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ITW (18) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ROP’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Profit vs Risk Rating (62) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (100) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (75) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as ROP (63) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (94) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
| ITW | ROP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 40% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 31% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 38% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 41% | 5 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 53% |
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ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.